Friday , 20 April 2018


Inflation/Deflation

Housing: Is It A Good Inflation Hedge?

Over long periods the inflation-adjusted price of homes in the U.S. has tended to increase by a little more than 1% per year. That doesn't mean owning a home is a good way to make a 1% real return on your money though. This article explains why.

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The Motives & Incentives Driving the Current Passion For Inflation

Just as the amount of outstanding debt has spiraled uncontrollably higher, so too will inflation. The hubris of central bankers who somehow believe they will know the precise time to alter easy money policies in order to prevent a monetary disaster is only exceeded by the foolishness of Congressional oversight in granting that authority. Word count: 1139

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Hyperinflation Is Coming To The U.S. But…

I think that the U.S. has a roughly 0% probability of experiencing hyperinflation within the next 2 years. I also think, however, that the U.S. has a 100% probability of eventually experiencing hyperinflation. Below I explain why I think that is the case.

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Which Measure of Inflation Is Closest to the Truth?

There is a strong belief that independent measures of inflation are false and not trustworthy. I address this issue and show how the rate of inflation is measured today, the historical background of it, and compare different methods to find out which one is closer to the truth.

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The Phillips Curve – What Must Be Done To Alleviate Persistently Low Inflation?

There was a time when U.S. central bankers worried that inflation was too high, and they tried to bring it down. Now the opposite is true: the Federal Reserve is concerned that inflation has remained stubbornly low, and it’s trying to boost prices. The reason: persistently low inflation raises the risk that prices will actually start to decline. That’s bad news because it makes people less willing to borrow and spend—anticipating lower prices, consumers will put off spending—and could also lead to a fall in wages.

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