Economy

U.S. banking stocks are underperforming, with a 6% drop in September 2024, compared to the S&P 500 remaining flat. Bank executives have issued warnings about lower-than-expected recoveries from investment banking and the effects of looming interest rate cuts. With U.S. banks trading at lower P/E ratios (11.7x for 2024 and 10.4x for 2025), analysts view the sector as potentially undervalued. Meanwhile, capital requirements have been scaled back, but pessimism has intensified after Berkshire Hathaway reduced its investment in Bank of America. This may offer an entry point into the sector for value investors.

The World Gold Council published its monthly Gold Market Commentary for August this week. Gold surged by 3.6% in August, reaching $2,513 per ounce, driven by a weaker U.S. dollar and lower Treasury yields. Investors are positioning for potential rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve and the uncertainties surrounding the U.S. election. Demand also saw a boost from a reduction in gold import duties in India, contributing to strong buying interest. Meanwhile, gold-backed ETFs extended their four-month inflow streak. As traders brace for a volatile second half of 2024, gold remains a key hedge against risk, with global economic uncertainties and U.S. political developments fueling the demand.

Over the past five years, gold and gold-related ETFs have experienced significant fluctuations due to economic events, changing interest rates, and shifting market sentiment. This article reviews the performance of gold, the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD), VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX), and VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ). Gold rose by over 60%, while GLD closely mirrored this increase. In contrast, GDX and GDXJ significantly underperformed, with GDX up only 30% and GDXJ up just 12%. This analysis highlights the varying risks and returns associated with different gold-related investments.

Donald Trump has outlined a series of cryptocurrency policy proposals aimed at positioning the United States as a global leader in the digital asset space. Trump's cryptocurrency policies, particularly his proposal to establish a strategic Bitcoin stockpile, could have significant implications for the gold and silver markets.

On Monday, major U.S. stock indexes experienced their most significant decline since 2022. The S&P 500 fell by approximately 3%, while the NASDAQ dropped over 6%. As investors navigate through the current financial turbulence, attention is increasingly turning towards assets that can provide stability amidst uncertainty. Silver, historically known as a safe haven during economic downturns, is garnering interest due to its potential to hedge against market volatility.

Modern Monetary Theory asserts that as long as the central bank can monetize federal debt and keep interest rates low the government can endlessly increase the amount of debt...[but] those who pretend deficits don’t matter ignore the fact that interest on the national debt will soon be the largest item in the federal budget,

Investing in a property can be exciting, but taking the time to properly analyze your deal is paramount. In some cases, what may seem like a good deal at first glance may actually cause financial pitfalls long-term. Similarly, when comparing two or more possible investment opportunities, one property may seem to offer a great investment up front, while the other actually offers the best return over time. In order to uncover the best possible investment deals, commit the following real estate investing calculations to memory:

How long before interest payments on the debt exceeds revenues? An cross-the-board ‘Debt Jubilee’, however, from an historical perspective shows that retiring debt can actually make a country’s economy, and its indebted citizenry, all the better for it.

BDI is a “leading economic indicator” in that it measures the transportation cost of raw materials used for production of finished goods. Therefore, it is an important input in predicting short-term economic activity.

Going over the debt ceiling would mean the US government legally can’t pay its bills and would default on the national debt. This would be catastrophic in ways that would make Lehman Bros look like a walk in the park.