Economy

The question is not whether there will be a crisis, but when. In the past fifty years, we have seen more than eight global crises and many more local ones, so the likelihood of another one is quite high because the factors that drive a global crisis are all lining up.

NAFTA is gone, replaced by largely the same agreement with a different name, the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA). Talk about tinkering around the edges.

Would you have appreciated a single number that could have given you a clear and unmistakable warning before the tech stock bubble collapsed? How about an unequivocal mathematical warning in 2006 that major financial trouble was on the way, well before the problems of 2007 and 2008? Well, while these warnings (called yield curve inversions) are quite uncommon, having occurred only three times in the last 35 years- followed relatively quickly by a recession - but are back in the news again, because we just may be nearing another inversion.

Investors are gradually becoming more anxious about trends and various political decisions. Tariffs are part of this anxiety. Interest rates are part of this anxiety. A possible market correction is also part of this anxiety. This current emotion of anxiety could turn into concern which could, in time, turn into fear.

This look further back into the past dramatically illustrates the extreme oscillation between inflation and deflation during the first 70 years of our timeline.

We believe what we believe will make us rich, what feeds our euphoric confidence that the bubble-music will never stop and our credulity that bubbles which we know will pop will not pop until we've safely cashed out.

Beneath the surface signals of an eternally rising stock market and expanding GDP, we all sense something is deeply, systemically wrong with the U.S. economy. These nine structural dynamics generate secondary dynamics, all of which are toxic to social mobility, sustainable prosperity, accountability, and democracy:

We are now on the eve of an economic crisis of unfathomable proportions due to an insoluble debt problem. Holding precious metals will be invaluable insurance to survive this crisis financially.

The entire world went into debt for the equivalent of tropical vacations and, having now enjoyed them, realizes it must pay the bill. The resources to do so do not yet exist so, in the time-honored tradition of lenders everywhere, we extend and pretend - but with our ability to pretend almost gone, we’re heading to the Great Reset.

Inflation enters the economy in stages. It’s not as though the Fed begins to print money and poof! Inflation appears. It takes time. This article explains the 3 stages of inflation and where we are at the present time.