An op-ed has just been published in the New York Times suggesting that the best way to save the euro is for Germany to exit the European Union and re-introduce it former currency, the Deutsche mark. [Here is the rationale.] Words: 310
So says Sam Ro (www.businessinsider.com) in edited excerpts from his original article*.
Lorimer Wilson, editor of www.munKNEE.com (Your Key to Making Money!), may have edited the article below for length and clarity – see Editor’s Note at the bottom of the page for details. This paragraph must be included in any article re-posting to avoid copyright infringement.
Ro goes on to say, in part:
Ken Griffin, the CEO of Citadel, and University of Chicago economics professor Anil Kashyap…offer a simple plan to save the euro: Germany exit and reintroduces the mark.
In short, a German exit would:
- devalue the euro, which would suddenly make the exports of the remaining countries much cheaper and more attractive to the rest of the world which would, in turn,
- boost manufacturing and
- slash unemployment in the beleaguered [countries remaining in the European Union]…
- create a weak euro which would give the most debt-laden countries more financial flexibility, giving them “needed breathing room to restructure their economies, reform labor markets, collect more taxes and reassure investors.”
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Here’s the most powerful statement from the piece:
While most observers, including German policy makers, believe Germany will do what is necessary to save the euro, it is more important to save the European Union, which is older, larger and more significant than the euro zone. Continuing on the current trajectory will most likely entail more bailouts, more guarantees and ultimately dramatic sovereign defaults or enormous fiscal transfers. That would mean a continued loss of human capital and dignity for southern Europe and a nightmare of an open-ended commitment of trillions of euros on the part of Germany.
Griffin [and Kashyap] think that a German exit can be executed gradually with limited chaos.
The bottom line is that a German exit would be much better than any of the other alternatives.
*http://www.businessinsider.com/ken-griffin-german-exit-from-euro-2012-6#ixzz1z6Dyo447 (To access the above article please copy the URL and paste it into your browser.) (Read the whole op-ed at www.NYTimes.com.)
Editor’s Note: The above article may have been edited ([ ]), abridged (…), and reformatted (including the title, some sub-titles and bold/italics emphases) for the sake of clarity and brevity to ensure a fast and easy read. The article’s views and conclusions are unaltered and no personal comments have been included to maintain the integrity of the original article.
As many of you know, my primary forecast regarding Europe is that the EU will be broken up and/or collapse within the coming months. The reasons for this are financial, monetary and political in nature [with much of the latter dependant on what happens in Germany. Let me explain.] Words: 516
The European economic situation is explained very simply in the illustration below. Take a look.
Europe is heading into a full-scale disaster [because,] you see, the debt problems in Europe are not simply related to Greece. They are SYSTEMIC. The European banking system’s leverage levels alone position Europe for a full-scale banking collapse on par with Lehman Brothers. Again, I’m talking about Europe’s ENTIRE banking system collapsing. This is not a question of “if,” it is a question of “when” and it will very likely happen before the end of 2012. Words: 750
Follow the eurozone crisis as it unfolds with this quick guide to key dates, developments, and investment implications.
As the focus of the euro crisis shifts to Italy, IMF head Christine Lagarde has warned that European leaders have less than three months to save the euro. Meanwhile top economist Nouriel Roubini has called on Berlin to drop its obsession with austerity, proposing that the German government give every household a 1,000 euro [$1,250 US equivalent] voucher to spend on a vacation in Southern Europe. Words: 990
The Markit PMI data from Europe shows still more deterioration led by France, Italy, and Spain. Let’s take a look at a few countries.
In every economic crisis there comes a moment of clarity. In Europe soon, millions of people will wake up to realize that the euro-as-we-know-it is gone. Economic chaos awaits them. [Let us explain why that is the case and how it will come about.] Words: 680
The media is rife with misrepresentations and analysis of the EU. Here’s the real deal, no BS situation with Europe – and its BAD! Words: 900
Introduction: “The crisis in the eurozone is the result of France’s persistent pursuit of the “European project,” the goal of political unification that began after World War II [with the hope] that a political union, a United States of Europe similar to America’s, would…prevent the types of conflict that had caused three major European wars…[and] also make Europe a power comparable to the United States, and thereby give France, with its sophisticated foreign service, an important role in European and world affairs.” [What went wrong and what does the future hold?]
Worries about an economic catastrophe in Europe are heating up again, and dramatic forecasts about doom are popping up everywhere. What’s important? How did we get here? Let’s put this all in perspective. Words: 2356
We still don’t have many political voices [in the European Union] that have the courage to say, ‘We’re headed for the rocks, and before we hit the rocks, let’s take a different course. Let’s try to break this thing up peaceably, before it ends in disaster….The establishment always supports the status quo…but actually, I think the only way we can avoid a depression is to break this (the EU) up.
I continue to see articles in the media claiming that Europe’s problems are solved. Either the folks writing these articles can’t do simple math, or they don’t bother actually reading any of the political news coming out of Europe [so let me present 3 data points that guarantee Europe will collapse at some point in the near future]. Words: 722
Europe may soon be choking on that plat du jour of government a la Hollandaise with the side of chopped Greek salad. The whole world, in fact, has got something like a giant hairball stuck in its craw. The hairball is composed of filaments of lies wound over a core of supernatural indebtedness. The lies are promises that the debt will be paid back. Words: 710
Europe is heading off a cliff! From one end of the continent to the other, the numbers suggest a double-dip recession is striking with brutal force…and with the world as interconnected as it is these days, what happens in Europe WILL impact our companies and markets here so now is the time to position your portfolio to weather the storm. Words: 900
Americans, don’t think for one moment that the crises in Europe are irrelevant! This past April the U.S had the largest monthly decline in exports to Europe in the past 7.5 years and this trend will only get worse – much worse – as the crises spread and linger. Exports to Europe are now down 2.7% from April 2011, the first yearly decline since February 2010. The chart below says it all.