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One typically doesn’t look to government bureaucracies to receive hard-nosed, objective discussions on the economy so you can magine my surprise when the latest Financial System Review, published semi-annually by the Bank of Canada, landed in my inbox and I discovered that it contained a very sobering look at Canada’s economy and the many systemic risks the country is facing! It’s not surprising that this report was not picked up by the main stream news, because if they did the popular opinion of Canada’s invincible, recession-proof economy might begin to crumble. [Let me explain.] Words: 2400
January 23rd, 2012 | Posted in Economic Overview,Economy | Read More »
[Unfortunately,] for the U.S….its budget deficit is growing in spite of the fact revenues into the treasury continue to grow…Given the low level of interest rates on the Treasury’s debt it would not take much of an interest rate spike in the U.S. to negatively impact the government’s budget. [So, in reply to the unspoken question on everyone's mind, "Yes, the debit crisis could most definitely spread to the U.S." Let me explain further.] Words: 633
November 8th, 2011 | Posted in Debts/Deficits,Economy | Read More »
The precious metals correction is here. Gold and silver are down… and gold and silver stocks, as should be expected, are down even more but…have been hit much harder than they should have been. As a result, right NOW is the best time [we have seen] to buy gold stocks in more than two years and they’re poised to make another run of 30% in the next few months. Here’s why. Words: 767
June 3rd, 2011 | Posted in Gold/Silver,Investing | Read More »
Investors of all stripes must now be aware both of the bull market in gold/silver and the bear market in the U.S. dollar. Despite all of the rhetoric, however, it seems that little is actually understood about how these two phenomena are actually connected. Ultimately, this connection (or lack thereof) has serious implications for both markets. [Let's examine the situation more closely.] Words: 778
May 17th, 2011 | Posted in Gold/Silver | Read More »
Many lessons can be gleaned from history and, while no two periods are identically alike, there are often many similarities to learn from. The current period, for example, is often compared to the Great Depression in regards to unprecedented government action as well as with the 1970s in regards to trends in commodities and inflation. [Let's take a closer look.] Words: 1165
May 3rd, 2011 | Posted in Asset Allocation,Investing | Read More »
[Whatever you] call it – a bubble, a frenzy or a mania – there seems to be a large number of voices in the marketplace who just are not fans of gold, whether prices are moving up, down or sideways [but] the reality is that gold doesn’t possess the traits necessary for a financial bubble to form. [In fact, the current worldwide economic and fiscal environment suggests that gold will go MUCH higher. Let me explain.] Words: 2368
March 31st, 2011 | Posted in Gold/Silver | Read More »
One of the most controversial topics in investing is the price of gold… [with] many goldbugs say[ing]…that gold will soon break $2,000, then $5,000 and then $10,000 an ounce but, [frankly,] how can anyone reasonably calculate what the price of gold [should be when they don't understand the factors that drive gold? So let me explain.] Words: 992
December 20th, 2010 | Posted in Gold/Silver,Investing | Read More »
The market basically doesn’t want a recovery right now. It loves high unemployment and a bad economy because it allows the Fed to keep rates at zero which is highly profitable for Wall St via the games that I described above. Of course our crippled economy is an absolute nightmare for the rest of us as we lose our jobs and our homes as Rome continues to burn. Words: 1248
June 15th, 2010 | Posted in 2011-12 Forecasts,Economy | Read More »
We are staring at a startling increase in the price of gold and precious metals mining stocks and warrants. Gold will reach mind- boggling levels because the actions of our political leaders and their academic and credentialed enablers are virtually guaranteeing it with their current actions. Words: 996
May 28th, 2010 | Posted in Gold/Silver | Read More »
The key concern for analyzing trading/investing opportunities for the rest of 2010 is whether we are facing a major pullback or ‘crash back’ to Autumn 2008 or March 2009 lows, or to see markets continue in their “risk on / risk off” pattern of the first quarter. Words: 516
May 3rd, 2010 | Posted in 2011-12 Forecasts,Economy | Read More »
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