The latest round of quantitative easing (an additional $40 billion a month until conditions improve) has been dubbed as "QEternity" or "QE-Infinity" by its critics but it will end much before that. We are witnessing a massive bubble in US government debt, and we've reached the point where no one in charge believes it will ever end - an excellent contra-indicator. [Let me explain.] Words: 720
Read More »QE3: Impact on Gold & Silver Returns Should Outshine Impact on Economic Growth – Here's Why
While the Fed’s third round of quantitative easing is fairly aggressive it is unlikely to have a significant impact on the economy – especially if policymakers in Washington lead us over the fiscal cliff. Where QE3 may have an impact, however, is in the commodities market, and in particular gold. Here’s why. Words: 400
Read More »Coming Stock Market Collapse to Prompt $1Trillion QE in December
In the next 2-4 weeks I would not be surprised to see the S&P500 hit 1400/1450. In the ensuing 4 months (i.e. by the end of November), however, I expect global equity markets will fall by 20-25% from current levels and to trade at or below the lows of 2011! That would bring the S&P500 down to 1100/1000. That's not all. In December I expect the Fed will introduce a $1 Trillion QE. Words: 921
Read More »Has Gold Spiked Due to a "Flight to Quality" or Increased Inflation Expectations?
There is some discussion in the blogosphere that the recent spike in gold reflects increased inflation expectations (possibly due to higher potential for Fed's QE3). That may be true, but that assumption is completely inconsistent with inflation expectations implied by TIPS.
Read More »U.S. Economy is Tanking; Everyone is Talking QE 3 Again – but it Ain't Coming Soon – Here's Why
Once again the U.S. economy is tanking and everyone is talking QE 3. Sorry folks, it ain't coming. If the Fed cranks up the printing press, Obama loses any hope of re-election. If the ECB cranks up the printing press, Germany walks. End of story. [Let me explain.] Words: 386
Read More »Embry: U.S. Fed Managing the Markets In Anticipation of QE3 Launch?
"The US Fed would love to have the dollar firm when they announce QE3 because it is going to get clobbered on that announcement. Similarly, I think they want the gold price as low as possible when that announcement is made because it will be taking off to the upside when QE3 is announced. The stock market will also be taking off to the upside from lower levels when the announcement is made. So, I think they could be grooming (managing) the markets as we speak, positioning them for the optimal point of the launch of QE3."
Read More »Gold and Gold Stocks Going Even Lower! Here’s Why (+2K Views)
The Fed’s recent inference that QE3 was not imminent has caused physical gold and silver and the HUI and the XAU to breach their downside support lines. These transitions set up the distinct possibility that we could well see $1,500 gold and the HUI and XAU at 400 and 144, respectively! Let me outline my analyses of the current situation and how it might unfold. Words: 386
Read More »Fleckenstein: How Can So Many People Who Believe in Santa Claus, the Easter Bunny and Goldilocks Be Employed on Wall Street? (+2K Views)
We are going to get more money printing...[yet,] somehow, guys who want to buy stocks at 1,400 on the S&P all conclude that the Fed is going to stop easing...I just don't understand [when] the consequences of money printing are going to be more inflation and the metals (gold and silver) are going to be a big beneficiary of that.
Read More »What Does QE Really Do – and NOT Do?
[As you know earlier] this week the Federal Reserve...promised to keep short-term interest rates low through late 2014 ... up from a previous pledge of 2013. Not only that, the Fed also said it would continue with its "Operation Twist" policy of selling shorter-term Treasuries and buying longer-term ones. The goal [is to] hold down long-term interest rates but what does QE really do - and not do? [Let me explain.] Words: 500
Read More »Why More QE is Coming and What That Means for the Future Price of Gold
Most traders and some economists believe the Fed will step in with another round of Quantitative Easing (QE3) in the first half of 2012. This will pump up the stock market, particularly bank stocks, giving the impression that the US economy can’t be that bad, after all, [but in the process] debase the dollar and reduce purchasing power. [This, in turn, will result in higher]...inflation causing prudent investors to buy more gold. [Let me explain further what I see transpiring this quarter and why.] Words: 718
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