Our forecast of much higher gold prices depends not one iota on the day-to-day ups and downs, no matter how extreme, in the yellow metal’s price. Instead, the average long-term price is entirely a function of world economic and political developments, which affect the intensity of investor interest (what we might call long-term hoarding demand) and on gold’s own supply/demand fundamentals. [Let me explain further.] Words: 500
So says Jeffrey Nichols (www.nicholsongold.com) in edited excerpts from his original article* which Lorimer Wilson, editor of www.munKNEE.com (Your Key to Making Money!), has further edited below for length and clarity – see Editor’s Note at the bottom of the page. (This paragraph must be included in any article re-posting to avoid copyright infringement.)
Nichols goes on to say, in part:
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At the risk of sounding repetitious, we think gold’s long-term price determinants are unequivocally bullish. Very briefly, here are six reasons why I see much higher gold prices for years to come:
- Further monetary easing by the world’s top central banks – the U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), the European Central Bank (the ECB), the Bank of England, the Swiss National Bank, and the People’s Bank of China (the PBOC) – is likely as global economic activity and employment remain unacceptably depressed.
- Central bank interest will not only continue but will likely expand in 2012 – with China and Russia leading the pack, joined by a growing number of central banks underweighted in gold and over weighted dollars and euros. The official sector continues to underpin the price, buying on dips – and willing to absorb however many ounces and tons are available to them without disrupting the market. In fact, it is likely that central banks took advantage of this week’s bargain-basement price to accumulate gold.
- Long-term demand from investors and jewelry buyers in both China and India will continue to boost gold prices quite significantly – not just in the next year or two, but for many years to come – reflecting the rising incomes and growing middle classes in these two countries.
- Persistent Middle East tensions – with saber-rattling by Iran, oil-price uncertainties, civil war in Syria, growing unrest in one or another country, and the spread of Islamic fundamentalism.
- Europe’s continuing sovereign-debt crisis, further downgrades by the credit-rating agencies, the still-likely Greek default and departure from the euro-zone, possibly followed by other deeply indebted European countries and, importantly,
- the loss of purchasing power and devaluation of the old industrial world’s major currencies (the U.S. dollar, the euro, the British pound and even the Swiss franc) and the ascendency of the Chinese yuan along with the currencies of some other newly industrialized nations.
Just where the gold price is heading in the days and weeks ahead is truly anyone’s guess – but I feel confident that over the next few years gold will achieve rarified heights – with $3,000, $4,000, and possibly even $5,000 an ounce more than likely.
Editor’s Note: The above article has been has edited ([ ]), abridged, and reformatted (including the title, some sub-titles and bold/italics emphases) for the sake of clarity and brevity to ensure a fast and easy read. The article’s views and conclusions are unaltered and no personal comments have been included to maintain the integrity of the original article.
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Lately analyst after analyst (161 at last count) has been climbing on board the golden wagon with prognostications as to what the parabolic peak price for gold will eventually be. That being said, however, only 51 have been bold enough to include the year in which they think their peak price estimate will occur and they are listed below. Take a look at who is projecting what, by when and why. Words: 644
Once this present correction in gold has been completed it should [undergo] the largest and strongest wave in the entire gold bull market…to around $4,500 with only two 13% corrections along the way. [Let me explain how I came to that conclusion.] Words: 1900
According to a recent Elliott Wave theory analysis gold is about to go parabolic reaching $3,495 in June 2013, $6,233 in April 2014, $10,899 in Sept. 2014, $18,712 in December 2014 and culminating in a parabolic peak price of $31,672 on January 16th, 2015! See the chart below. Words: 600
Our Fractal Model suggests the wave for Gold in US Dollars will sweep up into the $3500 to $3600 area into the mid-year time-frame. The leading edge of that time-frame begins in May and extends out for a few months. A potential for Gold to spike to a $3900 extended fib level exists. Like all parabolic moves in Gold, the late stages create the biggest price movements. Personally, I would be happy with a huge Gold run up to the $3200 level. Words: 1400
There is such a “fear of gold” amongst most people that it must be due to statist indoctrination and propaganda because it makes no rational sense to have such a fear of such a time tested and true store of wealth. After all, we are talking about time tested and true money – the only money that has lasted for thousands of years and is still fully accepted worldwide as a store of wealth….What would you rather hold “for eternity” gold [or] US dollars [which are nothing more than] a paper debt obligation of a bankrupt nation state? Words: 450
In this extraordinary interview Jim Sinclair lays out precisely what investors should expect in the future from policymakers and in the gold market and why. He takes listeners from where gold is trading today, through the rest of the bull market, all the way to the conclusion.
When considering that the conditions which propelled gold and silver to their 1980 highs are much worse today, I predict both metals will easily eclipse those previous highs. That means $2,500 gold and $150 silver at the very minimum, but more likely a parabolic ascent to $8,890 gold and $517 silver before all is said and done. Words: 1063
All you gold bugs out there (and budding gold bugs too!) should find this article of extreme interest. With gold about to make a major move upwards in price NOW is the time to position your gold-investment allocation to maximize your dollars deployed and returns generated. Those in the know will not be investing in physical or paper gold, or even the stocks of the miners, but in the long-term warrants of the very few mining companies that offer such an opportunity. This article provides a primer on the MAJOR advantage that long-term warrants have in a market upleg and identify the specific warrants that are available. Words: 1037
Whatever their reasons, the number of investors wanting exposure to gold is increasing. Many who ignored it a decade ago are now buying. Those who started buying, say, five years ago, continue purchasing it today in spite of paying twice what they paid then. Slowly but surely, it’s becoming more important to more people…but what happens when it becomes a must-own asset to a substantial majority instead of a small minority? Sure, the price will rise, probably parabolically, but putting aside speculation on the price of gold for now, have you thought about what happens if you have trouble finding any actual, physical gold to buy? [Let’s explore that possibility and what that would mean for gold stocks in such an eventuality.] Words: 870
153 analysts maintain that gold could eventually reach a parabolic peak price of at least $3,000/ozt. before the bubble bursts of which 103 see gold reaching at least $5,000/ozt., 17 predict a parabolic peak price of as much as $10,000 per troy ounce and a further 13 are on record as saying gold could go even higher than that. Take a look here at who is projecting what, by when and why. Words: 844
That governments will want – and will NEED – much, much higher gold and silver prices in the future is counter intuitive, given that they have done everything within their power to throttle back and to keep a lid on bullion prices. Let me explain why. Words: 1300