During the longest bull market in modern history, the S&P 500 surged a whopping 418% over the 9.5 years between November 1990 and March 2000 but, in mere months, this famed bull market may lose its title as the “longest” in the modern era because, according to data and analysis from LDL Research, the current bull market will take over the claim to fame in late August 2018. In today’s chart, we show every bull market since WWII, including the top six which are covered in more detail.Read More »
Here’s the Annualized Real Rate Of Return In the S&P 500 Over the Last 5, 10, 15, 20 and 30 years – How Did Your Returns Compare?
How much would an investment in the S&P 500 be worth today, with dividends reinvested but adjusted for inflation, had you invested that money 5, 10, 15, 20 and 30 years ago? The following charts illustrate the annualized real rates of return over those periods of time.Read More »
Here's an updated outlook for the U.S. stock market based on the recent performance of both the DJ Industrial and DJ Transportation (Dow Theory) which, combined with our intermarket analysis, is pointing towards a risk-on period for the U.S. stock market.Read More »
You Can Predict the Future of the Stock Market By Predicting the Future of the Economy – Here’s Proof
You can predict the future of the stock market by predicting the future of the economy (fundamentals) and the economy shows no signs of significant deterioration right nowRead More »
Wall Street hasn’t been this scary since the depths of the global financial panic in 2009 so is this the end of the bull market? Only 18% of money managers surveyed by Bank of America Merrill Lynch believe that stocks have peaked. That being said, the market is historically frothy after a near-record nine-year bull run and, if history teaches us anything, it’s that the key to success in investing is a willingness to go against the grain. Here are the warnings of five well-known strategists about impending market doom that shouldn’t go unheeded.Read More »
What Were S&P 500’s Annualized Rates of Return Over the Past 5, 10, 15, 20 & 30 Years? You’ll Be Surprised!
Imagine that 5 years ago you invested $10,000 in the S&P 500. How much would it be worth today, with dividends reinvested but adjusted for inflation? The answer: $18,542 for an annualized real return of 12.41%. This article also provides the answers to S&P 500 returns over the last 10, 15, 20 and 30 years.Read More »
What used to be support beneath the market has become the ceiling. The market has inverted and is now sitting right on its 200-day moving average. Breaking through the 200-day average on the way down with no clear support below will be a frightening sign to many investors to which they may respond as frightened people often do - in a panic.Read More »
The decline in the equity markets since the end of January has many asking if the bull market is over - and the short answer is no – there is still room for the market to run. That being said, there are a number of concerns that could keep the markets on edge and, were they to materialize, the result could be a correction similar to those that occurred in 2011-12 (-19.4%) and 2016 (-14.2%).Read More »
If your complacency and procrastination prevent you from realizing the truly dangerous bubble in equities right now, here are 8 of the most salient reasons why you’ll definitely need to find the nearest emergency exit before this fall.Read More »
Based on the strong historical relationship between the age distribution of the U.S. population and stock market performance that has prevailed since the mid-1950s the upcoming waves of retirement of the baby boom generation born between 1946 and 1964 could push down U.S. equity markets. Why? Because, as boomers reach retirement age, they are likely to shift from buying stocks to selling them to finance retirement, and this massive sell-off could depress equity values. There appears to have been a breakup in that relationship of late, however, so what does that suggest for the timing and magnitude of any correction in the near future?Read More »