Thursday , 28 March 2024

Inflation/Deflation

Weak Gold Price & Falling Interest Rates Say Current Monetary Policy Is Too Tight – Here’s Why (+2K Views)

A change in monetary, fiscal, and regulatory policy is necessary to beat back the forces of recession and deflation. If the messages of falling gold prices and falling interest rates are not enough to gain the attention of policy makers, I suspect that the specter of future falling stock prices throughout the world will be. That is what is in store for us if the recessionary/deflationary bias in the world economy that gold and bonds are signaling, reasserts itself.

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Blame Deflationary Pressures On Current Prices Of Gold & Silver (2K Views)

I believe that the inflation and price charts paint a clear picture, and that until inflation in the world picks up significantly, there will be no meaningful rallies in precious metals...[While] I am bullish on gold and silver long term, the short-term pressure is still evident and might take them lower in the next couple of months.

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Probability of Deflation Is 60%, Inflation Is 25% and Muddling Through Is 15% – Here’s Why (+2K Views)

At the end of last year virtually every every single economist expected interest rates to rise this year as the Fed tapered their purchases and the economy improved but, in fact, interest rates on the 10 year U.S. Treasury have been going down year to date (from 3% to 2.5% after rising from about 1.6% to 3% last year). The masses, going along with this crowd, got fooled but we have been calling for a decline in interest rates for some time now due to world-wide deflation and it couldn’t be clearer to us that this is the most likely scenario for the United States. Let us explain.

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Short the Dow & Go Long Gold – It’s the “Trade of the Decade”! Here’s Why (+2K Views)

At the beginning of a hyperinflationary cycle, the stock market virtually always makes substantial gains which is just reflecting the sheer weight of printed money...After the initial enthusiasm the stock market loses its lustre and falls in tandem with the economy into a deflationary depression. The U.S. is now slowly entering such a hyperinflationary phase. Here's what that means for the future price of gold.

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These 5 Events Will Lead to Higher Gold & Silver Prices (+3K Views)

It is my contention that the move in precious metals...[from] late 2008 through 2011 was largely a result of the expansion in central bank balance sheets and the perceived threat of runaway inflation. Since 2011, [however,] we’ve seen economic growth improve and inflation rates across the globe subside. As a result, investment banks and market strategists are arguing against owning gold, and making the case that, with a lack of inflation and an improved economy, the need for owning gold as an insurance hedge against inflation and currency debasement is no longer present. I strongly disagree.

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