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It’s easy to lose perspective on where the global economy stands – to be confused by the daily deluge of information – so let’s look at the big-picture of where we are today. As an investor it can mean the difference between making and losing a lot of money. So let’s take a look and see [where we are at and what events are unfolding - slowly but surely]. Words: 1186
By (author) Martin D. Weiss
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At times like these, it is hardly going out on a limb to say that we are headed for hard economic times. In fact, it seems like almost everyone in the financial world is either declaring that a recession is coming or is busy preparing for one. The truth is that bad economic signs are everywhere. Words: 1171
By (author) Sheldon Filger
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Increases in spending and liabilities along with decreases in foreign lending equals a recipe for disaster. So, where will the money come from? This is a job for the printing press. While we are certainly facing deflation in the near term and a very choppy market, the groundwork has been laid for hyperinflation, soaring interest rates and exploding gold and silver prices. Words: 945
By (author) James Turk, John Rubino
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Release date January 29, 2008.
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Filed under Debts/Deficits · Tagged with Dallas Federal Reserve Bank, federal deficits, Federal Open Market Committee, financial crisis, FOMC, Former Comptroller General David Walker, hyperinflation, Laurence Kotlikoff, Medicare, Office of Management and Budget, OMB, Richard Fisher, Social Security
With all the attention being focused on whether or not there will be a sustainable recovery in 2010, the potential for a wave of sovereign-debt crises following the wake of the global recession has just recently started to appear on people’s radar screens – and such a wave should not be surprising. Words: 2541
By (author) Carmen M. Reinhart, Kenneth Rogoff
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Filed under Debts/Deficits, Economy · Tagged with Bernanke, Brad DeLong, Carmen Reinhart, currency crises, Dominic Strauss-Kahn, financial crisis, global recession, government debt, Ian Bremmer, International Monetary Fund, Joseph Stiglitz, Kenneth Rogoff, Keynesian fiscal stimulus, Niall Ferguson, Nouriel Roubini, PIGS, President Obama, sovereign debt crisis, stimulus spending, This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly, toxic debt, unemployment benefits
There are very compelling arguments for both inflation and deflation. The answer will eventually depend on decisions made in Washington and how people react to those decisions. For now, let’s stop fooling ourselves and admit that we don’t know. It is a problem that has to be dealt with and there is no easy medicine. Either path will be painful, but that’s what we get for our two and a half decade debt binge. Words: 1142
By (author) David Knox Barker
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Filed under Economy, Inflation/Deflation · Tagged with Ben Bernanke, budget deficit, cash, commodities, deflation, dollar devaluation, Federal Reserve, financial crisis, foreign denominated assets, gold, gold and silver coins, government debt, Great Depression, hard assets, hyperinflation, inflation, silver, sovereign debt default, U.S. denominated assets, U.S. dollar
Once economic growth recovers, it is likely we will return to the market conditions of 2008. The price of $140 per barrel oil was not an aberration; it was a warning. An oil crisis is coming that could prove devastating to future economic growth. Given the long lead times of 5-to-10 years from oil discovery to production, we need to act now to avert this outcome. Words: 862
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Release date May 19, 2009.
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Filed under Oil and Gas · Tagged with carbon footprint, energy demand, financial crisis, Hydrocarbons, IEA, International Energy Agency, John Hess, Merrill Lynch, Money and Oil Conference, Neil McMahon, oil, oil demand, oil resources, oil supply, Sanford Bernstein Co.
What is surprising to me these days is how quickly investor mindset has shifted from the sheer uncontrolled fear they felt in October or November of 2008 or March of 2009. People seem to have completely forgotten how terrified they felt a few months ago. They have forgotten that they made impulsive decisions; that they made big decisions when they should have been making small ones; that, instead of making incremental adjustments to portfolios, instead of rebalancing at the margin, they bailed out of asset classes entirely or moved completely into cash. That’s very troubling to me and it suggests that we’re nowhere near out of the woods. It worries me so much I think we’re probably in for another big surprise before we have a full recovery. Words: 1489
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Within the recent retracement of the U.S. currency there has been endless speculation about the future role of the dollar as the world’s primary reserve currency. Moreover, there has even been conjecture that the dollar will no longer exist at some point in the near future but any case made for the vulnerability of the dollar falls short when it comes to naming alternatives. Words: 631
By (author) Arun Motianey
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Filed under U.S. Dollar · Tagged with Bank of England, British pound, budget deficit, commodities, euro, Eurozone, financial crisis, gold, inflation, Japanese Yen, OECD, Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development, Real Estate, recession, U.S. dollar
I am not suggesting that sufficient wisdom presently resides in the leadership of the world to see this but as their false remedies are tried, and one after the other backfire, the ultimate solution to the crisis, gold-revaluation, will eventually dawn on the world. Words: 1743
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The effects of the credit crunch on the real estate market have been serious, but negative trends will not continue forever. Words: 512
By (author) Steve Bergsman
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