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secular bear market

S&P 500 is 45% Overvalued According to Reversion to Mean Analysis!

Was the March 2009 low the end of a secular bear market and the beginning of a secular bull? Without a crystal ball, we simply don’t know. One thing we can do is examine the past to broaden our understanding of the range of possibilities [so let's do just that by looking at charts of the inflation-adjusted secular highs and lows and regressions to trend of the S&P 500 from 1871 to the present so we can make some sense of it all]. Words: 682

January 26th, 2011 | Posted in Investing,Stock Indices | Read More »

“SuperCycles: The New Economic Force Transforming Global Markets and Investment Strategy”: A Book By Arun Motianey

Motianey is an engaging writer and “Supercycles” should be considered a must read for economic junkies. His ideas are fresh and innovative and he attempts to avoid the dogma that frequently leads those in the profession astray. Words: 700

February 26th, 2010 | Posted in Economy | Read More »

David Rosenberg: It’s Time to Implement Defensive Strategies

One conclusion I think we can agree on is the need to maintain defensive strategies and minimize volatility and downside risks as well as to focus on where the secular fundamentals are positive such as in fixed-income and in equity sectors that lever off the commodity sector, under the proviso that the “experts” are correct on this particular forecast — that China and India remain the global growth leaders. Words: 1380

January 21st, 2010 | Posted in 2011-12 Forecasts,Economy | Read More »

 

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