Tuesday , 25 September 2018


Stock Indices

Prepare Yourself: These 5 Famous Investors Believe the Stock Market Will Crash Soon

Wall Street hasn’t been this scary since the depths of the global financial panic in 2009 so is this the end of the bull market? Only 18% of money managers surveyed by Bank of America Merrill Lynch believe that stocks have peaked. That being said, the market is historically frothy after a near-record nine-year bull run and, if history teaches us anything, it’s that the key to success in investing is a willingness to go against the grain. Here are the warnings of five well-known strategists about impending market doom that shouldn’t go unheeded.

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Stocks Perfectly Poised to Plummet Past Point of No Return

What used to be support beneath the market has become the ceiling. The market has inverted and is now sitting right on its 200-day moving average. Breaking through the 200-day average on the way down with no clear support below will be a frightening sign to many investors to which they may respond as frightened people often do - in a panic.

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Is the Equity Bull Market Over?

The decline in the equity markets since the end of January has many asking if the bull market is over - and the short answer is no – there is still room for the market to run. That being said, there are a number of concerns that could keep the markets on edge and, were they to materialize, the result could be a correction similar to those that occurred in 2011-12 (-19.4%) and 2016 (-14.2%).

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Is Boomer Retirement Still Weighing Down U.S. Equity Markets?

Based on the strong historical relationship between the age distribution of the U.S. population and stock market performance that has prevailed since the mid-1950s the upcoming waves of retirement of the baby boom generation born between 1946 and 1964 could push down U.S. equity markets. Why? Because, as boomers reach retirement age, they are likely to shift from buying stocks to selling them to finance retirement, and this massive sell-off could depress equity values. There appears to have been a breakup in that relationship of late, however, so what does that suggest for the timing and magnitude of any correction in the near future?

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Is This the “Mother Of All Blow-Offs?” Probably

Is this the “Mother Of All Blow-Offs?” Probably. Historically, this is the type of market behavior which has marked the blow-off top of speculative manias and has preceded serious market accidents. Chasing the price-momentum higher and waiting for a bigger idiot to buy shares from you works well until the music stops. Then everyone gets hurt.

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