I believe there is more opportunity in the silver market over the next two years relative to gold and, as such I’m now advocating accumulating a large overweight position in silver relative to gold because, over the long-term, there is such a great demand vs. supply situation developing….Before investing in silver, however, there are a number very important things that you must understand about the silver market. Let me explain. Words: 899
So says Mark Thomas (www.silverpriceadvisor.com) in edited excerpts from his original article* as posted on Seeking Alpha under the title Correction In Silver Is A Longer-Term Opportunity.
Lorimer Wilson, editor of www.FinancialArticleSummariesToday.com (A site for sore eyes and inquisitive minds) and www.munKNEE.com (Your Key to Making Money!), has edited the article below for length and clarity – see Editor’s Note at the bottom of the page. This paragraph must be included in any article re-posting to avoid copyright infringement.
Thomas goes on to say, in part:
1. Recognize the High Degree of Volatility
The silver market…will trade with about 300% more volatility than gold does. This means if gold is up or down 1%, silver will probably be up or down 3%. The total silver market is a fraction of the size of the gold market in dollar amounts, so the market is less liquid. Relatively small amounts of money in or out of the market will produce sharp price swings. Because there are only a few large institutions, such as JPMorgan and HSBC that dominate the market making of silver and are also the custodians of the large inventories, it is an easily manipulated market.
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Given the above, you have to be prepared mentally for the volatility you will be exposed to before entering the silver market. If you take a large position the swings in your profit and loss will test the nerves of even the strongest believers in silver so only you can decide what overall percentage of your assets you are comfortable with in regard to volatility and the risk you are comfortable taking….
2. Avoid Leveraged Silver ETFs
Another important thing you need to understand about the silver market is you won’t know what’s about to happen ahead of time when the large players really move the market, and you will have to just endure it if it goes against you. Therefore, it is essential that you don’t use leveraged ETFs because the volatility will intensify. It is difficult enough to endure the volatility without using a leveraged non-physical backed derivative to trade it.
3. Don’t Trade Silver Futures
Also, do not trade silver futures, because of the high leverage and the way the exchange can change your margin requirements overnight. They can crush you and force you to liquidate at the worst time. Do not do anything that might force you to sell except when you intend to. Many speculators found this out the hard way in 2011, when the price of silver approached $50 and the exchange tripled margin requirements. This is supposed to protect the exchange and it does, but the real reason was to try to crush the longs and staunch the losses of exchange members, who had shorted and were literally losing hundreds of millions of dollars.
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There is also a clause in every futures contract that it can be settled in cash, and not actual physical delivery so if silver soared so much it was bankrupting exchange members, they could declare that the market is in “liquidation only” mode like in 1980. This would short-change the investors on the right side of the trade. Of course conveniently, this is never done when average investors are on the wrong side of the trade, but only when members of the exchange and large institutions are hemorrhaging cash.
4. Average Into Your Silver Purchases
Another thing you want to do when accumulating your silver position, especially if it is correcting, is be patient and average into your purchases very, very slowly….
5. Physically Possess Your Silver Holdings
By far, I feel the safest place to store your metals holdings is to physically possess them, and I strongly advocate that….I feel Canada is the best place to have your metals stored when you use exchange traded funds or trusts. It is a country with a long history of mining and natural resources, and most of the companies involved in the sector are located there, so it is probably the safest country from government confiscation. They have different and easy to invest vehicles for their own and foreign citizens to own gold and silver, like the Central Gold Trust (GTU) and the Central Fund of Canada Limited (CEF). These are long-term vehicles with extra precautions, like storage at mints, and they are even insured….
The Fundamental Flaw In the Silver Market
The paper silver market (all outstanding futures and derivatives) is many times larger than the actual physical silver market which means that if a significant percentage of paper silver investors demanded actual delivery, the price would rocket higher when the shorts in the market couldn’t fulfill their obligations. That is a fundamental flaw in the structure of the silver market.
As time goes by and demand increases along with very tight supplies, [this shortage in actual physical silver] will force silver prices to increase much more than the gold market. That is also why you need to be concerned if you actually physically possess your silver. [You must] make sure you are using the best ETF possible to profit from the huge increase in higher prices. When you own a silver trust, you know it is physically backed and can deliver the silver so if there is a breakdown in the silver market structure, the premium for this trust would skyrocket.
*Source of original article: http://seekingalpha.com/article/935631-correction-in-silver-is-a-longer-term-opportunity
Editor’s Note: The above post may have been edited ([ ]), abridged (…), and reformatted (including the title, some sub-titles and bold/italics emphases) for the sake of clarity and brevity to ensure a fast and easy read. The article’s views and conclusions are unaltered and no personal comments have been included to maintain the integrity of the original article.
Silver has been an important metal for thousands of years, often used as a medium of exchange or jewelry in ancient times….Today, silver still finds its way into jewelry and coins but it is now also a key ingredient in many ‘modern’ applications as well….Due to this multitude of uses the metal has continued to be a popular investable asset…[as well] as a store of value and an inflation hedge. Below are a list of the top 10 silver producing countries, the top 10 silver producing companies and a definitive guide as to the multiple options of investing in the metal. Words: 2091
It’s true that there are “NO SURE THINGS” in life…but an investment in SILVER comes DARN CLOSE! Yes, you’ll have to ride the tidal wave of price manipulation but when the waves die down you will fully appreciate the power and value of SILVER. Let me explain.
The majority of analysts are now of the opinion that gold will reach a parabolic peak price somewhere in excess of $5,000 per troy ounce in the next few years. Given the fact that the historical movement of silver is 90 – 95% correlated with that of gold suggests that a much higher price for silver can also be anticipated. Couple that with the fact that silver is currently greatly undervalued relative to its average long-term historical relationship with gold, silver could escalate dramatically in price over the next few years. How much? This article takes a look at historical gold:silver ratios and what attaining certain relationships would mean for the price of silver should specific price levels for gold be realized. Words: 691
Personally, based on the fundamentals at hand and the fact that Gold doubled its log channel around this point in the cycle; I expect Silver to bust up out of its log channel in 2013. Initially, I look for Silver to reach the $60 to $68 level, first and hold open the possibility for Silver to do much more on the upside as the 70’s Silver Chart reflects.
You have no doubt read countless articles on the price of gold costing “x dollars per ounce” and possibly own a gold ring or some other piece of gold jewellery but do you really understand exactly what you are buying? What’s the difference between 1 troy ounce of gold and 1 (regular) ounce? What’s the difference between 18 and 10 karat gold? Let me explain. Words: 637
Thanks to this similarity in events, as well as the similarity in sequence, of the price movement of silver from the beginning of 1966 to the beginning of 1980 with the end of 1999 to the end 2013, my analysis suggests that silver will comfortably pass $150 by that date. Let me explain my rationale. Words: 338
I have an IRA. How can I invest in gold and silver? It is quite easy! Yes, I am talking about actual physical gold and silver, not “paper” gold, or certificates, or paper promises. Words: 621