Friday , 30 September 2016

A Must Read! The Many Ways to Invest In Gold and the Pros & Cons of Each

I’m actually short gold as a short-term tactical trade given that the Federal Reserve itching to raise PD-Gold-Nuggets8-300x199rates and inflation is still very muted but, if you insist on owning gold, here’s a look at 5 ways to own gold and why you might choose one way over another.

The comments above and below are excerpts from an article by Charles Sizemore( which may have been enhanced – edited ([ ]) and abridged (…) – by (Your Key to Making Money!)  to provide you with a faster & easier read.

Ways You Can Invest in Gold: Physical Gold

…Gold can be easily purchased in the form of one-ounce coins (American Eagles, Krugerrands, etc.) in virtually any city in America… Assuming the coins are not collector’s items, they will generally sell for a very modest premium to the current spot price of gold.

For the higher rollers out there, you can also buy gold bars in various sizes. The most common is the 1-kilogram brick, which will set you back a little over $43,000 a piece at today’s prices. If you’re a drug lord or a James Bond villain, you might prefer the Good Delivery bars used by the world’s central banks…but at 12.4 kilograms, they will set you back over half a million dollars a piece … and you might need to hire a minion or two to lug them around, as they weigh close to 30 pounds each.

The pros of owning physical bullion are pretty obvious. Owning it in physical form keeps it out of the financial system, so you have no counterparty risk. It can be owned anonymously, protecting your privacy from bankers, the government, creditors or really just about anyone and the coins — even the mass-produced coins with no numismatic value — are attractive to look at. If you’re buying gold as a long-term allocation or as zero-hedge, Armageddon insurance, this is probably the best way to own it.

Of course, the cons of owning bullion are also pretty obvious. By keeping it out of the financial system, you expose yourself to the risk of theft, unless you pay to store it or insure it (which sort of eliminates the point of keeping it out of the financial system). It’s also bulky and illiquid in this form, and it’s expensive to sell, so if you’re holding period is relatively short-term, owning physical bullion makes no sense at all.

Ways You Can Invest in Gold: Gold Futures

At the other end of the spectrum, we have gold futures. A futures contract is exactly that — a contract. It’s an agreement between a buyer and a seller to exchange a set amount of a commodity — in this case gold — at a set time and price.

Futures are a standardized, exchange-traded versions of forward contracts, which are as old as finance itself. Forward contracts were originally created as risk-mitigation tools for farmers, as they allowed farmers to lock in a future price for the crops they were growing – and gold futures serve a similar purpose for miners. Mining projects are incredibly expensive to undertake, and selling futures contracts allow miners to lock in prices that make the projects economical.

Of course, most futures trading today has nothing to do with reducing risk and everything to do with speculation. Gold futures are highly liquid and cheap to trade, which makes them great to use as short-term trading instruments, and, because you’re trading a paper derivative tied to gold, you don’t have to worry about theft or about insurance or storage costs. You can also easily short gold futures, making them a convenient way to bet against gold if you feel the urge.

The biggest selling point of gold futures — or detraction, depending on your point of view — is the leverage. One standard gold futures contract controls 100 ounces of the yellow metal – or a little over $130,000 at today’s prices but you might need only $7,000 in collateral – so, if you’re really feeling bullish (or bearish), you can effectively leverage the trade by a factor of nearly 20 to 1. Smaller traders can also trade smaller E-micro gold futures that represent 1/10 of a regular gold futures contract and have comparable leverage.

Now, obviously, this is not something you do with your retirement nest egg. This is something you do with the money you might have otherwise blown at the roulette table in Las Vegas. The biggest drawback to gold futures is simply that it’s easy to really get yourself into a mess if you don’t know what you’re doing.

Also, gold futures are obviously for short-term trading. If you’re looking for long-term asset allocation or crisis hedging, they make a lot less sense. Finally, you should remember that these are financial instruments. If your express goal is to hedge against a financial system collapse, gold futures are probably the wrong instrument.

Ways You Can Invest in Gold: Gold ETFs

As something of a middle ground between owning physical bullion and futures of the yellow metal, Gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are also an option.

The oldest and most popular gold ETF is the SPDR Gold Trust (ETF) (GLD). While not quite the same as owning physical bullion, GLD gets you a lot closer than gold futures. Unlike most commodity futures, gold futures generally can’t be settled by physical delivery, but GLD is indeed backed by real bullion. A retail investor cannot realistically exchange their GLD shares for bullion, as the creation and redemption of units can only be done in 10,000-ounce increments by authorized participants (i.e., big banks) but at least you know that your investment is indeed backed by bullion.

Gold ETFs have most of the same benefits as gold futures — liquid, cheap to trade, etc. — and have the added benefit of being available in standard brokerage accounts and even IRAs and Roth IRAs. The only thing missing is the leverage. Depending on your broker, you might be able to leverage a gold ETF two to three times with portfolio margin and you can buy leveraged ETFs, such as the VelocityShares 3x Long Gold ETN (UGLD), if you’re really wanting a more aggressive bet. For the most part, however, the available gold ETFs are a less aggressive, less leveraged way to play gold.

The pros here are pretty straightforward. ETFs are an easy way to get exposure to the shiny stuff and it can be held in an IRA account for tax reasons (precious metals normally incur higher capital gains taxes than other assets). The only real downsides are the management fees (GLD has an expense ratio of 0.4%, for example) and the fact that the ETFs are part of the formal financial system. For a true bunker-down zero hedge, a gold ETF isn’t the same as having bricks of the yellow metal buried in your backyard, but assuming you’re not preparing for zombie apocalypse that’s probably alright.

Ways You Can Invest in Gold: Gold Closed-End Funds

A close cousin to gold ETFs would be gold closed-end funds (CEFs). Although many investors are unfamiliar with them, CEFs are actually the oldest form of mutual fund in existence, predating both traditional open-ended mutual funds and ETFs. CEFs are an interesting animal and can be best understood by comparing them to a traditional mutual fund.

When you invest in a mutual fund, you send money to the manager (or your broker does), and the manager takes your money and invests it. When you want your money back, they sell off part of the portfolio and send the proceeds your way. That’s distinctly not how CEFs work.

CEFs trade on the stock market like stocks … making them seem similar to ETFs at first – but there is a big difference. ETF shares track their underlying indexes very closely because, should they deviate, institutional investors can create or destroy shares and generate an arbitrage profit. This forces the ETF’s market price very close to its index…CEFs don’t have that mechanism so their prices can deviate wildly from their net asset values. In plain English, rather than pay a dollar for a dollar’s worth of assets, you can often pay 90 cents … or $1.10. There are few reasons to ever pay a premium for a CEF. Why pay $1.10 for a dollar’s worth of assets, after all? But when the discounts get deep, I get interested.

Right now, there are two closed-end funds with decent liquidity that own gold.

  1. The Central Fund of Canada Limited (USA) (CEF) holds about 60% of its assets in gold bullion and most of the remaining 40% in silver. (It keeps about 1% in cash to cover expenses and pay fees.) CEF currently trades at a 6% discount to its NAV, which is about in line with its average for the year.
  2. The Sprott Physical Gold Trust (PHYS) is 100% invested in gold and generally trades fairly close to its NAV because, unlike most CEFs, it does allow for redemptions, but be careful here, because there can be some tax complications with this puppy. If the fund sells gold to meet redemptions and books a capital gain, the shareholders that remain — who might not have sold a single share — get stuck with the 28% tax bill.

Neither CEF nor PHYS trade at a deep enough discount to NAV to make them a compelling buy but if you are a long-term gold bull, it makes sense to keep an eye on these two in the event that the discount widens. There’s no hard rule here, but I tend to get interested at a discount of 10% or more.

Ways You Can Invest in Gold: Gold Mining Stocks

Before the introduction of gold ETFs, the stocks of gold mining companies were about the best you could do in a traditional brokerage account or IRA but they were never exactly a perfect match.

Gold is a commodity; it’s an inert metal that doesn’t actually do anything. Gold miners, on the other hand, are real operating businesses with everything that means, so profits and losses, labor disputes, operational risks, etc. are all added into the mix. None of this is bad, mind you -it’s just different – but the important takeaway is that gold miners are not a substitute for the yellow metal, and their stock prices can actually move in the opposite direction of gold prices for significant stretches of time.

If you want long-term exposure to the shiny stuff, then buying physical bullion or a gold ETF is your best bet but if you want a more aggressive short-term trade, then I would say that gold miners (and gold futures) are your better bet. Gold miners — which you can buy via funds like the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) — can be thought of as leveraged plays on the yellow metal because their profit tends to spike when the price of gold is high. (Their operating expenses are more or less the same regardless of what the price is, so higher prices of the yellow metal essentially flow straight through to profit.) Of course, the inverse is also true. Profits get crimped when the price of gold is down.

Larger gold miners tend to hedge at least part of their annual production in the futures market, so their revenue streams tend to be at least marginally more stable but smaller miners are often unhedged, making them riskier so, if you’re looking to own this shiny metal as a long-term portfolio allocation or as a crisis hedge, gold miners really don’t make a lot of sense but, if you’re looking to speculate fairly aggressively, gold miners can be a useful tool.

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