Will We or Won’t We Have Another Recession Soon – The Case For and Against a Second Dip

I am worried about the possibility of a second dip – of a new recession beginning sometime in the next year or so – before the current recovery has had a chance to produce much improvement. Verbally-intuitively, the case for a second dip still seems pretty overwhelming to me. I take comfort in the knowledge that I tend to have a pessimistic bias, and in the fact that sophisticated quantitative models are generally putting the odds of a second dip quite low. On the other hand, successfully forecasting recessions has not been a strong point of quantitative models. Words: 1433

See larger image The Indebted Society: Anatomy of an Ongoing Disaster (Hardcover) By (author) James L. Medoff, Andrew Harless List Price: $24.95 USD New From: $3.50 In Stock Used from: $0.01 In Stock

America’s Debt Bubble Will Implode When Fed Pulls Liquidity

The market basically doesn’t want a recovery right now. It loves high unemployment and a bad economy because it allows the Fed to keep rates at zero which is highly profitable for Wall St via the games that I described above. Of course our crippled economy is an absolute nightmare for the rest of us as we lose our jobs and our homes as Rome continues to burn. Words: 1248

See larger image The Greatest Trade Ever: The Behind-the-Scenes Story of How John Paulson Defied Wall Street and Made Financial History (Hardcover) By (author) Gregory Zuckerman List Price: $26.00 USD New From: $14.91 In Stock Used from: $14.44 In Stock Release date November 3, 2009.

Why a ‘Crash Back’ to Autumn ’08 Lows is Likely By End of 2011

The key concern for analyzing trading/investing opportunities for the rest of 2010 is whether we are facing a major pullback or ‘crash back’ to Autumn 2008 or March 2009 lows, or to see markets continue in their “risk on / risk off” pattern of the first quarter. Words: 516

Quinn: Gold Going to $1500, Silver to $20 and Oil to $100 This Year

Here are [6 of my 11] my prognostications in the areas of the economy, domestic politics, global geopolitics, and the investment markets: The US Dollar will fall to record low; house prices will fall a further 10%; interest rates will rise; unemployment rate will rise to 11%; oil prices will exceed $100; the stock market will drop 30%. Let’s hope I’m wrong! Words: 681

See larger image America's Financial Apocalypse: How to Profit from the Next Great Depression (Paperback) By (author) Stathis List Price: $55.95 USD New From: $47.74 In Stock Used from: $19.98 In Stock

Wein: 10 Events That Will Impact the U.S.A. This Year

Because it is significantly undervalued on a purchasing power parity basis, the dollar rallies against the yen and the euro. It exceeds 100 on the yen and the euro drops below $1.30 as the long slide of the greenback is interrupted. Longer term prospects remain uncertain. Words: 664

See larger image Economic Collapse And The New World Order! (Paperback) By (author) Terry L Cook List Price: $17.99 USD New From: $17.99 In Stock

Gold will Breach $1,500 and Oil will Surpass $100 Predicts Merrill Lynch

Bank of America Merrill Lynch is very bullish for 2010. They see many of the trends of 2009 continuing into 2010 and driving equity markets around the world higher by double digits. Words: 891

See larger image Global Economic Forecast 2010-2015: Recession Into Depression (Paperback) By (author) Sheldon Filger List Price: $19.95 USD New From: $17.40 In Stock Used from: $17.39 In Stock

Some Predictions and Investment Advice for 2010

The economy has many issues, and any missteps by the Fed could result in either catastrophic inflation or a double dip recession. The politicians understand the relationship between jobs and re-election, and are desperately trying to get the former moving before September, when most voters will have made up their minds. Words: 1423

See larger image Economics For Everyone: Basic Economics 2010 (Paperback) By (author) Richard Carmichael List Price: $19.95 USD New From: $19.95 In Stock Used from: $26.83 In Stock

What the Presidential Cycle Implies for 2010

Volatility is expected to highlight North American equity markets in 2010 as equity markets follow their traditional four-year Presidential Cycle, implying strong equity markets in the first half of the year followed by a sharp decline into the third quarter, followed by an important recovery beginning in November. Words: 764

See larger image The Bull Inside the Bear: Finding New Investment Opportunities in Todays Fast-Changing Financial Markets (Hardcover) By (author) Robert Stein List Price: $29.95 USD New From: $1.29 In Stock Used from: $1.39 In Stock

David Rosenberg: It’s Time to Implement Defensive Strategies

One conclusion I think we can agree on is the need to maintain defensive strategies and minimize volatility and downside risks as well as to focus on where the secular fundamentals are positive such as in fixed-income and in equity sectors that lever off the commodity sector, under the proviso that the “experts” are correct on this particular forecast — that China and India remain the global growth leaders. Words: 1380

See larger image Bulletproof Investing In A Recession (Paperback) By (author) Shawn Lucas, Fred Vander Werff List Price: $14.95 USD New From: $14.95 In Stock Used from: $5.00 In Stock

Reuters 2010 Equity Forecast: Hang Seng UP 24%; S&P 500 UP 9%; Nikkei UP 7%

An explosive rally in world stock markets from multi-year lows in March has lost some momentum but most major indexes will rise further by end-2010, according to a Reuters poll of more than 200 strategists. Words: 391

See larger image Top Stocks 2010 (Paperback) By (author) Martin Roth List Price: $27.95 USD New From: $16.26 In Stock Used from: $18.26 In Stock

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