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Here are [6 of my 11] my prognostications in the areas of the economy, domestic politics, global geopolitics, and the investment markets: The US Dollar will fall to record low; house prices will fall a further 10%; interest rates will rise; unemployment rate will rise to 11%; oil prices will exceed $100; the stock market will drop 30%. Let’s hope I’m wrong! Words: 681
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Filed under 2010 Forecasts, Economy · Tagged with Alt-A, commercial real estate, double-dip recession, Fannie Mae, FDIC, federal deficit, Federal Reserve, FNM, foreclosures, FRE, Freddie Mac, gold, Great Depression, higher interest rates, house prices, oil, Option ARM mortgages, quantitative easing, recession, regional banks, Retail Bankruptcies, silver, sovereign defaults, stimulus package, Treasury, U.S. dollar, unemployment
I would welcome a public debate of my thesis that risk-free bond speculation suppresses the rate of interest and destroys capital in the process. I have challenged neo-classical economists who still consider the open-market operations of the Fed as a ‘refined tool to manage the national economy’. I want them, instead, to see in open-market operations the cancer of the economy responsible for the withering of the world’s prosperity. So far my challenge has fallen upon deaf ears. Words: 2854
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Filed under Economy · Tagged with bond market, bond speculation, check-kiting, crack-up boom, depression, fiat currenct, Friedman, hyperinflation, interest rates, Keynes, monetary policy, ponzi scheme, recession, the fed, Treasury, yield curve
