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	<title>munKNEE.com &#187; SPY</title>
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		<title>Do Recent Gold &amp; Silver Correlation/Return Comparisons With S&amp;P 500 Refute Their Safe Haven Status?</title>
		<link>http://www.munknee.com/2011/11/do-recent-gold-silver-correlationreturn-comparisons-with-sp-500-refute-their-safe-haven-status/</link>
		<comments>http://www.munknee.com/2011/11/do-recent-gold-silver-correlationreturn-comparisons-with-sp-500-refute-their-safe-haven-status/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Nov 2011 07:43:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Editor</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Gold/Silver]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[correlation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GLD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[precious metals]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S&P 500]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[safe haven]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[silver]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SLV]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SPY]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.munknee.com/?p=30196</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The past few years have seen the development of the notion that GLD and SLV represent uncorrelated plays on the market, making them safe haven bets for your portfolio. Looking at historical trends (aside from 2011), [however,] one would have to go back to 2007 to find a year where these two metals weren’t highly correlated to the S&#038;P 500. For all of 2011, both ETFs have featured low correlation, but as recent trading weeks have shown, old habits die hard, as the two ETFs have fallen back into a highly correlated trend. Let's take a look at the particulars.]  Words: 672]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="addthis_toolbox addthis_default_style " addthis:url='http://www.munknee.com/2011/11/do-recent-gold-silver-correlationreturn-comparisons-with-sp-500-refute-their-safe-haven-status/' addthis:title='Do Recent Gold &amp; Silver Correlation/Return Comparisons With S&amp;P 500 Refute Their Safe Haven Status? '  ><a class="addthis_button_facebook_like" fb:like:layout="button_count"></a><a class="addthis_button_tweet"></a><a class="addthis_counter addthis_pill_style"></a></div><div id="page_header">
<p id="article_info"><a href="http://www.munknee.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/new.gif"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-23471" title="new" src="http://www.munknee.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/new.gif" alt="" width="40" height="20" /></a><strong>The past few years have seen the development of the notion that GLD and SLV represent uncorrelated plays<a href="http://www.munknee.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/171686-gold-silver-bars.jpg"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-28684" title="171686-gold-silver-bars" src="http://www.munknee.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/171686-gold-silver-bars.jpg" alt="" width="280" height="181" /></a> on the market, making them safe haven bets for your portfolio. Looking at historical trends (aside from 2011), [however,] one would have to go back to 2007 to find a year where these two metals weren’t highly correlated to the S&amp;P 500. For all of 2011, both ETFs have featured low correlation, but as recent trading weeks have shown, old habits die hard, as the two ETFs have fallen back into a highly correlated trend. [</strong><strong>Let's take a look at the particulars.] </strong> Words: 672</p>
</div>
<div id="main_content">
<p>So says <strong>Jared Cummans (http://commodityhq.com)</strong> in edited excerpts from his original article*.</p>
<blockquote>
<h6>Lorimer Wilson, editor of <strong><a href="http://www.munknee.com/">www.munKNEE.com</a> (Your Key to Making Money!) </strong>and <strong><a href="http://www.financialarticlesummariestoday.com/">www.FinancialArticleSummariesToday.com</a> (A site for sore eyes and inquisitive minds) </strong>has further edited ([ ]), abridged (…) and reformatted (some sub-titles and bold/italics emphases) below for the sake of clarity and brevity to ensure a fast and easy read. The author’s views and conclusions are unaltered and no personal comments have been included to maintain the integrity of the original article. Please note that this paragraph must be included in any article re-posting to avoid copyright infringement.</h6>
</blockquote>
<p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #0000ff;"><strong>Who in the world is currently reading this article along with you? Click <a href="http://www.munknee.com/about/visitors/"><span style="color: #0000ff;">here</span></a></strong></span></p>
<p>Cummans goes on to say, in part:</p>
<p><strong>Comparing Gold/Silver Correlations With the S&amp;P 500</strong></p>
<p>In recent weeks, markets have swayed violently back and forth in response to the European debt crisis&#8230;resulting in relatively high correlation to broad equity markets. Typically, investors opt for exposure to precious metals given their historically uncorrelated returns [see table below], as they typically gain when equities falter, but recently this has not been the case. Beginning September 23rd, the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) has featured a 0.77 correlation to SPY. Over that same period the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) has a correlation of 0.86 to SPY. These figures should cause investors’ stomach to turn, as their precious metals exposure has been behaving like just another equity investment.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #0000ff;"><span style="color: #ff0000;"><em><strong>Why spend time surfing the internet</strong></em> <em><strong>looking for informative and well-written articles</strong></em></span> on the health of the economies of the U.S., Canada and Europe; the development and implications of the world&#8217;s financial crisis and the various investment opportunities that present themselves related to commodities (gold and silver in particular) and the stock market <span style="color: #ff0000;"><em><strong>when</strong> <strong>we do it for you</strong></em></span>. We assess hundreds of articles every day, identify the best and then post edited excerpts of them to provide you with a fast and easy read.</span></p>
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<p>For the average portfolio:</p>
<ul>
<li>a correlation above 0.75 is considered high and implies that the assets are behaving in a nearly identical manner</li>
<li>0.2 is moderate diversification,</li>
<li>-0.2 is good diversification, and</li>
<li>anything better than -0.7 is considered excellent diversification.</li>
</ul>
<p>As noted in the table below, both the GLD and SLV ETFs have featured strong correlation to SPY [the S&amp;P 500 index] in ’08, ’09, ’10, and the past few weeks. Despite 2011 YTD correlations being the best in several years, this recent trend may give investors reasons to re-consider their allocations.</p>
<table border="1">
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Correlation</th>
<th>2007</th>
<th>2008</th>
<th>2009</th>
<th>2010</th>
<th>YTD</th>
<th>*Recent</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>GLD v SPY</strong></td>
<td>0.37</td>
<td>0.65</td>
<td>0.78</td>
<td>0.57</td>
<td>-0.36</td>
<td>0.77</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>SLV v SPY</strong></td>
<td>0.14</td>
<td>0.84</td>
<td>0.84</td>
<td>0.77</td>
<td>0.07</td>
<td>0.86</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="7"><em>*9/23/2011 – 11/10/2011</em></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p><strong></strong> </p>
<p><strong>Comparing Gold/Silver and S&amp;P 500 Returns</strong></p>
<p>While keeping an uncorrelated portfolio is certainly important, correlation should always be taken with a grain of salt. Anyone familiar with these precious metals over the past few years is fully aware that they have been steadily outpacing the S&amp;P 500 [in percentage returns. It begs the question as to] how two assets with a high correlation can have such different returns? The difference comes from the downside risks that each feature. Simply put, precious metals have a much lower downside risk than equities, allowing them to hold their ground. For example, if SPY drops 5% in a day and GLD drops 1%, the correlation between the two assets would still be relatively high, but the returns turn out vastly different.</p>
<table border="1">
<tbody>
<tr>
<th colspan="7">Returns</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th>Ticker</th>
<th>2007</th>
<th>2008</th>
<th>2009</th>
<th>2010</th>
<th>YTD</th>
<th>*Recent</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>GLD</strong></td>
<td>30.56%</td>
<td>4.96%</td>
<td>23.99%</td>
<td>29.27%</td>
<td>20.63%</td>
<td>7.10%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>SLV</strong></td>
<td>14.25%</td>
<td>-23.39%</td>
<td>47.29%</td>
<td>82.14%</td>
<td>10.80%</td>
<td>10.54%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>SPY</strong></td>
<td>5.12%</td>
<td>-36.70%</td>
<td>26.31%</td>
<td>15.o2%</td>
<td>1.18%</td>
<td>9.49%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="7"><em>*9/23/2011 – 11/10/2011</em></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>As demonstrated above, the returns of these three assets are astronomically different, despite their fairly high correlation to one another. Note that silver prices tend to be volatile over the long term, while gold tends to be more stable. With the exception of GLD in 2009, both precious metals funds have outdone SPY each of the past four years, proving that their high correlation may not be all that big of an issue.</p>
<p><strong>Conclusion</strong></p>
<p><strong>In the end, precious metals are still great safe haven holdings, but it is important to understand that there has been a strong correlation to equities over the past few years, and it may prompt you to reconsider how you allocate assets within your portfolio.</strong></p>
<p>*http://commodityhq.com/2011/gold-and-silver-not-the-safe-havens-you-thought-they-were/</p>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>Related Articles:</strong></span></p>
<p><strong>1. <a title="Where Do Gold &amp; Silver Rank in Vulnerability to a Recession Among Other Commodities?" href="http://www.munknee.com/2011/11/where-do-gold-silver-rank-in-vulnerability-to-a-recession-among-other-commodities/" rel="bookmark">Where Do Gold &amp; Silver Rank in Vulnerability to a Recession Among Other Commodities?</a></strong></p>
<p><a href="http://www.munknee.com/2011/11/where-do-gold-silver-rank-in-vulnerability-to-a-recession-among-other-commodities/"><img title="crowne-gold-silver-bullion_l" src="http://www.munknee.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/crowne-gold-silver-bullion_l-90x65.jpg" alt="crowne-gold-silver-bullion_l" width="90" height="65" /></a></p>
<p>A Barclays Capital research [report] notes that gold prices are vulnerable to a recession – more so than some of the other commodities. In the last recession of 2008, gold prices appreciated the least among precious metals. Below is a table that ranks 30 different commodities. Words: 571</p>
<p><strong>2. <a title="Why Does Gold Fall When Financial Crises Worsen?" href="http://www.munknee.com/2011/09/why-does-gold-fall-when-financial-crises-worsens/" rel="bookmark">Why Does Gold Fall When Financial Crises Worsen?</a></strong></p>
<p><a href="http://www.munknee.com/2011/09/why-does-gold-fall-when-financial-crises-worsens/"><img title="gold-correction" src="http://www.munknee.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/gold-correction-90x65.jpg" alt="gold-correction" width="90" height="65" /></a></p>
<p>Why is gold falling as the financial crisis worsens? After all, isn’t gold some sort of safe haven? [Let me explain.] Words: 1287</p>
<p><strong>3. <a title="Gold as a Safe Haven is Worthless!" href="http://www.munknee.com/2011/09/gold-as-a-safe-haven-is-worthless/" rel="bookmark">Gold as a Safe Haven is Worthless!</a></strong></p>
<p><a href="http://www.munknee.com/2011/09/gold-as-a-safe-haven-is-worthless/"><img title="gold-truth" src="http://www.munknee.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/gold-truth-90x65.jpg" alt="gold-truth" width="90" height="65" /></a></p>
<p>If there is one thing we’ve learned about gold in recent years – and recent days – it is this: gold is not a haven investment… There are many theories about gold’s correction. [Let's take a look.] Words: 781</p>
<p><strong>4. <a title="Ian Campbell’s Commentary: Gold – The Safest Haven?" href="http://www.munknee.com/2011/08/campbells-commentary-gold-%e2%80%93-the-safest-haven/" rel="bookmark">Ian Campbell’s Commentary: Gold – The Safest Haven?</a></strong></p>
<p><a href="http://www.munknee.com/2011/08/campbells-commentary-gold-%e2%80%93-the-safest-haven/"><img title="gold-bullion2" src="http://www.munknee.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/gold-bullion2-90x65.jpg" alt="gold-bullion2" width="90" height="65" /></a></p>
<p>Is physical gold the best available ‘safe-haven’ or is it the U.S. dollar – or perhaps even U.S. Treasuries? Words: 793</p>
</div>
<div class="addthis_toolbox addthis_default_style addthis_32x32_style" addthis:url='http://www.munknee.com/2011/11/do-recent-gold-silver-correlationreturn-comparisons-with-sp-500-refute-their-safe-haven-status/' addthis:title='Do Recent Gold &amp; Silver Correlation/Return Comparisons With S&amp;P 500 Refute Their Safe Haven Status? ' ><a class="addthis_button_preferred_1"></a><a class="addthis_button_preferred_2"></a><a class="addthis_button_preferred_3"></a><a class="addthis_button_preferred_4"></a><a class="addthis_button_compact"></a></div>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Might Silver&#8217;s Current Chart Similarity with 2008 Be Implying What&#8217;s About to Happen to Rest of Market?</title>
		<link>http://www.munknee.com/2011/10/might-silvers-current-chart-similarity-with-2008-be-implying-whats-about-to-happen-to-rest-of-market/</link>
		<comments>http://www.munknee.com/2011/10/might-silvers-current-chart-similarity-with-2008-be-implying-whats-about-to-happen-to-rest-of-market/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Oct 2011 07:57:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Editor</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Asset Allocation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[agriculture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Australian dollar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[commodities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumer descretionary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumer staples]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[copper]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DBA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DBC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[deflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DIA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dividend stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dow]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DVY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EEM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[emerging markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EWG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FXA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GDX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Germany]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GLD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gold stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[JJC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PFF]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[preferred stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S&P 500]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SH]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[short S&P 500]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[silver]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SLV]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SPY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TLT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Treasuries]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. Dollar Index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[utilities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UUP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[XLP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[XLU]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[XLY]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.munknee.com/?p=28790</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A look at the chart for SLV from September 2007 to  August 2008 (11 months) and from November 2010 to October 2011 (11 months) is remarkably similar - almost identical in fact. Therefore, if silver continues to trace out a similar path to what transpired in 2008, what are the possible implications for stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, and precious metals? Take a look at the following 19 charts for some possible outcomes. Words: 731
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="addthis_toolbox addthis_default_style " addthis:url='http://www.munknee.com/2011/10/might-silvers-current-chart-similarity-with-2008-be-implying-whats-about-to-happen-to-rest-of-market/' addthis:title='Might Silver&#8217;s Current Chart Similarity with 2008 Be Implying What&#8217;s About to Happen to Rest of Market? '  ><a class="addthis_button_facebook_like" fb:like:layout="button_count"></a><a class="addthis_button_tweet"></a><a class="addthis_counter addthis_pill_style"></a></div><p><strong></strong><strong>A look at the chart for SLV from September 2007 to  August 2008 (11 months) and from<a href="http://www.munknee.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/investor-fear.jpg"><img class="alignright size-thumbnail wp-image-26718" title="investor-fear" src="http://www.munknee.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/investor-fear-150x150.jpg" alt="" width="150" height="150" /></a> November 2010 to October 2011 (11 months) is remarkably similar &#8211; almost identical in fact. Therefore, if silver continues to trace out a similar path to what transpired in 2008, what are the possible implications for stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, and precious metals? Take a look at the following 19 charts for some possible outcomes. </strong>Words: 731</p>
<p>So says <strong>Chris Ciovacco (www.ciovaccocapital.com)</strong>  in an article* which Lorimer Wilson, editor of <strong><a href="http://www.munknee.com/">www.munKNEE.com</a> (Your Key to Making Money!),</strong> has further edited ([ ]), abridged (&#8230;) and reformatted below for the sake of clarity and brevity to ensure a fast and easy read. The author’s views and conclusions are unaltered and no personal comments have been included to maintain the integrity of the original article. Please note that this paragraph must be included in any article re-posting to avoid copyright infringement.</p>
<p>Ciovacco goes on to say:</p>
<p>You don&#8217;t need to know anything about technical analysis to conclude the two charts below of the silver ETF (SLV) look similar in many ways. The first chart is from August 2008 and the second from 2011 (compare points A through H).</p>
<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/14/saupload_OCT132011SLV2008nand2011F.png" alt="" /></p>
<p>How can these charts help us with stocks, commodities, and precious metals? Silver tends to be in greater demand when (a) the economy is expected to grow, and (b) when inflation expectations are high&#8230;When silver is weak it is logical to question (a) the expectations for future economic growth, and (b) if investors are concerned about future inflation. If inflation is not a concern, then deflation fears are most likely increasing.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong><span style="color: #0000ff;">Who in the world is currently reading this article along with you? Click <a href="http://www.munknee.com/about/visitors/"><span style="color: #0000ff;">here</span></a> to find out</span>.</strong></p>
<p>The charts below show asset class performance from August 29, 2008 through November 21, 2008, allowing us to answer the question, “What happened next in the 2008 deflationary period?”</p>
<p>The key for the charts below: (SPY) S&amp;P 500, (EEM) emerging markets, (FXA) Australian dollar, (UUP) U.S. Dollar Index, (DIA) Dow, (DVY) dividend stocks, (TLT) Treasuries, (SH) short S&amp;P 500, (GDX) gold stocks, (GLD) gold, (SLV) silver, (DBC) commodities, (DBA) agriculture, (EWG) Germany, (PFF) preferred stocks, (XLU) utilities, (XLP) consumer staples, (XLY) consumer descretionary, and (JJC) copper. Symbols and descriptions are shown in the upper-left corner of each chart below.</p>
<p><strong>What happened next in 2008?</strong></p>
<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/14/saupload_OCT132011SPYSmall.png" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/14/saupload_OCT132011EEMSmall.png" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/14/saupload_OCT132011FXASmall.png" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/14/saupload_OCT132011UUPSmall.png" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/14/saupload_OCT132011DIASmall.png" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/14/saupload_OCT132011DVYSmall.png" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/14/saupload_OCT132011TLTSmall.png" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/14/saupload_OCT132011SHSmall.png" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/14/saupload_OCT132011GDXSmall.png" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/14/saupload_OCT132011GLDSmall.png" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/14/saupload_OCT132011SLVSmall.png" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/14/saupload_OCT132011DBCSmall.png" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/14/saupload_OCT132011DBASmall.png" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/14/saupload_OCT132011EWGSmall.png" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/14/saupload_OCT132011PFFSmall.png" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/14/saupload_OCT132011XLUSmall.png" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/14/saupload_OCT132011XLPSmall.png" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/14/saupload_OCT132011XLYSmall.png" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/10/14/saupload_OCT132011JJCSmall.png" alt="" /></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>If the silver ETF can fill the gap&#8230;between 32.54 and 34.51, it increases the odds of bullish outcomes for stocks and commodities. The longer SLV can hold above 32.54 the better for the bulls. If SLV fails to clear 32.54, the odds increase of an August 2008 scenario occurring again, similar to the outcomes shown in the charts above. An intraday move in SLV below 27.41, and more importantly, a weekly close below 27.41, increases the odds the deflationary trio of shorts (SH), the dollar (UUP), and bonds (TLT) will perform well.</p>
<p><strong>Conclusion</strong></p>
<p><strong>As of this writing, we continue to give the bearish/deflationary case the benefit of the doubt, understanding strong and gut-wrenching countertrend rallies are part of any bear market. Our portfolios continue to contain a mix of cash, shorts (SH), bonds (TLT), and the dollar (UUP). The deflationary/bearish case will take a hit if the S&amp;P 500 trades between 1,250 and 1,260 for more than three or four days.</strong></p>
<p>*http://www.safehaven.com/article/22924/silvers-signals-lean-bearish-for-stocks-and-commodities</p>
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		<title>This Equity is THE Best Investment For These Volatile Times</title>
		<link>http://www.munknee.com/2011/08/what-is-the-best-investment-for-these-volatile-times-and-its-not-gold/</link>
		<comments>http://www.munknee.com/2011/08/what-is-the-best-investment-for-these-volatile-times-and-its-not-gold/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Aug 2011 07:58:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Editor</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Asset Allocation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PowerShares S&P 500 Low Volatility Portfolio ETF]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[risk-adjusted returns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[risk:reward ratio]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S&P 500]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SPLV]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SPY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ZYX Change Method]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.munknee.com/?p=27048</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In response to a recent request to identify the best one investment that provides acceptable growth without incurring unreasonable risk we applied our proprietary algorithms based on our unique ZYX Change Method and came up with a relatively unknown equity that warrants serious consideration for inclusion in your portfolio. Words: 454]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="addthis_toolbox addthis_default_style " addthis:url='http://www.munknee.com/2011/08/what-is-the-best-investment-for-these-volatile-times-and-its-not-gold/' addthis:title='This Equity is THE Best Investment For These Volatile Times '  ><a class="addthis_button_facebook_like" fb:like:layout="button_count"></a><a class="addthis_button_tweet"></a><a class="addthis_counter addthis_pill_style"></a></div><p><strong>In response to a recent request to identify the best <em>one</em> investment that provides acceptable growth without incurring unreasonable risk we applied our proprietary algorithms based on our unique ZYX Change Method and came up with a relatively unknown equity that warrants serious consideration for inclusion in your portfolio. </strong>Words: 454</p>
<p>So said <strong>Nigam Arora  (blog.thearorareport.com)</strong>  in an article* posted on Seeking Alpha which Lorimer Wilson, editor of <strong><a href="http://www.munknee.com/">www.munKNEE.com</a> (Your Key to Making Money!),</strong> has further edited ([  ]), abridged (…) and reformatted below  for the sake of clarity and brevity to ensure a fast and easy read. The author’s views and conclusions are unaltered and no personal comments have been included to maintain the integrity of the original article. Please note that this paragraph must be included in any article re-posting to avoid copyright infringement. </p>
<p>Arora went on to say, in part:</p>
<blockquote>
<div>Using our proprietary alogoriths we looked at the following:</div>
<ul>
<li>Economic data from 23 countries</li>
<li>Macro trends</li>
<li>All major currencies</li>
<li>All major commodities</li>
<li>Geopolitical considerations</li>
<li>Technology/Science developments</li>
<li>All major industries</li>
<li>3000 U.S. stocks</li>
<li>1000 International stocks and</li>
<li>Trends in bonds all over the globe</li>
</ul>
<p>and came up with what we feel is that one such investment, namely,<strong> PowerShares S&amp;P 500 Low Volatility Portfolio ETF (SPLV).</strong></p>
<p>The S&amp;P 500 consists of 500 stocks and SPLV consists of those 100 stocks out of the 500 that have realized the lowest volatility over the past 12 months. In this market environment, low volatility roughly equates to lower risk. The ETF automatically rebalances every quarter.</p></blockquote>
<div id="article_body_container">
<blockquote><p><em>click to enlarge</em><br />
<a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/8/30/837636-131471037707059-Nigam-Arora_origin.png" rel="lightbox"><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/8/30/837636-131471037707059-Nigam-Arora.png" alt="" hspace="6" vspace="6" /></a><br />
If we enter a roaring bull market based on renewed economic growth in the United States, SPLV should perform well. On the other hand, if the market deteriorates, we will be in a very defensive position. In the current environment, this is a defensive way to generate alpha, i.e., excess return without taking excess risk.</p>
<p>Our main concern is earning excess risk-adjusted returns, i.e., we want to earn returns above the fair compensation for the risks we have undertaken. Using the ZYX Change Method, the following diagram shows the risk/reward ratio.<br />
<a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/8/30/837636-131471048987753-Nigam-Arora_origin.png" rel="lightbox"><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/8/30/837636-131471048987753-Nigam-Arora.png" alt="" hspace="6" vspace="6" /></a></p>
<p>The chart below compares the price action of SPLV with SPY which holds all 500 stocks in the S&amp;P 500 index. The reader can readily see that in this downturn, SPLV has outperformed SPY by about 7%.</p>
<p><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/8/30/837636-131471055436676-Nigam-Arora.png" alt="" hspace="6" vspace="6" /></p></blockquote>
<p> *http://seekingalpha.com/article/290664-splv-the-best-equity-etf-for-these-volatile-times?source=kizur</p>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>Related Article by <strong>Nigam Arora</strong>:</strong></span></p>
<p>1. <strong><a title="What Should a Prudent Gold Investor Do Now?" href="http://www.munknee.com/2011/08/what-should-a-prudent-gold-investor-do-now/" rel="bookmark">What Should a Prudent Gold Investor Do Now?</a></strong></p>
<p>We are in an environment where gold bugs boldly proclaim that gold is going to the moon, and gold bears strongly protest that gold is in a bubble. At such a heated stage, this article attempts to answer the question, “What is a prudent investor to do now?” Words: 575</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>Editor’s Note:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>The <strong>above article</strong> consists of reformatted edited excerpts from the original for the sake of brevity, clarity and to ensure a fast and easy read. The author’s views and conclusions are unaltered.</li>
<li><strong>Permission to reprint</strong> in whole or in part is gladly granted, provided full credit is given as per paragraph 2 above</li>
</ul>
</blockquote>
</div>
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		<title>Massive Stock Market Selloff Likely in Mid-2011! Here&#8217;s Why</title>
		<link>http://www.munknee.com/2010/12/massive-stock-market-selloff-likely-in-mid-2011-heres-why/</link>
		<comments>http://www.munknee.com/2010/12/massive-stock-market-selloff-likely-in-mid-2011-heres-why/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 06 Dec 2010 07:18:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Editor</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bonds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DIA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fiscal crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GLD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[QQQQ]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SPY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock market crash]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TBF]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TBT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Treasuries]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.munknee.com/?p=16002</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A major crisis is coming in the first half of 2011 and it could cause a worldwide financial disaster, global market crashes and the destruction of wealth that will make the popping of the dot-com and housing bubbles feel like a mild inconvenience! Why? Because, quite simply, America is playing a dangerous game of “chicken” with its national debt - and the ramifications are extraordinary. Words: 1475
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="addthis_toolbox addthis_default_style " addthis:url='http://www.munknee.com/2010/12/massive-stock-market-selloff-likely-in-mid-2011-heres-why/' addthis:title='Massive Stock Market Selloff Likely in Mid-2011! Here&#8217;s Why '  ><a class="addthis_button_facebook_like" fb:like:layout="button_count"></a><a class="addthis_button_tweet"></a><a class="addthis_counter addthis_pill_style"></a></div><div id="page_header">
<h1><a href="http://www.munknee.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/Inflation_Deflation21.jpg"></a>How to Protect Yourself From the Crisis of 2011</h1>
<div id="article_info">
<p><strong>A major crisis is coming in the first half of 2011 and it could cause a worldwide financial disaster, global market crashes and the destruction of wealth that will make the popping of the dot-com and housing bubbles feel like a mild inconvenience! Why? Because, quite simply, America is playing a dangerous game of “chicken” with its national debt &#8211; and the ramifications are extraordinary. </strong>Words: 1475</p>
<p>So concludes <strong>Marc Lichtenfeld <!-- SubMainHead:End --></strong>in his article* which Lorimer Wilson, editor of <a href="http://www.munknee.com/">www.munKNEE.com</a>, has reformatted into edited [...] excerpts below for the sake of clarity and brevity to ensure a fast and easy read. (Please note that this paragraph must be included in any article re-posting to avoid copyright infringement.) Lichtenfeld goes on to say:</p>
</div>
</div>
<div id="secondary_ads">
<div id="article_body_container">
<div id="article_body">
<p>I’m going to explain the situation and give you three ways to protect yourself from this impending crisis before it’s too late…</p>
<h3><strong>A Debt Crisis is Coming to America as Early as May 2011</strong></h3>
<p>America’s debt ceiling currently stands at $14.3 trillion - the level that, by law, the government’s debt is not allowed to exceed &#8211; but the trouble is, the government’s present debt has swelled to $13.7 trillion [already] and this means that at the current rate, we’re on course to smash through that $14.3 trillion ceiling around May 2011 (although it might happen a month or two later, depending on what budget cuts are enacted in the next few months and how quickly they’re implemented) unless something is done quickly to avert what would develop into a major crisis of confidence in the U.S..</p>
<h3><strong>The Domino Effect of the Crisis Would Be Brutal</strong></h3>
<p>What will the government do about this impending crisis? Same thing it’s done almost every year since 1962 &#8211; raise the debt ceiling so America can pay its bills. Congress really has no choice in the matter either. If the ceiling isn’t raised, we’ve got a problem &#8211; a crisis &#8211; and a very big one. Without Congressional approval for additional debt, the U.S government cannot pay its bills – most notably, interest payments on treasury bonds, bills and notes.</p>
<p><strong>Editor&#8217;s Note:</strong> Don&#8217;t forget to sign up for our <a href="http://www.munknee.com/newsletter/">FREE</a> weekly &#8220;Top 100 Stock Market, Asset Ratio &amp; Economic Indicators in Review&#8221;</p>
<p>If America defaults on those payments, or even misses them by just one day, the domino effect of such a crisis would be brutal…</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Domino #1:</strong> The country would lose its AAA credit rating and those bonds, bills and notes would no longer enjoy their status as the safest investments on the planet.</li>
<li><strong>Domino #2:</strong> In turn, a lower credit rating would mean that the United States would pay higher interest on its bonds in order to attract investors. Result?</li>
<li><strong>Domino #3: </strong>A tidal wave of selling through fixed income markets, driving interest rates higher still.</li>
<li><strong>Domino #4:</strong> Social Security would be hit hard, as its funds are invested in Treasuries. Suddenly, Social Security would have far less resources than just a day or two earlier.</li>
<li><strong>Domino #5:</strong> If money is pouring out of so-called “safe” investments, you can bet that in that kind of environment, the demand for riskier investments would be next to nil. Stocks and financial markets around the globe would plummet.</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>The Circumstances Surrounding Whether or Not to Raise the Debt Limit Are Very Different This Time Round &#8211; and the Consequences of Not Doing So Would be  a Crisis of Major Proportions!</strong></p>
<p>This year’s Congressional raising of the debt limit is different than [any previously] &#8230; because, this year, some members of Congress have said they won’t vote to raise the debt ceiling &#8211; and they may be serious this time.</p>
<p>Earlier this year, 38 Republican Senators voted against raising the ceiling [doing] so, knowing full well that they would  be outvoted and that the limit would be raised despite their “objections.” That way, they could return to their Congressional districts, claiming some semblance of fiscal responsibility. Their vote didn’t matter so much back then… but with the Republicans having wrestled control of the House of Representatives last week, it sure does now. [It is a crisis in the making.]</p>
<p>[This year's vote] throws up an interesting dilemma. The Republicans – and particularly the Tea Party candidates who ran on a platform of cutting spending and the deficit – will have a very difficult choice to make. Either go back on their word and vote for an increase in the debt ceiling, or vote against it and run the risk of a financial crisis &#8211; a calamity.</p>
<p>It’s still early, but some Senators are already threatening to vote “no” &#8211; [to set the groundwork for the crisis in motion].</p>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>Senator-elect Rand Paul</strong> of Kentucky has indicated that he won’t vote in favor of raising the debt ceiling.</li>
<li><strong>South Carolina Senator Jim DeMint</strong>said he won’t vote to raise the limit unless it’s combined with some plan to balance the budget, return to 2008 spending levels and repeal President Obama’s health care plan.</li>
<li><strong>Utah Senator-elect Mike Lee</strong>, when asked if he’d vote against a debt ceiling increase, even if it leads to a government shutdown answered, “It’s an inconvenience. It would be frustrating to many people and it’s not a great thing, yet at the same time, it’s not something we can rule out.”</li>
<li><strong>Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Steele</strong> told CNN, “We’re not going to compromise on raising more debt or the debt ceiling.”</li>
</ul>
<p>[Such a political strategy may prove to be the makings of a major crisis because the lay of the land is different these days than in the past]… In 1995, the Republicans threatened President Clinton with shutting down the government if he didn’t agree to their budget but Clinton vowed that he’d never agree to it, even if his approval rating fell to 5%. [In the long run] he won. [While] the government did, in fact, shut down the Republicans became the focal point of America’s anger and President Clinton’s approval numbers actually went up. [That was then.]</p>
<p>Flash forward to today. President Obama is likely aware of this history and while he may be willing to negotiate on spending cuts he will not repeal health care reform which is the hallmark of his Presidency so, for Obama, the situation in 2011 will be much worse than it was for Clinton in 1995. I’m talking about a crisis of major proportions, namely, a meltdown in the stock and bond markets!</p>
<p><strong><a href="http://www.munknee.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/Inflation_Deflation21.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-thumbnail wp-image-607" title="Inflation_Deflation" src="http://www.munknee.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/Inflation_Deflation21-150x150.jpg" alt="" width="150" height="150" /></a>Washington Style Rhetoric Could have Devastating Consequences on the Markets</strong></p>
<p>Bruce Bartlett, a former advisor to President Reagan and deputy assistant secretary for economic policy at the Treasury Department under President George H.W. Bush, recently stated, “You introduce even the tiniest little bit of doubt into the minds of ultra-conservative investors and that’s potentially disastrous. It hurts our ability to raise money without a risk premium.”</p>
<p>The Senate likely doesn’t have the votes to defeat a bill to raise the debt ceiling, while the House does [but] in the end, it doesn’t matter. The bill doesn’t have to be defeated. A filibuster accomplishes the same thing. In fact, a filibuster is even more powerful than a “no” vote and the mere threat of a filibuster could spook investors badly enough to sell first and ask questions later.</p>
<p><strong>Protect Yourself From America’s Debt Showdown</strong></p>
<p>You need to go about protecting yourself now from the distinct possibility of such a calamitous event. Here are a few investments that will likely do well in the chaotic environment I just described…</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Gold:</strong> The resilient yellow metal should soar as the U.S. dollar sinks and investors flee to safety. If you don’t want to own the metal itself, you can buy the <strong>SPDR Gold Shares Trust </strong>(NYSE: GLD) ETF, which serves as a close proxy to the price of gold bullion.</li>
<li><strong>Short Treasuries (Option 1):</strong> Consider the <strong>ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury</strong> (NYSE: TBF), which aims for a 100% inverse correlation to the Barclays 20+ Year U.S. Treasury Bond Index.</li>
<li><strong>Short Treasuries (Option 2):</strong> If you’re a more aggressive investor, take a look at the <strong>ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury</strong> (NYSE: TBT). It seeks to obtain results that are double the inverse daily performance of the Barclays 20+ Year U.S. Treasury Bond Index. So if the index falls 10%, the ETF should gain about 20%.</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Conclusion</strong></p>
<p>Investors who are agile and aware of the potential debt ceiling landmine can grab profits by getting into the right investments at the right time. Additionally, the ensuing volatility may create buying opportunities for some of your favorite stocks, so be sure to put together a watchlist of stocks you’re interested in owning at lower prices.</p>
<h2>From most crises comes opportunity &#8211; and this impending debt crisis is another such opportunity</h2>
<p> </p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<p>* http://seekingalpha.com/article/236123-how-to-protect-yourself-from-the-crash-of-2011?source=email_the_macro_view</p>
<div>
<p><strong>Editor’s Note:</strong></p>
<blockquote>
<ul>
<li>The <strong>above article</strong> consists of reformatted edited excerpts from the original for the sake of brevity, clarity and to ensure a fast and easy read. The author’s views and conclusions are unaltered.</li>
<li><strong>Permission to reprint</strong> in whole or in part is gladly granted, provided full credit is given as per paragraph 2 above.</li>
<li><strong>Sign up</strong> to receive every article posted via <strong>Twitter</strong>, <strong>Facebook</strong>, <strong>RSS</strong> feed or our <strong><a href="http://www.munknee.com/newsletter/">FREE</a> Weekly Newsletter</strong>.</li>
<li><strong>Submit a comment</strong>. Share your views on the subject with all our readers.</li>
</ul>
<p>Crisis</p></blockquote>
</div>
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		<title>David Goldman: Major Spike in Gold Price Unlikely Anytime Soon</title>
		<link>http://www.munknee.com/2010/06/who-is-buying-gold-and-why-is-gold-volatility-so-low/</link>
		<comments>http://www.munknee.com/2010/06/who-is-buying-gold-and-why-is-gold-volatility-so-low/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Jun 2010 07:59:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Editor</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Gold/Silver]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DIA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FXA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FXC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FXE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FXY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GDX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GLD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IEF]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[QQQQ]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SPY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UDN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UUP]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.munknee.com/?p=12250</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[ The central banks are so much larger than the gold market that they avoid actions which might cause price spikes.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="addthis_toolbox addthis_default_style " addthis:url='http://www.munknee.com/2010/06/who-is-buying-gold-and-why-is-gold-volatility-so-low/' addthis:title='David Goldman: Major Spike in Gold Price Unlikely Anytime Soon '  ><a class="addthis_button_facebook_like" fb:like:layout="button_count"></a><a class="addthis_button_tweet"></a><a class="addthis_counter addthis_pill_style"></a></div><p><strong>Despite gold’s move up to a new record, gold’s historical volatility is around 18%, compared to over 30% for the S&#038;P 500. If gold and stock prices both embody systemic risk, why should their volatility diverge so much?</strong> Words: 482</p>
<p>Lorimer Wilson, editor of www.FinancialArticleSummariesToday.com, provides below further reformatted and edited [..] excerpts from <strong>David Goldman&#8217;s (http://http://blog.atimes.net/)</strong> original article* for the sake of clarity and brevity to ensure a fast and easy read. Goldman goes on to say:</p>
<p><strong>Who is Buying Stocks?</strong><br />
With the 10-year yield at slightly over 3% and the earnings yield on the S&#038;P 500 at over 6%, it’s understandable why institutional investors who require some yield would buy stocks. Even if the miserable US employment situation persists and the housing market remains in the dumps, America’s stripped-down, cash-rich corporate sector should continue to churn out some profits. Unless another shoe drops in the sovereign crisis or the miserable US economy turns sharply downward, equity prices should chop sideways.</p>
<p><strong>Who is Buying Gold?</strong><br />
Gold is a different matter. Central banks and other investors who do NOT require current yield but need to preserve value have a quandary. The US is financing its deficit on the balance sheet of the global banking system &#8211; that’s why the Treasury’s TIC data keep showing huge purchases of Treasuries out of London and the Caribbean &#8211; as well as the US banking system. Because high unemployment and collapsed home prices foster deflation, the continued debasement of the US currency through balance-sheet leverage makes it unattractive as a reserve asset. </p>
<p>So what alternatives are available?<br />
a) The euro is in danger;<br />
b) Japan’s government is warning that its national debt at 227% of GDP threatens an eventual sovereign crisis for the yen;<br />
c) the Canadian loonies and Aussie dollars are tiny markets;<br />
d) [gold.]</p>
<p>[Yes, gold, and , as such,] the central banks appear to be accumulating gold, slowly and steadily, buying on declines, and nudging the price up as gradually as they can in order to reduce their average cost. </p>
<p><strong>That might be why we observe so little volatility in the gold price. The prospective buyers, namely the central banks, are so much larger than the gold market that they avoid actions which might cause price spikes.</strong></p>
<p>*http://seekingalpha.com/article/210840-who-is-buying-gold-and-why-is-gold-volatility-so-low?source=article_sb_popular (David P. Goldman was global head of debt research for Banc of America Securities and earlier global head of credit strategy at Credit Suisse. He owns gold mining stocks, GLD, as well as some longer-dated gold futures. It’s a relatively small part of my portfolio, but insurance against serious trouble.)</p>
<p><strong>Editor’s Note:</strong><br />
- The <strong>above article</strong> consists of reformatted edited excerpts from the original for the sake of brevity, clarity and to ensure a fast and easy read. The author’s views and conclusions are unaltered.<br />
- <strong>Permission to reprint</strong> in whole or in part is gladly granted, provided full credit is given.<br />
- <strong>Sign up</strong> to receive every article posted via <strong>Twitter</strong>, <strong>Facebook</strong>, <strong>RSS</strong> feed or our <strong>Weekly Newsletter</strong>. </p>
<div class="addthis_toolbox addthis_default_style addthis_32x32_style" addthis:url='http://www.munknee.com/2010/06/who-is-buying-gold-and-why-is-gold-volatility-so-low/' addthis:title='David Goldman: Major Spike in Gold Price Unlikely Anytime Soon ' ><a class="addthis_button_preferred_1"></a><a class="addthis_button_preferred_2"></a><a class="addthis_button_preferred_3"></a><a class="addthis_button_preferred_4"></a><a class="addthis_button_compact"></a></div>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>ETF Investors: Avoid These 10 Common Mistakes</title>
		<link>http://www.munknee.com/2010/04/10750/</link>
		<comments>http://www.munknee.com/2010/04/10750/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Apr 2010 07:37:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Editor</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mutual/ETFunds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EEM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ETFs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EWP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[expense ratios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GLD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IJR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IWB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[liquidity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market orders]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[QQQQ]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RSP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SPY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UNG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[VWO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[XLE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[XLF]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.munknee.com/?p=10750</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[While ETFs offer numerous advantages over traditional actively-managed mutual funds and individual stocks - near total transparency, intraday trading, and a (generally) more straightforward tax situation - they aren’t foolproof, and there are plenty of opportunities to make mistakes while investing in ETFs. Words: 1991]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="addthis_toolbox addthis_default_style " addthis:url='http://www.munknee.com/2010/04/10750/' addthis:title='ETF Investors: Avoid These 10 Common Mistakes '  ><a class="addthis_button_facebook_like" fb:like:layout="button_count"></a><a class="addthis_button_tweet"></a><a class="addthis_counter addthis_pill_style"></a></div><p><strong>While ETFs offer numerous advantages over traditional actively-managed mutual funds and individual stocks &#8211; near total transparency, intraday trading, and a (generally) more straightforward tax situation &#8211; they aren’t foolproof, and there are plenty of opportunities to make mistakes while investing in ETFs.</strong> Words: 1991</p>
<p>In further edited excerpts from the original article* <strong>Michael Johnston (www.etfdb.com)</strong> goes on to profile ten common but easily avoidable mistakes made by ETF investors as follows:</p>
<p><strong>Mistake #1: Blindly Using Market Orders</strong><br />
The liquidity of ETFs ultimately depends on the liquidity of the underlying securities so an investor looking to establish a big position in a thinly-traded ETF that invests in blue chip stocks would be able to do so at or very near to NAV. That doesn’t mean, however, that limit orders are unnecessary when trading ETFs, regardless of the apparent liquidity of a fund. Putting in a market order on a thinly-traded ETF may result in the order being executed at a big premium or discount before the Authorized Participant (the primary arbitrage mechanism in place to keep market prices near the NAV) is able to step in and create additional shares.</p>
<p>Moreover, the readily available bid/ask numbers won’t always reflect the true depth of the market for an ETF, since some market participants are hesitant to show their entire hand, so using a limit order may allow investors to flush out additional buyers or sellers of a particular security. Regardless of the trading volume of an ETF, the use of market orders creates the potential to get burned and put yourself in an early hole.</p>
<p><strong>Mistake #2: Ignoring Expense Ratios</strong><br />
ETFs have become so popular in part because of the competitive expense ratios charged relative to traditional actively-managed mutual funds. Nevertheless, the range of expense ratios charged by exchange-traded products is wide enough to drive a truck through, ranging from 0.07% to well above 1.0%.</p>
<p>Generally speaking, the more complex or granular the exposure, the higher the expense ratio so comparing the fees charged by an S&#038;P 500 ETF to those of an emerging markets ETF isn’t exactly fair. ETF selections shouldn’t be made on the basis of expenses alone, but fees should definitely be part of the equation.</p>
<p>For more active traders with relatively short holding periods, the impact of a few basis points may be minimal but for buy-and-holders, the “tyranny of compounded costs” can eat into bottom lines. While expense ratios for similar ETFs will generally be comparable, there are some surprisingly large gaps between nearly identical products.</p>
<p>For investors looking to minimize expenses, the switch from mutual funds to ETFs is a good start. For those who want to really cut costs, comparing expense ratios is the next step, and can create some surprisingly large savings.</p>
<p><strong>Mistake #3: Liquidity Screens</strong><br />
When narrowing the universe of nearly 1,000 ETFs down to find a particular fund, one of the first screens run by a lot of advisors and individual investors filters by liquidity. There are a lot of different rules of thumb thrown around for determining “sufficient” liquidity; some require average daily trading volume of 25,000 shares or $2 million in notional volume. The potential to get burned by running out a market order representing a significant portion of (or even a multiple of) daily volume is very real. Be that as it may, eliminating from consideration any ETF that doesn’t pass a “liquidity screen” can cut out some quality products that may be well-suited for accomplishing a certain goal.</p>
<p>Again, investors must be careful about trading low-volume ETFs, but there are several cheap and easy ways to establish or liquidate a position without paying a huge spread. The use of limit orders goes a long way to narrow spreads for smaller trades. </p>
<p>Liquidity screens seem like a good way to avoid the potential pitfalls of getting stuck in an illiquid asset, but these dangers are often overblown. Cutting down the universe of potential ETFs based on assets or trading volume is potentially a much bigger mistake.</p>
<p><strong>Mistake #4: Judging A Book By Its Cover</strong><br />
Generally, the name of an ETF gives investors a pretty good idea of the exposure offered. The S&#038;P 500 SPDR (SPY) tracks exactly what you’d expect but making assumptions about a risk/return profile based on an ETF’s name tag can &#8211; surprise, surprise – have some disastrous consequences.</p>
<p>It’s frightening to imagine, but there is no shortage of horror stories of advisors who bought USO for client portfolios, for example, thinking the underlying assets of USO are barrels of crude oil. It should go without saying that you can’t judge an ETF by its name, anecdotal evidence suggests that many investors and advisors do.</p>
<p>Understanding the underlying holdings of an ETF is particularly important in the commodity space. Be sure to take a quick look at the underlying holdings before purchasing an ETF. The assets that make up an ETF, and will determine its returns, won’t always be what you expect.</p>
<p><strong>Mistake #5: Cap-Weighted Blinders</strong><br />
Investors are creatures of habit, and they tend to stick with what they know. The majority of equity ETFs available to U.S. investors are based on market cap-weighted indexes that determine the weighting given to an individual stock based on its market value. Familiarity with indexes like the S&#038;P 500, Russell 1000, and S&#038;P SmallCap 600 makes it easy to gravitate towards ETFs tracking these benchmarks and avoid unknowns like the Rydex S&#038;P Equal Weight ETF (RSP).</p>
<p>There’s a lot of evidence, however, suggesting that cap-weighting methodologies may suffer from certain flaws, not the least of which is their tendency to overweight overvalued components. Once a sector or size/style combination is selected, a lot of investors will default to a cap-weighted ETF option but there are a number of interesting alternatives to cap-weighted exposure available through ETFs, including everything from equal weighting to allocation strategies based on top line revenue.</p>
<p>Know the nuances of the underlying index, and don’t be afraid to take the road less traveled by pursuing some of the alternatives to cap-weighted ETFs.</p>
<p><strong>Mistake #6: Misjudging “International” ETFs</strong><br />
ETFs have been praised for bringing access to every corner of the world within the reach of U.S. investors. In some sense, they get far too much credit in this regard. While it is true that there are now ETFs targeting nearly every major market – both developed and emerging – the majority of these funds consist primarily of mega cap equities that might not necessarily provide pure exposure to the local economy.</p>
<p>Because many of the world’s largest companies maintain a global customer base, they generally maintain only moderate exposure to the economy where they are traded. The iShares MSCI Spain Index Fund (EWP) is a good example of this phenomenon. Many of the major holdings – including the top two that make up 40% of assets – generate significant portions of their earnings from Brazil. As such, despite massive economic issues in Spain, EWP actually held up pretty well last year because of surging demand in Brazil.</p>
<p>Be aware of the inherent limitations of some international ETFs. Investors looking for pure play exposure to a particular market may be better served through a small cap ETF.</p>
<p><strong>Mistake #7: Using ETFs In Lieu Of Stocks</strong><br />
ETFs were first marketed as an improvement to traditional mutual funds, but investors have also embraced them as an alternative to stocks. Once upon a time, investors bullish on the financial sector may have purchased Citi stock. Now they’re more likely to buy XLF, recognizing that the wrong call in the right sector is still a bad pick.</p>
<p>Sometimes, though, this preference for ETFs can get taken too far. If you’re bullish on the outlook for Apple after the launch of the iPad, the best way to make that play isn’t through QQQQ or another tech ETF, but through Apple (AAPL) stock. ETFs will generally reduce risk by providing exposure to a diversified basket of securities, but risk is a two-way street. If you’re looking for a bigger up-side, individual stocks may be the way to go.</p>
<p>Stocks may seem strangely old-fashioned as investment vehicles. There’s nothing wrong with moving them to the bottom shelf of your investment toolkit, but don’t throw them out altogether.</p>
<p><strong>Mistake #8: False Sense Of Diversification</strong><br />
ETFs have become so popular because, like mutual funds, they offer immediate exposure to a diversified basket of securities. Investors who understand security-specific risk also grasp why an ETF made up of 1,000 individual stocks may offer reduced risk relative to picking a handful of stocks but ETF investors, especially those with a preference for cap-weighted indexes, can easily get a false sense of diversification. </p>
<p>Many ETFs have hundreds of holdings, but the use of a market cap weighting methodology results in heavy concentrations in a few big names. The Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) is a good example. This ETF offers exposure to the energy sector through 42 different stocks but the largest, Exxon Mobil (XOM), makes up 17% of assets and the top ten account for more than 60% of holdings. It’s the same thing – albeit to a lesser extent – with broad-based ETFs like SPY.</p>
<p>When looking at a potential ETF investment, there are a few good indications of the level of diversification. Number of holdings is a good starting point, but it’s helpful to also consider the weighting methodology and percentage of assets in the top ten holdings. Equal-weighted ETFs will avoid big concentrations in a few names, a problem that plagues some cap-weighted products.</p>
<p><strong>Mistake #9: Ignoring New Products</strong><br />
A lot of advisors have their “go to” list of ETFs that they use when constructing portfolios for clients. There’s nothing wrong with going through the due diligence process to identify a preferred list – that’s one of the signs of a good financial advisor &#8211; but letting your list of “go to” funds get stale can mean you’re missing out on some you should be considering.</p>
<p>The ETF industry is still very young and is growing very quickly. Last year there were more than 100 new product launches, and we’re already above 60 so far in 2010. Not all of these new products are going to be useful for everyone &#8211; products have, in general, become more targeted and esoteric in recent years -but there are some interesting ideas coming out that offer a way to gain exposure to a previously inaccessible asset class or a unique twist on popular products.</p>
<p>If you’re not aware of all the ETFs that have been brought to market in recent months, it might be worth taking a look.</p>
<p><strong>Mistake #10: Skipping Out On ETF Homework</strong><br />
This last one sounds simple and obvious, but it’s worth repeating yet again. ETFs are very simple in many ways, but somewhat complex in others. From understanding the unique tax treatment of GLD to how contango affects UNG to the differences between EEM and VWO, there are a lot of nuances that can have a significant impact on total returns.</p>
<p>As we’ve seen by the total failure of some to understand how leveraged ETFs actually work, there are a lot of lazy investors out there who aren’t taking advantage of an abundance of educational resources on leveraged ETFs. There are a lot of great resources out there. </p>
<p><strong>If you’re willing to do a little research and take a little time, you’ll be far less likely to make potentially costly investment mistakes.</strong></p>
<p>*http://seekingalpha.com/article/200390-10-common-mistakes-made-by-etf-investors?source=email (ETF Database provides news, analysis and offers a proprietary ETF Screener that allows investors to filter the universe of 900+ ETFs to find the right fund.)</p>
<p><strong>Editor’s Note:</strong><br />
- The <strong>above article</strong> consists of reformatted edited excerpts from the original for the sake of brevity, clarity and to ensure a fast and easy read. The author’s views and conclusions are unaltered.<br />
- <strong>Permission to reprint</strong> in whole or in part is gladly granted, provided full credit is given.<br />
- <strong>Sign up</strong> to receive every article posted via <strong>Twitter</strong>, <strong>Facebook</strong>, <strong>RSS</strong> feed or our <strong>Weekly Newsletter</strong>.<br />
- <strong>Submit a comment</strong>. Share your views on the subject with all our readers.<br />
- <strong>Buy the book below</strong> from Amazon. It&#8217;s pertinent to this article and inexpensive too.</p>
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		<title>9 Ways to Invest in the S&amp;P 500 &#8211; With a Twist</title>
		<link>http://www.munknee.com/2010/04/9-ways-to-invest-in-the-sp-500-with-a-twist/</link>
		<comments>http://www.munknee.com/2010/04/9-ways-to-invest-in-the-sp-500-with-a-twist/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Apr 2010 07:31:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Editor</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mutual/ETFunds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CSM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DLN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EPS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EQL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ETFs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ETNs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FEX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IVV]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PJF]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RSP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RWL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SPGH]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SPY]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.munknee.com/?p=10732</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Many ETFs now present unique approaches to stock and bond investing by tweaking popular and widely-followed benchmarks. The very first ETF, the S&#038;P 500 SPDR (SPY), remains by far the largest U.S.-listed ETF, reflecting investor familiarity with the underlying benchmark, but there are now approximately 30 other issuers now competing for a slice of this still-growing pie. Words: 789]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="addthis_toolbox addthis_default_style " addthis:url='http://www.munknee.com/2010/04/9-ways-to-invest-in-the-sp-500-with-a-twist/' addthis:title='9 Ways to Invest in the S&amp;P 500 &#8211; With a Twist '  ><a class="addthis_button_facebook_like" fb:like:layout="button_count"></a><a class="addthis_button_tweet"></a><a class="addthis_counter addthis_pill_style"></a></div><p><strong>Many ETFs now present unique approaches to stock and bond investing by tweaking popular and widely-followed benchmarks. The very first ETF, the S&#038;P 500 SPDR (SPY), remains by far the largest U.S.-listed ETF, reflecting investor familiarity with the underlying benchmark, but there are now approximately 30 other issuers now competing for a slice of this still-growing pie.</strong> Words: 789</p>
<p>In further edited excerpts from the original article* <strong>Michael Johnston (www.etfdb.com)</strong> profiles nine such ETFs and ETNs that put a unique twist on S&#038;P investing:</p>
<p><strong>1. RevenueShares Large Cap ETF (RWL): </strong><br />
- comprised of the same securities as the S&#038;P 500, but ranks each component by top line revenue, not market capitalization, when determining the weighting given to each. As such, RWL will generally overweight stocks with low price-to-revenue multiples and underweight stocks with high price-to-revenue multiples.<br />
- management expense ratio (MER) of 0.49%. </p>
<p><strong>2. WisdomTree Earnings 500 Fund (EPS): </strong><br />
- tracks the WisdomTree Earnings 500 Index which measures the 500 largest market capitalization companies that have generated positive earnings in the past four fiscal quarters. The companies are weighted based upon “core earnings,” a calculation of earnings that includes expenses, income, and activities that reflect the actual profitability of a company’s operations.<br />
- MER of 0.28%.</p>
<p><strong>3. First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX (FEX):</strong><br />
- tracks the &#8220;enhanced&#8221; Defined Large Cap Core Index. This benchmark is constructed by ranking S&#038;P 500 stocks on a series of growth and value factors, such as price appreciation, sales-to-price, and cash flow-to-price. Stocks receiving the highest weighting are included in the index, with bigger weightings given to the top-ranked equities.<br />
- MER of 0.70%</p>
<p><strong>4. PowerShares Dynamic Large Cap Portfolio (PJF): </strong><br />
- tracks the performance of another enhanced benchmark, the Dynamic Large Cap Intellidex Index which includes stocks, in a certain market segment, that have the greatest potential for financial growth. The benchmark analyzes potential component stocks by calculating unique financial characteristics from four broad financial perspectives: fundamental, valuation, timeliness and risk.<br />
- MER of 0.60%.</p>
<p><strong>5. ALPS Equal Sector Weight ETF (EQL):</strong><br />
- offers exposure to the domestic large cap equity market but, unlike SPY, it gives equal exposure to each sector of the economy, investing in equal proportions in all nine of the Select Sector SPDRs. This gives the fund the advantages of diversification, the opportunity to participate in a market rally, and potentially lower exposure to overvalued corners of the market.<br />
- MER of 0.55%</p>
<p><strong>6. Rydex S&#038;P Equal Weight ETF (RSP): </strong><br />
- follows the performance of the S&#038;P Equal Weight Index, a benchmark that includes all constituents of the S&#038;P 500. As its name suggests, RSP gives an equal weighting to each component, meaning that upon rebalancing all of the 500 stocks in the S&#038;P 500 are given an equal weight of 0.2%. For investors who dislike the tendency of cap weighted benchmarks to overweight overvalued stocks, RSP offers a price blind alternative for large cap exposure.<br />
- MER of 0.40%</p>
<p><strong>7. UBS E-TRACS S&#038;P 500 Gold Hedged ETN (SPGH):</strong><br />
- measures the S&#038;P 500 Gold Hedged Index, a benchmark that simulates the combined returns of investing equal dollar amounts in the S&#038;P 500 Total Return Index and long positions in near-term exchange-traded COMEX gold futures contracts. As such, SPGH provides investors with a hedge against declines in the value of the U.S. dollar relative to gold bullion.<br />
- MER of 0.85%</p>
<p><strong>8. ProShares Credit Suisse 130/30 (CSM):</strong><br />
- tracks the Credit Suisse 130/30 Large-Cap Index, using a unique strategy by shorting the stocks predicted to perform poorly, and doubling down on those that are expected to outperform. For each stock in the universe, expected alpha scores are calculated to determine the position taken. A portfolio optimization process is used to ensure that the long/short portfolio maintains similar risk characteristics to the long-only large cap universe. The ETF’s name refers to the fact that the portfolio maintains 30% short exposure and 130% long exposure, resulting in a net 100% long position.<br />
- MER of 0.95%</p>
<p><strong>9. WisdomTree LargeCap Dividend Fund (DLN): </strong><br />
- follows the WisdomTree LargeCap Dividend Index, a fundamentally-weighted benchmark that measures the performance of the large-capitalization segment of the U.S. dividend-paying market. Allocations given to individual stocks are determined based on cash dividends paid. This methodology may create a bias towards value stocks, and concentrates exposure among the biggest dividend-paying firms..<br />
- MER of 0.28%</p>
<p>*http://seekingalpha.com/article/200089-s-p-500-etfs-9-alternatives-to-spy?source=email (ETF Database provides news, analysis and offers a proprietary ETF Screener that allows investors to filter the universe of 900+ ETFs to find the right fund.)</p>
<p><strong>Editor’s Note:</strong><br />
- The <strong>above article</strong> consists of reformatted edited excerpts from the original for the sake of brevity, clarity and to ensure a fast and easy read. The author’s views and conclusions are unaltered.<br />
- <strong>Permission to reprint</strong> in whole or in part is gladly granted, provided full credit is given.<br />
- <strong>Sign up</strong> to receive every article posted via <strong>Twitter</strong>, <strong>Facebook</strong>, <strong>RSS</strong> feed or our <strong>Weekly Newsletter</strong>.<br />
- <strong>Submit a comment</strong>. Share your views on the subject with all our readers.<br />
- <strong>Buy the book below</strong> from Amazon. It&#8217;s pertinent to this article and inexpensive too.</p>
<div class="addthis_toolbox addthis_default_style addthis_32x32_style" addthis:url='http://www.munknee.com/2010/04/9-ways-to-invest-in-the-sp-500-with-a-twist/' addthis:title='9 Ways to Invest in the S&amp;P 500 &#8211; With a Twist ' ><a class="addthis_button_preferred_1"></a><a class="addthis_button_preferred_2"></a><a class="addthis_button_preferred_3"></a><a class="addthis_button_preferred_4"></a><a class="addthis_button_compact"></a></div>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>The Pros and Cons of Inverse ETFs</title>
		<link>http://www.munknee.com/2010/03/inverse-etfs-let-you-profit-in-a-falling-market/</link>
		<comments>http://www.munknee.com/2010/03/inverse-etfs-let-you-profit-in-a-falling-market/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 25 Mar 2010 12:26:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Editor</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mutual/ETFunds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DOG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inverse ETFs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[leveraged ETFs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[options]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ProShares Short Dow 30]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ProShares Short Russell 2000]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ProShares Short S&P 500]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[put options]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RWM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SH]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[short sale]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[short selling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SPDR Trust]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SPY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[strike price]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Stock market can go down as well as up but I have some good news on how you can actually protect yourself from losses while making money if the markets plummet! Words: 701]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="addthis_toolbox addthis_default_style " addthis:url='http://www.munknee.com/2010/03/inverse-etfs-let-you-profit-in-a-falling-market/' addthis:title='The Pros and Cons of Inverse ETFs '  ><a class="addthis_button_facebook_like" fb:like:layout="button_count"></a><a class="addthis_button_tweet"></a><a class="addthis_counter addthis_pill_style"></a></div><p><strong>Stock market can go down as well as up but I have some good news on how you can actually protect yourself from losses while making money if the markets plummet!</strong> Words: 701</p>
<p>In further edited excerpts from the original article* <strong>Ron Rowland (www.moneyandmarkets.com)</strong> goes on to say:</p>
<p><strong>How to “Short” the Market</strong><br />
There are different ways to profit from declines in individual stocks, particular sectors or the major indexes, namely:</p>
<p><strong>1. Short-Selling</strong><br />
In a short sale, you borrow stock you don’t own and sell it. If all goes well, you’ll repay the stock loan when you can buy the shares later at a lower price. Practically speaking, this isn’t as easy as it sounds. The stock has to be available for you to borrow, and you must have a margin account. IRAs and other retirement plans aren’t allowed to use margin, so you can’t short stocks within these accounts.</p>
<p><strong>2. Put Options</strong><br />
Put options give you the right to sell a stock or an index at a specified “strike price.” Options can be very profitable, but they’re often volatile and illiquid. Moreover, they have time value that decays the longer you hold them. Options are best for when you have a strong indication of a short-term direction. Otherwise, without professional guidance, they’re a good way to lose your shirt.</p>
<p><strong>3. Inverse ETFs</strong><br />
With inverse ETFs you can get around many of the problems of short selling and options trading while potentially “hedging” your long positions. In other words, inverse ETFs can help offset any losses in your regular stock and ETF positions.</p>
<p><strong>What’s an Inverse ETF? </strong><br />
It’s just an ETF in reverse. In an earlier column, I told you about SPY: the SPDR Trust that tracks the S&#038;P 500 Index where, if you’re bullish on stocks, you can just buy SPY and your account will go up in tandem with the index. Well, the ProShares Short S&#038;P 500 can do the same thing if you’re bearish. The ticker symbol is SH, and it tracks SPY in reverse. If the S&#038;P 500 falls 1 percent tomorrow, SH is designed to go up by 1 percent. Nice!</p>
<p>You can do the same thing with other major benchmarks and sectors. Feeling bearish on the Dow? Buy the ProShares Short Dow 30 (DOG). If you think small caps are ready to fall, jump into the ProShares Short Russell 2000 (RWM).</p>
<p><strong>Inverse ETF Advantages</strong><br />
1. they are much easier to trade. You don’t have to figure out what strike price is best or wonder whether stock is available to borrow. All you need to get started is a standard brokerage account. Plus you can trade inverse ETFs inside your IRA.<br />
2. they have limited loss potential. In a short sale, it’s possible to lose more than your initial investment. Inverse ETFs are designed to prevent this from happening.<br />
3. they have no time value with inverse ETFs. If you have the patience, you can wait months or years for your bet to pay off. Your ETF position won’t expire like options do.<br />
4. they can help you protect your stock investments when the markets go down. </p>
<p><strong>Inverse ETF Disadvantages</strong><br />
1. they work both ways. If you buy an inverse ETF and the market you’re tracking goes up, your inverse ETF will drop accordingly. So if your timing is even slightly off, you can lose money just as fast as bullish investors are making it.<br />
2. they don’t always track their benchmarks precisely, especially over long time periods so make sure you have the right expectations.<br />
3. inverse ETFs that use leverage have additional risk factors you need to understand before purchasing. </p>
<p><strong>Conclusion</strong><br />
<strong>With inverse ETFs, you don’t have to stay on the sidelines as your stock investments fall in value when the bear starts to growl. </strong></p>
<p>*http://www.moneyandmarkets.com/inverse-etfs-let-you-profit-in-a-falling-market-3-34322 (Money and Markets is a free daily investment newsletter from Weiss Research analysts offering the latest investing news and financial insights for the stock market, including tips and advice on investing in gold, energy and oil.)</p>
<p><strong>Editor’s Note:</strong><br />
- The <strong>above article</strong> consists of reformatted edited excerpts from the original for the sake of brevity, clarity and to ensure a fast and easy read. The author’s views and conclusions are unaltered.<br />
- <strong>Permission to reprint</strong> in whole or in part is gladly granted, provided full credit is given.<br />
- <strong>Sign up</strong> to receive every article posted via <strong>Twitter</strong>, <strong>Facebook</strong>, <strong>RSS</strong> feed or our <strong>Weekly Newsletter</strong>.<br />
- <strong>Submit a comment</strong>. Share your views on the subject with all our readers.<br />
- <strong>Buy the book below</strong> from Amazon. It&#8217;s pertinent to this article and inexpensive too.</p>
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		<title>Six ETFs Every Investor Should Know About</title>
		<link>http://www.munknee.com/2010/01/six-etfs-every-investor-should-know/</link>
		<comments>http://www.munknee.com/2010/01/six-etfs-every-investor-should-know/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Feb 2010 03:29:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Editor</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mutual/ETFunds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DIA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dow Jones Industrial Average]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EEM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EFA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Emerging Markets Index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ETF]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iShares MSCI EAFE Index Fund]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iShares Russell 2000 Index Fund]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IWM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nasdaq]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nasdaq 100 Index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New York Stock Exchange]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PowerShares QQQ]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[QQQQ]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S&P 500]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SPDR Trust]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SPY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The DIAMONDS Trust]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The EAFE Index]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.munknee.com/?p=1816</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[SPY, QQQQ, DIA, IWM, EFA and EEM. These are the six ETFs every investor ought to know. Get familiar with them. Add them to your watch list, and be aware of how they could fit into your portfolio. Words: 1015]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="addthis_toolbox addthis_default_style " addthis:url='http://www.munknee.com/2010/01/six-etfs-every-investor-should-know/' addthis:title='Six ETFs Every Investor Should Know About '  ><a class="addthis_button_facebook_like" fb:like:layout="button_count"></a><a class="addthis_button_tweet"></a><a class="addthis_counter addthis_pill_style"></a></div><p><strong>I want you to get familiar with six of the most popular exchange-traded funds ( ETFs) that track key stock market benchmarks. You need to know their ticker symbols by heart … they’re the bread and butter in your ETF shopping cart.</strong> Words: 1015</p>
<p>In further edited excerpts from his original article* <strong>Ron Rowland (www.moneyandmarkets.com)</strong> goes on to say:</p>
<p>I’m NOT saying you should buy any of my bread and butter ETFs right now but if you want to be a successful investor, it’s a big help to know what’s available. If you do, you’ll be able to react more quickly when the time is right.</p>
<p><strong>ETF #1: SPY</strong><br />
SPDR Trust is the granddaddy of all ETFs. Introduced in 1993, the SPY (that’s the ticker symbol) was the very first U.S.-listed ETF and tracks the S&#038;P 500. This index of 500 large-capitalization stocks is a standard benchmark for the U.S. equity market.</p>
<p>When you buy shares of SPY, you get an instant portfolio of 500 domestic stocks covering every industry sector. Financials, technology, health care, energy … they’re all in there! </p>
<p><strong> ETF #2: QQQQ</strong><br />
PowerShares QQQ used to be called the “Nasdaq 100 Tracking Stock” until the Nasdaq honchos decided to spin off their ETF business to PowerShares.</p>
<p>This can be confusing, so read closely: The name of the ETF is PowerShares QQQ, with three Q’s. The ticker symbol is QQQQ. That’s four Q’s. Clear enough? Obviously someone wants to keep us all on our toes. In any case, the QQQQ is based on the Nasdaq 100 Index. Note that this is not the same as the Nasdaq Composite Index that you typically see quoted in the news media. The Nasdaq 100 is a sub-set of the Composite, consisting of the 100 largest non-financial stocks in the index and is heavily tilted toward technology stocks. In fact, many traders look at it as nothing more than a large-cap tech benchmark.</p>
<p><strong>ETF #3: DIA</strong><br />
The DIAMONDS Trust follows the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which is probably the best-known stock market proxy in the world. Unfortunately, the Dow is also mostly useless as a benchmark, at least in my opinion, and so are products like the DIA that attempt to follow the Dow. It has three big problems … </p>
<p>1.  like the Dow, it’s very narrow with only thirty stocks. That simply isn’t enough to reliably represent the U.S. industrial economy, as the Dow purports to do.</p>
<p>2. the DIA excludes some key sectors like transportation and utilities. Dow Jones publishes separate indexes for those groups.</p>
<p>3. the Dow and the DIA are weighted by the share price of the component stocks rather than the market value. This was advantageous back in the days when you had to calculate things on the back of an envelope, but now it’s just outmoded.</p>
<p>Despite these issues, there are times when the DIA can come in handy. For instance, if you’re looking for an actively-traded proxy of mega-cap stocks, the DIA might be a good pick. </p>
<p><strong>ETF #4: IWM</strong><br />
The IWM is the iShares Russell 2000 Index Fund. What’s the Russell 2000? You already know the answer if you’re a fan of small-cap stocks. Each year, Frank Russell Associates ranks all the stocks in the U.S. by their market value. Chop off the top 1,000 biggest stocks and consider the next 2,000. That’s the Russell 2000.</p>
<p>These are relatively small companies — but that’s the whole point! When the U.S. economy is booming, small-cap stocks usually lead the way higher and the IWM lets you buy hundreds of tiny stocks in one simple trade. The IWM should be a staple item for almost every investor. It’s easy to jump in and out as the economy fluctuates, and you get plenty of diversification. There’s no better way to play the domestic, small-cap stock market.</p>
<p><strong>ETF #5: EFA</strong><br />
The iShares MSCI EAFE Index Fund is international because it’s based on the Europe, Australasia and Far East Index published by Morgan Stanley Capital International. The EAFE Index is designed to represent the entire developed world, excluding the U.S. and Canada. It includes Western Europe, Australia, Japan — the countries with modern stock markets and banking systems (in contrast to the emerging markets, which we’ll get to in a minute).</p>
<p>The list of countries in the index can change. Recently MSCI promoted South Korea and Israel to developed-market status, and stocks from those countries were added to the index and to the EFA. </p>
<p>The EFA is useful as a way to round-out a portfolio that already includes enough U.S. stocks. Say you own the SPY and the IWM, but you want to have exposure to the rest of the world. Add the EFA to the mix and you’re almost there. I say almost because there’s one final piece …</p>
<p><strong>ETF #6: EEM</strong><br />
The EEM is the standard ETF if you want to trade emerging markets. These are places that only recently established economic ties with the rest of the world and are growing quickly. Markets like Brazil, Russia, India and China are good examples. MSCI produces an Emerging Markets Index as a benchmark for these markets, and the EEM lets you trade that index. This is a really handy fund because it’s often difficult and expensive to buy individual stocks in emerging markets.</p>
<p>The EEM is a quick and easy way to allocate some of your portfolio to emerging markets. Keep it on the tip of your tongue for the next time you’re ready to make such a move.</p>
<p><strong>There you have them: SPY, QQQQ, DIA, IWM, EFA and EEM. These are the six ETFs every investor ought to know. Get familiar with them. Add them to your watch list, and be aware of how they could fit into your portfolio.</strong> </p>
<p>*http://www.moneyandmarkets.com/six-etfs-every-investor-should-know-2-35046 (Money and Markets is a free daily investment newsletter from Martin D. Weiss and Weiss Research analysts offering the latest investing news and financial insights for the stock market, including tips and advice on investing in gold, energy and oil.)</p>
<p><strong>Editor’s Note:</strong><br />
- The <strong>above article</strong> consists of reformatted edited excerpts from the original for the sake of brevity, clarity and to ensure a fast and easy read. The author’s views and conclusions are unaltered.<br />
- <strong>Permission to reprint</strong> in whole or in part is gladly granted, provided full credit is given.<br />
- <strong>Sign up</strong> to receive every article posted via <strong>Twitter</strong>, <strong>Facebook</strong>, <strong>RSS</strong> feed or our <strong>Weekly Newsletter</strong>.<br />
- <strong>Submit a comment</strong>. Share your views on the subject with all our readers.<br />
- <strong>Buy the book below</strong> from Amazon. It&#8217;s pertinent to this article and inexpensive too.</p>
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