Why read: It is foolish not to consider the possibility of depression, particularly in the face of the preponderance of commentary over the past many months that rampant inflation is on the horizon. [Here I review, analyze and comment on one such article on that possibility.] Words: 697
Read More »Michael Pento Doubts U.S. Can Inflate Its Way Out of Debt – Here's Why
Michael Pento, president of Pento Portfolio Strategies, and Peter Tchir, founder of TF Market Advisors, talk about Nobel Prize winner Paul Krugman's recommendation that policy makers should consider allowing slightly higher inflation as a way to spur the U.S. economy.
Read More »U.S. "Deficit Disorder" Means Broken Promises + Even More QE! Here’s Why (+2K Views)
One of the problems with the debate over the “national debt” is that there’s no generally agreed upon definition of that term. Is it what the federal government owes, or what it owes foreigners, or what the whole country, private and public sector together, owes? Does it include off-balance-sheet items and contingent liabilities? There’s a hundred-trillion dollar gap between lowest and highest on this spectrum, which allows each commentator to confuse the rest of us by picking the measure that best suits their point of view. [Let's try to decipher the true state of the nation.] Words: 1468
Read More »Niall Ferguson: U.S. Playing “Russian Roulette” Assuming Interest Rates Will Remain Low (+2K Views)
Countering Krugman’s argument that today’s low interest rates show that no one is worried about lending money to us and, therefore, that we should borrow and spend our way to prosperity, Ferguson argues that today’s interest rates are irrelevant. When countries get into trouble, he says, they get into trouble quickly – the way Greece and other European countries have. Taking …
Read More »In Defense of Paul Krugman – Sort of
I have a great deal of respect for Paul Krugman as an economist. He has a unique talent among economists for being able to make complex economic issues both understandable and interesting for the average person. [That being said,]...I am far less impressed with his abilities as a public policy commentator. [Let me explain.] Words: 567
Read More »Paul Volcker's View on Inflation Not Right for These Times – Here's Why
Paul Volcker has written an Op-Ed for The New York Times entitled “A Little Inflation Can Be a Dangerous Thing,” in which he argues – and we really won’t dispute it – that allowing inflation above institutionally accepted levels of say, 2 percent, can indeed be a slippery slope, and a very bad thing, but times have changed since Mr. Volcker decided that he would do whatever it took to slay inflation. [These days a little inflation might be a very good thing. Let me explain.] Words: 1636
Read More »Why Deflation is Needed
The odds are growing that low inflation could become deflation — with some economists worried that it has already started to happen... [Frankly, though,] there is going to be no recovery, at least for a long time unless we have deflation... and those who reject [such a notion] will live to regret it. Words: 2148
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