Do I need to invest in foreign stocks when the U.S. companies are now so global and the markets are so highly correlated?
Read More »Greek Default Hasn’t Lifted Price of Gold – Here’s Why Not
Gold generally rises with uncertainty and desperation - two things in no short supply right now in Europe - yet gold can’t even make it back above the psychologically important $1,200-an-ounce mark. Why is that? Here's why.
Read More »Stock Market Not Likely To Crash Soon & Here’s Why
History shows rather clearly that the stock market is prone to extreme events, aka crashes. The challenge is deciding when the risk for a repeat performance is unusually high... The leading factor, of course, is the business cycle but internal market issues can't be ignored either. With that in mind, I've developed what I think of as a crash-risk index for the U.S. stock market (S&P 500), which draws on signals from ten metrics that are reflecting different factors...
Read More »Expected Global Stock Market Returns Over Next 5 Years Say “Avoid Canada & U.S. ” (+2K Views)
This comparison of stock values across all major world markets and forecast returns over the next five years suggests that, while this is not a “back up the truck” opportunity, it’s not bad either, particularly given how unappealing bonds and cash are at current yields.
Read More »Investing Need Not Be A “Risky Business” – Here’s How to Lower Risk in Your Portfolio
Asset allocation is the most essential factor in building a high performing portfolio. Paying attention to the risk of each asset class allows you to create a portfolio that can beat the market in good times as well as bad.
Read More »The Market Is Overvalued, Over-believed & Over-margined – Plan Now For A MAJOR Correction
With the market richly priced, forward returns just don’t look good enough. Worth the risk? I think it’s better to have a game plan in place that enables you to capitalize on the next major market correction – which in my opinion could be in the -40% to -60% range.
Read More »What % of Your Portfolio’s Return Is Due to Skill & How Much to Luck?
An annualized average of 56% of all actively managed domestic equity funds, 59% of active U.S. large-cap equity funds, and 64% of active mid-cap equity funds underperformed broad-market indexes. [Index funds anyone? Let's review.] Words: 895
Read More »Physical Gold or Dividend Stocks – Which Are a Better Long-term Hold?
If you really want to be sure you’re keeping pace with inflation and own assets that can survive a crisis then forget gold. [A look at the evidence] tells us that over long periods of time, investors are better off holding stocks than gold. Words: 665; Table:1
Read More »Be Careful! Former Investment "Rules" Nolonger Work – Here’s Why
Investment “rules” that were relevant for a century are obsolete. They were based on a world where economies grew, people’s standard of living increased and outcomes tomorrow better than today. Arguably each of these conditions will not hold in the future but if they don't, neither do the rules of thumb that guided investing last century. These guiding principles developed and worked in a world that that no longer exists but applying them in the future will result in devastating financial outcomes. [Let me explain.] Words: 1261
Read More »Why – and How Much – Should One Invest In Gold & Silver?
No one can predict exactly what will rise up after the collapse of the current monetary system, but here is my take on how you can do your best to prepare yourself no matter what happens.
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