Tag Archives: sovereign defaults

Many people have been writing in to ask me, "why are you focusing on Europe so much? Who cares about Spain?" The short answer is that everyone should care about Spain. Spain could potentially take down the banking system in Europe, which would mean the US facing a Financial Crisis at least on par with 2008. That is why Europe is a HUGE deal for everyone....We're talking about systemic risk on a scale that would make 2008 look tiny in comparison. [Let me explain further.] Words: 674

The U.S. caused the 1930s deflationary depression and is again the cause of the current contraction. Although similarities exist between the two, the differences between them insure a far more consequential outcome today than in the 1930s. [Indeed, the world] now finds itself on the edge of a growing deflationary sinkhole created by the sequential collapse of two large U.S. bubbles, the dot.com and U.S. real estate bubbles. Words: 1549

The key concern for analyzing trading/investing opportunities for the rest of 2010 is whether we are facing a major pullback or 'crash back' to Autumn 2008 or March 2009 lows, or to see markets continue in their “risk on / risk off” pattern of the first quarter. Words: 516

Highly leveraged economies, particularly those in which continual rollover of short-term debt is sustained only by confidence in relatively illiquid underlying assets, seldom survive forever, particularly if leverage continues to grow unchecked. Words: 1264