There has been an alarming development for the obscure, yet instructive Baltic Dry Index…[which] tracks the cost of shipping major raw materials (iron ore, coal, grain, cement, copper, sand and gravel, fertilizer and even plastic granules)…It is down 48.4% in the last month…[and] down 54.4% in the last three months. [Let me explain why and how to invest accordingly.] Words: 200
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As you can see in the chart above, the Index is down 48.4% in the last month and it’s down 54.4% in the last three months. The culprit? Why, Europe, of course. You’ll recall that European sovereign debt fears spiked (again) last October – and that’s precisely when the Baltic Dry Index also began its descent. Coincidence? I think not.
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The obvious takeaway from today’s chart? Steer clear of companies that sell cyclical products exclusively in European markets and…avoid U.S. stocks with heavy European exposure. A recession is afoot in Europe, if not already underway.
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The Baltic Dry Index is, in my opinion, the best leading economic indicator to follow when the media is telling us the economy is looking great one week and then predicting a double dip recession the next. Let me explain. Words: 933