Tag Archives: U.S. dollar

The conventional view looks at the domestic credit bubble, the trillions in derivatives and the phantom assets propping the whole mess up and concludes that the only way out is to print the U.S. dollar into oblivion, i.e. create enough dollars that the debts can be paid but in doing so, depreciate the dollar's purchasing power to near-zero.This process of extravagant creation of paper money is also called hyper-inflation. While it is compelling to see hyper-inflation as the only way out in terms of the domestic credit/leverage bubble, the dollar has an entirely different dynamic if we look at foreign exchange (FX) and foreign trade. Words: 1675

The latest CFTC report shows an extraordinarily high net long US dollar open interest in the futures markets...[which] is starting to increasingly look like a "crowded trade". That makes the dollar quite vulnerable to a downside correction. [As such,] any hint of incremental monetary easing by the Fed that involves balance sheet expansion could force a violent reversal....Words: 410

We're getting some technical confirmation of another major leg up in the buck [confirming my assertion that] we are in the midst of a multi-year bull market in the dollar. Today, I want to put forth 9 reasons why the dollar may have bottomed, show you some current technical analysis on the buck, and share my long-term target for the euro. Words: 703

What does [this surge in the price of gold] mean?...Is it just a proverbial “dead cat bounce” or is it that the death of the Euro is beginning to be priced into the markets....Will it continue? While no one can answer these questions with certainty my thoughts (guesses) are discussed below....Words: 380

"Gold is in a bubble" is a comment that is usually made with little evidence to support this claim. Typically, the primary support is the fact that the Gold price has meaningfully risen over the last decade but citing a rising price is simply insufficient to draw such conclusions. [Let me explain.] Words: 534

The disaster in Europe should be pushing the U.S. dollar up more than it is but it’s not, and that has me deeply worried. [I'm] worried that the next leg of the dollar’s decline may be right around the corner; worried that the loss of the dollar’s reserve-currency status could occur more quickly than even I had expected and worried that the “X&@!” may soon hit the fan, across the entire globe. [Let me explain.] Words: 600

In this article I lay out precisely why the coming Crisis in Europe will be THE Crisis I’ve been forecasting for the last 24 months, why it will have dire consequences on the U.S. and why the Fed can do absolutely nothing to stop it this time round. Words: 1334

Around this point in the fractal cycle in the late 70’s, Gold busted out of its channel to rise sharply higher, along with Silver. Silver’s channel top will lie up around $68 to $70 over the coming months which we believe will be reached in 2012. The next higher angled resistance bands for Silver run from $112 to $115, and then up at the $123 area. By the end of the Silver Bull, we expect to see Silver reach $500+. Words: 1765

In my opinion, there are three scenarios that could occur in the coming years when analyzing the global economy - and all three have the potential to offer bullish environments for the price of gold. [Let me explain the first and most likely reason.] Words: 660

With the U.S. election just six months off, political pressures will mount to favor fiscal stimulus measures instead of restraint. Such action can only accelerate higher domestic inflation and intensified dollar debasement culminating in a Great Collapse - a hyperinflationary great depression - by 2014. [Let me explain why that is the inevitable outcome.] Words: 2766