The Great Financial Crisis of 2007-9 is now transcending into the Great Financial Catastrophe which could very well involve a total reset - or more likely a collapse - of the world economy, financial system and world political system. Here's why.
Read More »9 Dynamics of Decay That Lead to Economic, Social & Political Collapse (+3K Views)
Placing our faith in failed monetary policies of the past is the height of hubris and complacency. There is a cost to complacency and it's called collapse and, currently, there are 9 dynamics of decay currently in play around the globe.
Read More »Coming Recession? This Indicator Suggests That…
Knowing when the U.S. economy is heading for recession is paramount to successful investment decisions and our weekly Business Cycle Index would have provided early reliable warnings for the past seven recessions. [What's it saying these days? Read on!]
Read More »What Do Increasing Imports Mean For Health of U.S. Economy?
Most manufactured goods move between countries in sea containers and such data acts as an early indicator of the health of the economy. What is it indicating at this point in time - a coming recession or not?
Read More »Immigration: Does It Drag Down the Economy? Lower Wages? Take Jobs from the Native-born? (+2K Views)
There has been a great deal of research done recently on the cost of illegal immigrants to the economy and to society and the results are surprising and encouraging.
Read More »The New USMCA vs. the Old NAFTA – It’s Just Tinkering Around the Edges – Here’s Why
NAFTA is gone, replaced by largely the same agreement with a different name, the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA). Talk about tinkering around the edges.
Read More »This Indicator Is A Remarkably Accurate Warning Indicator For Economic & Market Peril (2K Views)
Would you have appreciated a single number that could have given you a clear and unmistakable warning before the tech stock bubble collapsed? How about an unequivocal mathematical warning in 2006 that major financial trouble was on the way, well before the problems of 2007 and 2008? Well, while these warnings (called yield curve inversions) are quite uncommon, having occurred only three times in the last 35 years- followed relatively quickly by a recession - but are back in the news again, because we just may be nearing another inversion.
Read More »Market Psycholgy: Current Emotion Of ANXIETY Could Turn Into CONCERN Which Could Turn Into FEAR!
Investors are gradually becoming more anxious about trends and various political decisions. Tariffs are part of this anxiety. Interest rates are part of this anxiety. A possible market correction is also part of this anxiety. This current emotion of anxiety could turn into concern which could, in time, turn into fear.
Read More »The Bubbles in Housing & Stocks Are Supported By An Invisible Bubble In Greed, Euphoria & Credulity! (+2K Views)
We believe what we believe will make us rich, what feeds our euphoric confidence that the bubble-music will never stop and our credulity that bubbles which we know will pop will not pop until we've safely cashed out.
Read More »Something Is Deeply, Systemically Wrong With the U.S. Economy – 9 Toxic Dynamics
Beneath the surface signals of an eternally rising stock market and expanding GDP, we all sense something is deeply, systemically wrong with the U.S. economy. These nine structural dynamics generate secondary dynamics, all of which are toxic to social mobility, sustainable prosperity, accountability, and democracy:
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