Tuesday , 7 April 2020

Stock Indices

Shiller & Siegel Forecasts of Future Real Stock Market Returns Differ Considerably

By smoothing out the effect of the business cycle on corporate earnings, investors get a truer picture of how expensively or cheaply stocks are priced. Yale professor Robert Shiller has popularized this concept and packaged it as the Shiller P/E ratio, alternatively known as the cyclically-adjusted P/E (CAPE) ratio, and it has become a widely followed and efficacious stock market valuation measure. Currently the ratio is standing at a 21.4 (approximately 30% higher than its long-term average) causing many value investors to adopt a cautious stance toward US stocks. [Let me explain more fully.] Words: 690

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Prepare to Be Nickled & Dimed to Death in the Stock Market Until 2015! Here's Why

The Dow Jones Industrial Average composite (DJIA) hitting a five year high early last month does not bode well for the bulls. Frankly, I am predicting that the recent five year high...(October 5th) will prove to be the cyclical high in an ongoing secular bear market that has not yet hit its bear market low for this secular bear and that...it will not get to an all-time new high until 2015 at the earliest. Prepare to be nickled and dimed in the meantime! Words: 995

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A Stock Market Rally Is Coming By Year-end: Here Are 10 Reasons Why

The U.S. economy is careening toward a fiscal cliff. Europe is stuck in a financial abyss. China is economy, a bastion of strength for the last decade, is throttling down. Given this less-than-rosy economic backdrop, how could I possibly predict that U.S. stocks are poised to rally as 2012 comes to a close? Glad you asked....Here are 10 reasons why I’m taking such a contrarian stance. (Hint: I saved the most important reasons for last). Words: 1420

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A Massive Stock Market Crash Is Coming!

In the financial world, the month of October is synonymous with stock market crashes. So will a massive stock market crash happen this year? You never know. Hopefully we'll get through October (and the rest of this year) but, without a doubt, one is coming at some point. The truth of the matter is that our financial system is even more vulnerable than it was back in 2008 and, as such, many financial experts are warning that the next crash is rapidly approaching and that those on the wrong end of the coming crash are going to be absolutely wiped out. Let’s take a look at some of the financial experts that are predicting really bad things for our financial markets in the months ahead. Words: 1634

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October Will Be a Challenging Month for Investors for These 6 Reasons

October has a well-deserved reputation of being a volatile month for the market. Historically, it is the second-worst performing month after September, and it has had its share of market meltdowns (1929, 1987). I don't foresee anything that dramatic this October after the long rally. However, I think it is going to be a challenging month for investors for a variety of reasons. [Below are 10 reasons to be wary this October in particular.] Words: 498

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