Gold

Last fall, we said the rally in PMs would take longer than most expected. Expectations were unmet in 2013, and it is possible that 2014 may be no different... gold gives no indication of beginning a strong rally that will change the trend, any time soon and, while the next sustained bull market may well favor silver outperforming gold, silver may have to go lower before it can go higher. Let me explain why this is the case.

No matter what you hear or read about gold and the prospects for substantially higher price levels, the trend is down, exactly opposite of what you know. When you compare what you know, an opinion, with what the market is telling you, the market is a more accurate measure, however counter-intuitive it may be to your opinion, [and THIS is what the markets are saying].

There is no need to beat around the bush: junior mining stocks have bottomed. The bear market is over...The evidence is compelling and is growing by the day.

We are starting to see some subtle changes in market behavior but the trend currently remains down for both gold and silver. For those who want to grow their capital, the best time to make a market commitment is with the trend and given how no one knows how the market will correct, it is best to wait and see first what the market reveals. Below are some daily and weekly charts on gold & silver charts to show you how things are developing.

Very poor sentiment towards gold and oversold conditions is reminiscent of the conditions seen in late 2008 and January 2009 [as seen in the chart below] when gold prices had fallen by more than 25% in 9 months. Subsequently, gold rose from a low on January 15, 2009 at $802.60/oz to a high less than 12 months later at $1,215/oz for a gain of over 50%. A similar move today would see gold above $1,800/oz by year end.

Following a brutal year for bullion in 2013 and an even worse year for gold miners, those bullish on the yellow metal and the companies that extract it from the earth may finally have something to hang their hats on.

Is Gold still in a downtrend or has it actually broken its downtrend? Both as it turns out, but only if viewed from the proper perspective. Let me explain.

If your perception is focused solely on where the price of gold is, as opposed to where you think or believe it ought to be, the elites would like to sell you a renewable subscription to their “Fiat Is Better” newsletter.

Because the natural laws of supply and demand do not apply to gold and silver, the only way we can track the influence of endless paper supply on the market is through the most reliable source, the market itself, and the best way to track the market is through charts.Let's take a look at what they are conveying today.

munKNEE.com will receive well over 1,000,000 visitors again in 2013 and is now the “go-to” destination for diversified commentary and analyses on the current gold & silver doldrums and the future expectations for these precious metals. Below are introductions (with links) to the 13 most read such articles in 2013 in order of popularity. Interestingly, each of the 13 are as relevant today as the day they were posted so they are well worth taking the time to read.