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What Does Current Global Crisis Comparison with Those of ’08 and ’10 Mean for Stocks, Bonds, Currencies and Commodities?

investing

How does the current behavior of the global financial markets compare with the two recent crises, namely the great financial crisis of 2008/2009 and the minor one in 2010 when the sovereign debt crisis in the eurozone developed? [I have analyzed 15 aspects of the markets and have concluded that over the next 2/3 months we should see, among other things, increased volatility, declining S&P 500 and MSCI World indices, a bottoming in the 10-year U.S. Treasuries yield, renewed U.S. dollar weakness, renewed strength in the price of gold and silver with silver outperforming that of gold. Take a look at the 19 charts below to see for yourself.] Words: 825

October 13th, 2011 | Posted in Investing | Read More »

Which Investments Are the Best Safe Havens In A Financial Crisis?

investor-fear

As investors look for safe havens in a potential market panic, I am reminded of the adage, “In the land of the blind, the one-eyed man is king.” Today, I see several metaphorical one-eyed men in this land of the blind that could serve as safe havens were there to be a market panic. All of them have significant flaws. In this post I would like to discuss them one by one. Words: 780

August 30th, 2011 | Posted in Asset Allocation,Investing | Read More »

With U.S. Facing Default Where Should You Put Your Money?

With the United States quickly approaching the deadline for raising the limit on its debt load, squeamish investors are thinking about how they can preserve their hard-earned money. [Let's discuss the alternatives: gold and silver, cash, currencies other than the USD and the VIX.] Words: 683

July 21st, 2011 | Posted in Asset Allocation,Investing | Read More »

Move Aside USD: The New Safe Haven Currency is the “Swissie”

According to conventional market wisdom, there are three safe haven currencies: the Swiss franc, Japanese yen, and US dollar. It is to these currencies that investors flock whenever there is a crisis, or merely an outbreak of uncertainty, and for much of the period following the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the three were closely correlated [but that is nolonger the case as the title of this article so indicates. Let me show you what has happened of late.] Words: 670

June 22nd, 2011 | Posted in Economy,U.S. Dollar | Read More »

Why We Are Staring at a Startling Increase in the Price of Gold

We are staring at a startling increase in the price of gold and precious metals mining stocks and warrants. Gold will reach mind- boggling levels because the actions of our political leaders and their academic and credentialed enablers are virtually guaranteeing it with their current actions. Words: 996

May 28th, 2010 | Posted in Gold/Silver | Read More »

New! A Gold Bullion Index That Identifies Influence of Demand vs USD Strength

While there has definitely been a bull market in gold over the past 6 years or so it has been aided and abetted to a large degree by the weakness in the US dollar. Seen through the lenses of other currencies, the gold bull has been much less robust. Words: 956

April 7th, 2010 | Posted in Gold/Silver | Read More »

Protect Profits and Reduce Risk With Gold and U.S. Dollar ETFs

If you believe further political disruptions around the world will likely occur in 2010 and/or 2011 and that we will also likely see inflation begin to rise within the next 12 months then we should see higher gold prices. Furthermore, if the economy falters once again, many investors will sell their common stocks and put their money in gold pushing the price up even further. Words: 779

April 4th, 2010 | Posted in Mutual/ETFunds | Read More »

Why a Multi-year Bull Market is Ahead for the U.S. Dollar

Given the ongoing crisis surrounding the euro, the vulnerability of the British pound from a continued spread of sovereign debt concerns AND the catalyst for a weakening yen, I’m expecting the dollar to continue its upward path against major currencies both in the short-term and longer-term. Words: 738

March 18th, 2010 | Posted in U.S. Dollar | Read More »

What are the Alternatives to the U.S. Dollar?

The Japanese yen, the British pound and the euro don’t offer any appeal over the dollar because the currency market is a beauty contest where the least ugly wins and not only is the dollar the least ugly, but it offers refuge when fear and uncertainty grip the markets. Words: 1006

March 1st, 2010 | Posted in U.S. Dollar | Read More »

Is There a Viable Alternative to the Dollar as the Reserve Currency?

Within the recent retracement of the U.S. currency there has been endless speculation about the future role of the dollar as the world’s primary reserve currency. Moreover, there has even been conjecture that the dollar will no longer exist at some point in the near future but any case made for the vulnerability of the dollar falls short when it comes to naming alternatives. Words: 631

February 19th, 2010 | Posted in U.S. Dollar | Read More »

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  1. mygoldmygold: Wow…that’s a nice prediction…I don’t think we can predict 100% accurately...
  2. taluis: A punitive Sales or Capital Gains Tax on the sale of gold in an economic collapse (or similar situation) is...
  3. steviebee: But….if gold is going to $10,000, why should I only have “7 to 15% in Precious Metals”...
  4. GoldRate: it will be interesting to see if this triangle breaks up or down. We’ve had big volatility this week....
  5. Blindfolded Monkey: I don’t have quite the same negative view of Paul Krugman but I agree that it is clear that...
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