Economic Overviews

Are We In A Pre-crisis Period? A Look At 8 Possible Triggers

The frequency of financial crises and recessions is quite high: on average, there is one crisis every 58 months (using data from the US National Bureau of Economic Research). In other words, statistically speaking, we should expect the beginning of the next crisis in April 2015, which would end by March 2016. There are 8 possible scenarios that could cause the next crisis. Let's take a look at each.

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Europe’s Economic Recovery Has Run Out Of Steam! Here’s Why

Despite the European Central Bank's periodic assurances to the contrary, Europe is well on its way to a lost economic decade and if European policymakers cannot shake themselves out of their present state of complacency we should brace ourselves for very rough going in the global financial markets when the U.S. Federal Reserve starts the process of normalizing interest rates.

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Effects of 2008 Recession STILL Affecting Majority of Americans – How About You?

The Fed has just released a 200 page study on the Economic Well-Being of U.S. Households in 2013 that reveals that 52% of the respondents to the survey said they did not have a mere $400 in savings for an unexpected emergency. That suggests to me that over half the county is on a paycheck-to-paycheck struggle. Below are my key findings from the survey presented in a concise easy to understand format.

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Financial Asset Values Hang In Mid-air Like Wile E. Coyote – Here’s Why

The financial markets are drastically over-capitalizing earnings and over-valuing all asset classes so, as the Fed and its central bank confederates around the world increasingly run out of excuses for extending the radical monetary experiments of the present era, even the gamblers will come to recognize who is really the Wile E Coyote in the piece. Then they will panic.

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GDP Growth Looks Understated Which Suggests That…

This week’s US gross domestic product (GDP) data paints a less gloomy first-quarter decline than first published and a bright picture for the second quarter [which,] as impressive as the rebound looks on the surface, we think is actually understated. Here's why.

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Markets & Economy NOT Topping Out & Ready to Roll Over – Here’s Why

Sure, the market is getting more and more expensive, debt levels are still high around the globe, and the Drudge Report assures us daily that the world is going to hell in a handbasket, but does this signal the end is near for stocks and the economy? This article presents 4 "big picture" charts or indicators to help determine whether the markets and economy are topping out and ready to roll over. Let’s take a look.

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