Friday , 26 April 2024

Monthly Archives: October 2014

China Is the Reason For the Weakness in the Price of Gold – Here’s Why (+2K Views)

The downside risks to owning gold are much greater than the upside risks. Without the onslaught of newly rich Asian buyers its price is coming back down to more closely track those of other commodity prices and, while I worry that central banks may inadvertently spark a round of higher inflation in the years to come, if I had to reconcile those two views, I would say that today's elevated real price of gold has effectively priced in a lot of higher inflation in the future. This article presents 6 charts which clearly illustrate just what is currently going on.

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Confirmed Hindenburg Omen Says 23.5% Probability of -15%+ Stock Market Crash; 61.7% Chance of +5% Decline (+3K Views)

No stock market crash (a decline greater than 15%) has occurred over the past 30 years without the presence of a Hindenburg Omen except on one occasion (the mini-crash of July/August 2011). As such, without an official confirmed Hindenburg Omen, we are pretty safe from experiencing a major stock market correction. On the other hand, if we have an official Hindenburg Omen, then a critical set of market conditions necessary for a stock market crash exists. As of September 19th, 2014, we have such a condition in the market...

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The Gold Market: What Can We Expect In the Months Ahead? (+2K Views)

We are at an interesting and perhaps critical juncture with respect to the direction of the gold price as it approaches a key support level. There are many mixed signals out there and the market seems to be vacillating, frustrating both bulls and the bears. Let us look at both cases in order to try to understand what the gold market may have in store for us during the coming weeks and months.

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Crushing Debt Cannot – & Will Not – Be Repaid! Here’s Why (+2K Views)

The central bankers of the world have painted themselves into corner. Growing mountain of debt makes it harder for economies to grow at higher interest rates, hence forcing central banks into a downward spiral of record low rates and monetary stimulus that simply encourages more borrowing and worsening the underlying problem - what the BIS calls "a debt trap"

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