After two years of declines, many investors sold their gold holdings and vowed never to invest in gold again. However, in the fall of 1976, gold began an ascent that saw it rise 750%, peaking at $850 a troy ounce three years and four months later. After a 3-year correction, the same opportunity to buy low exists today, just as it did in 1976.
Read More »Latest Q Ratio Illustrates Just How Overvalued the Stock Market Currently Is
The Q Ratio, the total price of the market divided by the replacement cost of all its companies, is a popular method of estimating the fair value of the stock market and it illustrates the secular trend toward higher valuations.
Read More »Tobin’s Q Says Stocks Are Disconnected From Reality – Here’s Why (+2K Views)
According to Tobin’s Q, equities in the U.S. are valued about 10% above the cost of replacing their underlying assets -- higher than any time other than the Internet bubble and the 1929 peak. Here's why.
Read More »There’s NO Way To Dodge the Bullet: We Must Continue to Leverage & Inflate – or Die! Here’s Why
Interest rates will not rise again in our lifetime. Why, you ask? Because the leverage in the system would collapse the very financial assets and governments which underpin the global financial systems. It is INFLATE or DIE and it provides the additional benefit of feeding insolvent welfare states and the socialist politicians to feed their "useful idiot" supporters. Today’s missive will put some meaning into that observation.
Read More »Where Are We In the Current Economic/Market Cycle? These Charts Will Help You Decide (+2K Views)
There is a debate on Wall Street between those who believe we have entered into the next “secular bull market” and those who believe that the current market advance is predicated on artificial stimulus and, as such, the “secular bear market” remains intact. Take a look below at a series of charts designed to allow you to draw your own conclusions and convey your view in the comments section at the very bottom of the page. Words: 719; Charts: 12
Read More »What Does the Current "Q Ratio" Say About U.S. Equities? (+2K Views)
The Q Ratio is a popular method of estimating the fair value of the stock market developed by Nobel Laureate James Tobin. My latest estimates [suggest] that the broad stock market is about 33% above its arithmetic mean and 42% above its geometric mean......Periods of over- and under-valuation can last for many years at a time, however, so the Q Ratio is not a useful indicator for short-term investment timelines [and, as such,] is more appropriate for formulating expectations for long-term market performance. [Let me review the Q ratio with you, along with several graphs, so you can clearly understand what the Q ratio is, how it works and what it is currently conveying.] Words: 800
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