Saturday , 19 August 2017


Monthly Archives: December 2014

Noonan: Gold & Silver Will Remain Weak Due To This Factor

gold-silver

2014 is ending unexpectedly for PMs, considerably weaker than what most thought would be sharply higher prices. Based on what the charts are conveying, at least the initial part of 2015 will not fare much better. Supply and demand are not the driving factors - world financial dominance is [and most]... PM “experts” are not focusing on this aspect. [Let me do so and show you how such a factor is the price trend in gold and silver in the charts provided.]

Read More »

True or False: The Fed Can Control the Money Supply & Interest Rates?

economy-2h-8

Most economists (primarily Keynesians and monetarists) believe that authorities can control the money supply and interest rates, and most neo-Austrians believe that the Fed is all-powerful when it comes to inflating - that whatever inflation rate it wants, it simply manufactures. Is that true or false? Read on for the answer.

Read More »

True or False: Inflation Makes Gold & Silver Go Up

gold-and-currencies

This one seems like a no-brainer. The government or the central bank prints more bonds, notes and bills, and prices for things go up in response. Gold is real money, so it must fluctuate along with the inflation rate. It’s basic physics but it doesn’t happen that way. Let’s examine the history of inflation and the precious metals since the low of the Great Depression.

Read More »

True or False: Peace is Bullish for Stocks

investing

It would seem logical to say that peace allows companies to focus on manufacturing goods, providing services, innovation and competition, all of which helps the overall economy but does peace, in fact, have anything to do with determining stock prices?

Read More »

True or False: Rising Oil Prices Are Bearish For Stocks

oil-price-rise

A sensible story of causation regarding oil prices and stock prices made by countless economists is that "rising oil prices increase the cost of energy and therefore reduce corporate profits and consumers' spending power, thus putting drags on stock prices and the economy." Stunningly, as far as I can determine, however, no evidence supports that claim, as the discussion below will show.

Read More »

Just How Accurate Are Financial Forecasts?

gamble

Even the foremost experts in most fields are no better than a flip of the coin at predicting what’s going to happen in their particular area of expertise. In fact, in one study those with 80% confidence in their forecasts were only right 45% of the time, so even worse than a coin flip.

Read More »