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Consumer Price Index

Due to high unemployment and a weak recovery world central bankers are focused on weakening their currencies to boost exports. [As such,] I think [even more] quantitative easing and other currency intervention is in our future…[and this will further increase]…both inflation and the price of gold. Let me explain with a few charts.] Words: 350
January 22nd, 2012 | Posted in Gold/Silver,Investing | Read More »

We are reading a lot of hype these days about gold and the necessity to own it but only about 2% of ‘investors’ actually have gold in their portfolios and those that have done so have insufficient quantities to offset the future impact of inflation and to maximize their portfolio returns. New research, however, has determined a specific percentage to accomplish such objectives. Words: 1063
October 16th, 2011 | Posted in Asset Allocation,Investing | Read More »

The Fed justified the last round of quantitative easing “to promote a stronger pace of economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at levels consistent with its mandate”. In effect, the Fed is trying to increase inflation, operating at the macro level but what does an increase in inflation mean at the micro level — specifically to your household? [Let's take a look.] Words: 1555
September 15th, 2011 | Posted in Economy,Inflation/Deflation | Read More »

Housing makes up 42% of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) with the rest of it – food, energy, clothing, recreation, education, transportation, toys, cosmetics, etc. – making up the other 58%. [The current] softness of housing prices is artificially suppressing the growth of the CPI inflation rate [but with the coming increase in lumber costs that is about to change. Let me explain] Words: 772
August 30th, 2011 | Posted in Economy,Inflation/Deflation | Read More »
The economic news is not very encouraging these days. Everywhere I’ve looked, and I’ve looked at 10 different indicators (surveys, polls and indexes), things appear to be either down or stagnant. Let me be more explicit. Words: 1058
June 12th, 2011 | Posted in Economic Overview,Economy | Read More »
Most economists see the latest Q1 GDP stumble as a blip, something we shouldn’t worry about because the economy is still on track for recovery…[but] another way to look at it is that the economy is being harmed by monetary inflation and we are seeing massive distortions in the economy as a result of this intentional Fed policy – economic growth is stalling and industrial production, manufacturing, non-manufacturing, durable goods production, retail sales and employment is flattening-to-declining… I think this is the correct way of looking at things and, [as such,] Q1 is not a temporary blip on the road to recovery… [but another mile down the road to economic stagflation, price inflation, lower real estate prices, continuing high unemployment, a weaker dollar, higher taxes and more - much more! Let me explain.] Words: 2997
June 5th, 2011 | Posted in Economic Overview,Economy | Read More »
Based on past massive monetary pumping, and using the time lag of 36 months which it normally takes before changes in money supply generate a visible effect on the prices of goods in general, we forecast that the yearly rate of growth of the CPI based inflation could rise to 2.4 percent by September of this year before jumping to 4.4 percent by December. Year on year, the rate of growth of the CPI less food and energy is forecast to climb to 1.5 percent by September before climbing to 2.7 percent in December. Let me explain. Words: 1670
March 1st, 2011 | Posted in Economy,Inflation/Deflation | Read More »
In Europe, they were able to come up with a clever moniker, PIGS, to succinctly represent [and name the countries in dire financial straights - Portugal, Iceland, Ireland, Greece and Spain] the most boorish animals on the farm, and [I have taken it upon myself to call the U.S. state budget crises] the story of CAIN (California, Arizona, Alaska, Illinois, New York and New Jersey), the seven most rotten pillars of our union, and (Un)Abel, the country as a whole, which is (Un)Abel, i.e. unable, to do anything about the impending crises. Given the current political climate and implicit anti-bailout mandate of the new Congress, the Federal government might be powerless to do anything but accept painful state defaults. Before we know it, we could all be ancestors of evil… 2011 could be the year that CAIN starts to face some serious trouble, and may need some serious help to avoid killing his brother (Un)Abel! Words: 1529
December 15th, 2010 | Posted in Debts/Deficits,Economy,Gold/Silver | Read More »
Fox News’ Glenn Beck has repeatedly stoked fears that the U.S. would see “massive inflation,” stating, as far back as 2008, that inflation would go “through the roof” in the “next year.” In fact, inflation remained low in 2009 and 2010 and looks to remain the same in 2011. Let’s review Beck’s prognostications one by one and come to our own conclusion. Words: 1764
December 7th, 2010 | Posted in Economy,Inflation/Deflation | Read More »
Our leaders in Washington are so detached from reality it begs the question, “What are they smoking?” I’m not talking about the insane amounts of spending that’s going on in our capital, or even about the patently unpayable debts and promises they’re making to all of us and our foreign creditors. Although I think these things, too, result from whatever drugs they’re on inside the beltway I am referring the way Washington manipulates its official statistics. Words: 1107
May 1st, 2010 | Posted in Economy,Inflation/Deflation | Read More »