Economy

Inflation Expectations Likely To Continue – Here’s Why

After declaring inflation all but gone last summer, investors are now deciding that calling the time-of-death might have been a bit premature. Starting in September and accelerating post-election, 10-year inflation expectations, measured by 10-year Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS), are surging [and, as I see it there] are four reasons why I think the rebound in inflation and inflation expectations is likely to continue into 2017.

Read More »

No Fewer Than FIVE Ominous, Vicious Cycles Await Us

Neither the White House nor the CBO have adequately considered the real impact of the very deficits they themselves are projecting. While they admit the deficits will be off the charts they fail to connect the dots from that admission to its obvious natural consequences — no fewer than FIVE ominous, vicious cycles.

Read More »

Believe It Or Not: Collectively, We’re Better Off Today Than Ever Before

Collectively, our net worth reached a new high in nominal, real, and per capita terms according to the Fed's Q3/16 estimate of the balance sheets of U.S. households released last Friday. While we are living in the weakest recovery ever, and things could and should be a lot better, it is still the case that today we are better off than ever before.

Read More »

How to Protect Your Portfolio From Inflation

Inflation lurks in the shadows. It destroys value by gradually eroding real returns over time. It is financial death by a thousand cuts. Investors too often look at "the numbers" in their portfolio without asking what those numbers can actually buy over time. It's a classic mistake that John Maynard Keynes termed "money illusion."

Read More »

Better U.S. Growth Prospects Ahead – Here’s Why

There's a good chance U.S. growth will pick up from 2016 [because, as I see it,] two key shifts are helping to propel growth higher, albeit within the context of broad structural trends keeping growth rates lower than in prior economic cycles.

Read More »

Bitcoin: Another Boom, Another Crash – Falls 31% Overnight!

Another boom and another crash. The story of Bitcoin has been a roller coaster ride of rises and falls to say the least. People have watched in awe as Bitcoin has catapulted higher in recent weeks yet this was not meant to last. Once again, as it has so many times before, Bitcoin has suffered a serious setback, falling roughly 31% overnight!

Read More »