Thursday , 25 April 2024

Monthly Archives: April 2015

Current Equity Market Valuations Defy Logic – Here’s Why (+2K Views)

What is unique about this rally is the excessive premium being placed on future earnings and economic growth. Unfortunately, the level and term structure of interest rates are not confirming the broad logic behind these equity market valuations. In fact, they damn that logic. In the past, when high valuation measures occurred and subsequent GDP was weak, the stock market has posted substantial losses. What can we expect this time?

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Canada’s Housing Bubble Is A Sight To Behold – A Terrible Sight! Here’s Why (+2K Views)

Canada’s housing bubble has been a sight to behold. Home prices only dipped 8% when the US housing market crashed. Then it re-soared. Now, across the country, home prices are 26% higher than they were at the already crazy peak in 2008. In Toronto, they’re 42% higher! There is a major drawback Canada's housing bubble beyond the fact that it will eventually crash with terrible consequences.

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Will There Be Anywhere to Hide When the Markets Start Tanking?

According to a new study from the IMF, correlations in general are much more elevated these days than they were before the financial crisis. In other words, there are fewer places to hide in the markets when the markets start tanking. Check out their Global Financial Stability Report that's been described as "not for the faint-hearted." and the red bars in the chart below.

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