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The amount of evidence stacking up that…mutual funds…do not provide value for their investors is just staggering…While there are certainly signs that the public’s tolerance of excessive fees and executive pay is falling, the likelihood of significant structural change in the finance industry is still remote. Given such a backdrop the probability remains that investors in funds will, on average, continue to underperform their benchmarks. So what is an investor to do? [Read on!] Words: 830
February 6th, 2012 | Posted in Asset Allocation,Investing | Read More »

Whilst we as staunch Austrians would prefer less liquidity provision and more allowance for markets to naturally self-correct and deleverage… we suspect that as markets try to self-correct, the authorities generally will be forced to print more and more [as] it is the easiest course for them to take and the typically all too human option…As such we look once more at how inflationary and deflationary outcomes might affect precious metal investors. Words: 1323
February 6th, 2012 | Posted in Gold/Silver,Investing | Read More »

Warren Buffett is a smart guy and has ascended to near immortal [status] amongst the investment community due to his superior stock picking skills and boundless wealth. [That being said,] listening to his views on portfolio management and diversification could cripple your financial health and may make him one of the most dangerous men in finance. [Let me explain.] Words: 720
February 6th, 2012 | Posted in Asset Allocation,Investing | Read More »

The Web is crawling with technical analysis (TA)…[and,] given its popularity, [begs the questions as to whether or not there] really is something to it. [Based on our research,] the short answer is no, not really, at least not in developed markets like the US or the UK… Furthermore, most of the popular TA indicators that are bandied around are nonsense jargon and should be ignored as useless noise. [Let us explain our position.] Words: 2143
February 5th, 2012 | Posted in Investing,Stock Indices | Read More »

What hope can there be for motivated stock pickers – no matter how much they sweat and toil – to outperform the low-cost index funds that simply mechanically track the market? Well – in spite of the absurd rise of the Nobel-acclaimed, and highly promoted, Efficient Market Hypothesis that claims that individual investors can’t beat the market – it turns out there is plenty! Just ask Warren Buffett, for one. [Let me explain.] Words: 1574
February 5th, 2012 | Posted in Investing,Stock Indices | Read More »

[Although] investing in natural gas is an incredibly popular and active sector of the commodity world given its robust growth predictions,…it tends to exhibit violent daily swings with high and liquid volumes. While this can lead to significant losses, for those who play their cards right, trading natural gas can make for a nice short term reward. [That being said,] for the more traditional “buy and hold” investor there are still a number of options that, [while they] may not directly invest in the commodity, offer significant exposure under a safer structure. [In this article I have identified 25 ways to invest in natural gas to help investors pick the correct security for their portfolio]. Words: 1800
February 4th, 2012 | Posted in Investing,Oil and Gas | Read More »

151 analysts maintain that gold will eventually reach a parabolic peak price of at least $3,000/ozt. before the bubble bursts of which 101 see gold reaching at least $5,000/ozt., 17 predict a parabolic peak price of as much as $10,000 per troy ounce and a further 13 are on record as saying gold could go even higher than that. Take a look here at who is projecting what, by when and why. Words: 844
February 4th, 2012 | Posted in Gold/Silver,Investing | Read More »

The agriculture sector has long been a popular place for commodity trading. After all, it was with agricultural futures that commodity trading got its start. Farmers had originally used these contracts to help offset any losses in crop yields. Now, the agricultural space has blossomed into a market chock full of options for investors, but many investors are still unaware of the vast opportunities that this sector offers. [Let us change all that!] Words:2376
February 4th, 2012 | Posted in Investing,Other Commodities | Read More »

The interim peaks in gold have been spaced 21 months apart over the past 6 years and have seen gains from 80.2% to 97.3%. As such, given the fact that the low of this last correction came in at $1,524 four months ago, we can expect gold to reach a new peak price of $2,750 to $3,000 in 17 months time (i.e. June/July 2013). [Let me explain in more detail.] Words: 976
February 2nd, 2012 | Posted in Gold/Silver,Investing | Read More »

This article was prompted by a question enquiring what the silver price might be if my gold forecast of $4,500 proved to be correct [see my article entitled "Alf Field: Correction in Gold is OVER and On Way to $4,500+!" and I have settled on] a target price of $158.34 for silver. [Let me explain how I came to that specific price.] Words: 850
February 1st, 2012 | Posted in Gold/Silver,Investing | Read More »