Both the S&P 500 and Wilshire 5000 are designed to track the largest publicly-traded U.S. stocks. In both cases, they are viewed as proxies for the U.S. stock market and to a lesser extent the U.S. economy but there are certain differences between the two.Read More »
Record Margin Debt Suggests Today’s Economic & Financial Markets Are Setting Up For One Heck Of A Fall
Due to the massive debt and leverage in the system, I believe the economic and financial markets today are setting up for one heck of a fall with major fireworks coming in Q3-Q4 2018.Read More »
Bank of America's proprietary "Global Wave" indicator [see below] has just peaked for only the tenth time in 25 years and both the economy and markets are now set to stagnate for the next year, or worse, if more adverse developments emerge. Which scenario the markets will follow will depend on how the U.S.-China (and global) trade war develops; in other words, the fate of the stock market is now in Donald Trump's hands.Read More »
US Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross just said "There will be some hiccups along the way." Hiccups?... That's not very bullish. We need to take heed.Read More »
During the longest bull market in modern history, the S&P 500 surged a whopping 418% over the 9.5 years between November 1990 and March 2000 but, in mere months, this famed bull market may lose its title as the “longest” in the modern era because, according to data and analysis from LDL Research, the current bull market will take over the claim to fame in late August 2018. In today’s chart, we show every bull market since WWII, including the top six which are covered in more detail.Read More »
Here’s the Annualized Real Rate Of Return In the S&P 500 Over the Last 5, 10, 15, 20 and 30 years – How Did Your Returns Compare?
How much would an investment in the S&P 500 be worth today, with dividends reinvested but adjusted for inflation, had you invested that money 5, 10, 15, 20 and 30 years ago? The following charts illustrate the annualized real rates of return over those periods of time.Read More »
Here's an updated outlook for the U.S. stock market based on the recent performance of both the DJ Industrial and DJ Transportation (Dow Theory) which, combined with our intermarket analysis, is pointing towards a risk-on period for the U.S. stock market.Read More »
You Can Predict the Future of the Stock Market By Predicting the Future of the Economy – Here’s Proof
You can predict the future of the stock market by predicting the future of the economy (fundamentals) and the economy shows no signs of significant deterioration right nowRead More »
Wall Street hasn’t been this scary since the depths of the global financial panic in 2009 so is this the end of the bull market? Only 18% of money managers surveyed by Bank of America Merrill Lynch believe that stocks have peaked. That being said, the market is historically frothy after a near-record nine-year bull run and, if history teaches us anything, it’s that the key to success in investing is a willingness to go against the grain. Here are the warnings of five well-known strategists about impending market doom that shouldn’t go unheeded.Read More »
What Were S&P 500’s Annualized Rates of Return Over the Past 5, 10, 15, 20 & 30 Years? You’ll Be Surprised!
Imagine that 5 years ago you invested $10,000 in the S&P 500. How much would it be worth today, with dividends reinvested but adjusted for inflation? The answer: $18,542 for an annualized real return of 12.41%. This article also provides the answers to S&P 500 returns over the last 10, 15, 20 and 30 years.Read More »