I want you to understand the gravity of what Europe is facing; Europe has BET THE FARM and the croupier is about to roll the dice. We are all facing a momentous instant in time and all of the noise in the background is quelled by the showman announcing the main event. Let’s Roll! Words: 625
So says Mark Grant (www.advisoranalyst.com) in edited excerpts from his original article.*
Lorimer Wilson, editor of www.munKNEE.com (Your Key to Making Money!), has edited the article below for length and clarity – see Editor’s Note at the bottom of the page. This paragraph must be included in any article re-posting to avoid copyright infringement.
Grant goes on to say, in part:
Things that go Bump in the Night
Europe is heading for a showdown and in a number of places:
1. France: Perhaps the most important is the stand-off between France and the European Commission.
The EU budgetary office is demanding that France reduce its deficit to 3.00% for 2012 while the projection is for 4.50% so that the Commission is threatening France with large fines.
Mr. Hollande ran his campaign upon a reduction in the retirement age, more generous pensions, shorter work hours and more governmental spending so that the budgetary miss is likely to be larger than forecast; somewhere around 5.2% in my estimation.
France then finds itself, one way or another, with a larger budgetary deficit and if the EU then imposes fines and sanctions Paris may thumb its nose at Berlin/Brussels in what could be a rather nasty affair with unknown consequences. Mrs. Merkel in one corner and Mr. Hollande in another slugging it out will not make for harmonious relations.
2. Greece & Spain: Then there are the issues of Greece and Spain and the Socialist reaction is bound to be very different than the Austerity imposition as demanded by Germany….
The new EU fiscal pact is becoming something of a deviated piece of humor as Spain is being released from its constraints and Greece is now only constrained by the fear and loathing of the country removing its hand from the honey pot. “Keep Eating,” is the resounding cry from all of the European politicians as they are truly frightened of the old bear not following orders.
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It may well be that the new political dandy in Greece is correct; Europe may soon be begging for Greece to take the money under almost any terms as they do not wish to dance the jig of contingent liabilities becoming real ones and having to be accounted for in actuality with all of the pending losses that this would entail. What will they say in Berlin; “Mein Gott, waren wir nur ein Scherz“(My God, we were just kidding.)
The real debt of Greece is approximately $1.30 trillion and as contingent morphs into actual the impending explosion may become reality. This amount of money is 40.60% of the entire GDP of Germany because it is a small country that now has a giant debt given its population. Europe has, in fact, bet the farm and the…Greek electorate [did not has made the pay the price. The European Union has played its hand badly and reality is very close to biting off the hand that fed it!
If Greece defaults or leaves the Eurozone then:
- the ECB will be broke and have to be re-capitalized,
- the IMF will take one serious financial hit,
- the EIB will be seriously impaired and
- the large European and American banks who hold…the municipal debt, the derivatives, the bank loans…will be forced to recognize thier losses.
Charades is so much fun until someone comes up with the answer.
*http://advisoranalyst.com/glablog/2012/05/13/europe-has-bet-the-farm/ (To access the articles please copy the URL and paste it into your browser.)
Editor’s Note: The above article may have been edited ([ ]), abridged (…), and reformatted (including the title, some sub-titles and bold/italics emphases) for the sake of clarity and brevity to ensure a fast and easy read. The article’s views and conclusions are unaltered and no personal comments have been included to maintain the integrity of the original article.
Is it a coincidence that Greece, a country with a 40% smoking rate, has dug itself into such a financial mess? What is fiscal irresponsibility, if not an unwillingness to deal with discomfort today in exchange for future financial health? [Let me explain why an analogy to a country’s addiction to smoking is so appropriate when considering the Greeks’ attitude to their country’s sovereign debt woes.] Words: 650
If the implications of the current Greek tragedy were not so serious it would have been seen more as a Greek comedy (of fiscal errors). In fact, however, to deploy another metaphor, Greece’s sovereign debt is seen as the proverbial canary in the coal mine – a microcosm of the relentlessly growing sovereign debt that has taken much of Europe by storm and is threatening to spread to the U.S.. Words: 1008
For decades, the governments of the western world have been warned that they were getting into way too much debt. For decades, the major banks and the big financial institutions were warned that they were becoming way too leveraged and were taking far too many risks. Well, nobody listened so now we get to watch a global financial nightmare play out in slow motion. Grab some popcorn and get ready. It is going to be quite a show. [Let me explain.] Words: 1075
A predictive software program called Senturion, developed for the U.S. military and sporting a 85% accuracy rate, has concluded that Greece is going to default. [Let me explain further.] Words: 244
Are we about to see a huge push for a “United States of Europe”? As the sovereign debt crisis in Europe continues to spiral out of control, suddenly this term is popping up in the New York Times and in major newspapers all over Europe. Is this by accident? Surely not. The truth is that there is an overwhelming consensus among the political and financial elite of Europe that a “United States of Europe” is what would be best for the eurozone. However, they are likely going to need a massive financial crisis in order to reach their goal. [Let me explain.] Words: 1639
The inability [of Congress] to reduce spending and tax its citizenry represents a competitive disadvantage for the U.S.. It is the mark of a country that cannot keep its fiscal house in order, does not care about repaying its debts and, [as such, it] may well be heading for collapse. Words: 978
Greece is going to default and even take the euro, and maybe the EU, with it. There will be 5 investment opportunities should that unfold as expected and one of them will be the U.S. dollar. [Let me explain.] Words: 1187
What event could trigger an unstoppable domino affect leading to a financial meltdown? You may think [that such a possibility is extremly unlikely] but daily we move closer to the real possibility that a major fiat currency such as the US Dollar or the Euro could collapse in the blink of an eye. [Let’s take a look […]
The magnitude of current private and government debt, coupled with massive unfunded contingent liabilities for promises of future services to their citizens, will prove to be impossible for many nations to fund. Massive inflation in the money supply will become the preferred vehicle to deflect the default monster and will result in vastly devalued currencies and price inflation as a prelude to default. Such action will be a desperate attempt to buy time to stave off the inevitable and will result in social unrest caused by persons whose comfortable lifestyle and elevated standard of living is about to disintegrate before their very eyes. Words: 1525
It is appropriate that the fiscal crisis of the West has begun in Greece, the birthplace of Western civilization. Soon it will cross the channel to Britain. The key question, however, is when that crisis will reach the last bastion of Western power, on the other side of the Atlantic. Words: 609
For the past four years I have been covering the progression of the global economic crisis with an emphasis on the debilitating effects it has had on the American financial system. Only once before have I ever issued an economic alert, and this was at the onset of the very first credit downgrade in U.S. history by S&P. I do not take the word “alert” lightly. [Read on to to understand why I have issued an economic alert once again.] Words: 1904
Europe may soon be choking on that plat du jour of government a la Hollandaise with the side of chopped Greek salad. The whole world, in fact, has got something like a giant hairball stuck in its craw. The hairball is composed of filaments of lies wound over a core of supernatural indebtedness. The lies are promises that the debt will be paid back. Words: 710
In this article I lay out precisely why the coming Crisis in Europe will be THE Crisis I’ve been forecasting for the last 24 months, why it will have dire consequences on the U.S. and why the Fed can do absolutely nothing to stop it this time round. Words: 1334