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There are plenty of reasons to be concerned about the U.S. economy in 2011 [but not for U.S. stocks if the history of] the Presidential Cycle is any indication. The third year of a president’s [four year] term is typically the strongest producing an average annual gain of 14.12% for the S&P 500 and, under Democratic leadership, that number moves even higher to an average gain of 17.7%! Words: 436
December 25th, 2010 | Posted in Investing,Stock Indices | Read More »
Larry Edelson’s proprietary cycle analyses suggests that we could experience declines in the Dow 30 and S&P 500 to 9,000 and 1,000, respectively, by April of 2011; a potential decline in the price of gold to as low as $1126 by August of 2011 and a decline in the price of crude oil to as low as $69 next year – before taking off to record highs. Words: 781
November 29th, 2010 | Posted in Gold/Silver,Investing,Oil and Gas,Stock Indices | Read More »
In spite of the continuing ascent of the stock market we are not in a perfectly bullish scenario because a major concern going forward is whether or not the Bush tax cuts will be extended. I am of the opinion that they will be, because if they are not, then the markets will have a very ugly December.
November 15th, 2010 | Posted in Asset Allocation,Economy,Investing | Read More »
Gold and silver have had a sharp move downward in response to China’s first interest rate hike last week while the stock market inched up. It raises the question of whether gold is decoupling from the stock market. Words: 897
October 20th, 2010 | Posted in Gold/Silver,Investing,Stock Indices | Read More »
Wealth protection is now more important than probably at any other time in history. Physical gold and possibly other precious metals directly controlled by the investor will be a vital part of a wealth preservation portfolio. Words: 1614
September 20th, 2010 | Posted in Asset Allocation,Economy,Investing | Read More »
The market basically doesn’t want a recovery right now. It loves high unemployment and a bad economy because it allows the Fed to keep rates at zero which is highly profitable for Wall St via the games that I described above. Of course our crippled economy is an absolute nightmare for the rest of us as we lose our jobs and our homes as Rome continues to burn. Words: 1248
June 15th, 2010 | Posted in 2011-12 Forecasts,Economy | Read More »
“I have no idea what you are talking about!” If that is your expression when you [listen to the commentators and] look at figures and terms scrolling on CNBC or any other business or finance news channel, this article is specifically designed to suit your needs. Words: 782
March 8th, 2010 | Posted in Investing | Read More »
The only, truly accurate and profitable way to invest in the markets is to understand and quantify the markets differing personalities, which is what the rigorous study of market cycles does for you. Right now, for instance, although we are starting to see more negative news come to the forefront (as compared to the last nine or 10 months where the market was rallying), I can assure, the negative news you are hearing will pale in comparison to the news that will come out in the months ahead as the 40-month cycle for stocks turns down. Words: 1065
March 7th, 2010 | Posted in Economy | Read More »
Most investors didn’t take warnings about the future of the economy and the financial marketplace – warnings that a ‘Category 6 Fiscal Storm’, a ‘Debt-Driven Meltdown’, a ‘Systemic Banking Crisis’, a ‘Financial Train Wreck’, a ‘God-Awful Fiscal Storm’, etc. was in store for the U.S. – seriously until it began. Perhaps this time around, before the other shoe drops, we should become more informed so we will be better positioned to survive and prosper regardless of what comes next. Words: 2128
March 3rd, 2010 | Posted in Asset Allocation,Economy,Investing | Read More »