Tag Archives: gold

What would the optimal portfolio allocation in gold have been according to Modern Portfolio Theory over several different periods of time? This article has a look at how an investor could have combined gold and equities to enhance risk-adjusted returns.

Investing in natural resources and precious metals is attractive today because the sector is so much cheaper than it was three years ago. Many of the stocks are trading at a 90 percent discount to their prices in 2011. For a contrarian investor, I believe that we are seeing a historic opportunity now.

Tell us where in the charts below there are any indications that the “true” value for gold should be in the $5,000 – $10,000 per troy ounce range, or silver in the $100 – $300 range. If you see extraordinary bullish signs within them, let us know, because we certainly keep looking and cannot find any needle in these “haystack” charts!

History is testament that there exists monumental probability (76% to 100%) that 2014-2016 will witness impressive gains for Gold, Silver and Precious Metal Equities…across the board. Below are charts of 8 different forms of precious metals assets that show that Golden Crosses are a fait accompli or are about to experience imminent completion thus heralding an immediate new Bull Market and that the forth-coming secular bull markets in all forms of precious metals may well far surpass the forecasts herein stated. The focus of the following analysis is to prove the predictable accuracy and timing of the The Golden Cross.

What is taking place around the world these days is analogous to the children's game of Musical Chairs, where everyone is happily going round and round at the beginning of the game but they all know that at some point soon the music will stop and those without a chair to sit in will be out of the game! I see PMs as being the chairs and, when the current financial music stops, those without PMs will be left holding nothing but paper money and history is full of examples of paper money suddenly becoming worthless!

People are focusing on the price of PMs, treating gold and silver as vehicles for increasing in price relative to their cost of purchase and not on the reality of what the artificially suppressed market is showing. It is the reason for buying and holding gold and silver that matters. Know this: It does not matter what you pay/paid for owning physical gold and silver. Price is temporary; physical is permanent. That being said, however, a red flag is in currently in effect regarding gold & silver. Below I explain why.

Over the next couple of months everything should generally rise together but once the dollar puts in an intermediate bottom sometime in March or April, commodities and gold will move down into an intermediate correction as the stock market completes its final blow off top. After the stock market parabola collapses later this summer it will be time to put the pedal to the metal in the commodity markets, and especially the precious metal markets as the Great Inflation begins in earnest.

Charts capture the essence of timing so lacking in fundamentals providing information on how, (long or short), and when to enter, and at what price. Charts allow you to actually see how the markets are developing into trading opportunities, as well as when to avoid committing money. Below are analyses of gold and GDX (as a proxy for the relatively large cap gold producing stocks), in chart form, that may help you better understand what trades you should, and should not, take.

Obama has introduced the MyRA account and it is the prelude for eventually taking over the country’s entire pension programs, taking over all the accounts, (stealing your lifetime savings), and exchanging them for the US Treasury Bonds the Fed cannot sell to countries anymore. This is the only way the US government can cover its trillion $ (and growing) deficit spending. Got gold- physical gold?

Because the natural laws of supply and demand do not apply to gold and silver, the only way we can track the influence of endless paper supply on the market is through the most reliable source, the market itself, and the best way to track the market is through charts.Let's take a look at what they are conveying today.