Gold anticipates the not-so-obvious and often completely unforeseen economic developments better than any other investment I know of and these days it is telling us that all is not well with the world and that something major is brewing out there. Words: 918
Read More »Many U. S. Debt Obligations are Unrecognized, Unmeasured, Unmanaged and Unfunded
When people find themselves in a situation where they feel they don't have a decent grip on the risks they face, or where a great deal of critical information is hidden from view, emotions can easily overwhelm rational decision-making. Is it so farfetched to think that a sudden loss of confidence in the United States' ability to manage its finances could evoke similar fears about just how large and widespread the fallout might be? Words: 1026
Read More »Will Sovereign Debt Tsunami Drown All the PIIIGS and Then the US and UK?
With all the attention being focused on whether or not there will be a sustainable recovery in 2010, the potential for a wave of sovereign-debt crises following the wake of the global recession has just recently started to appear on people's radar screens - and such a wave should not be surprising. Words: 2541
Read More »Obama Administration Applying Keynesian Economics to ‘Ensure’ America’s Future Prosperity (3K Views)
In order to prevent a recession from getting out of hand, the central bank must lift the money supply and aggressively lower interest rates. Once consumers have more money in their pockets, their confidence will increase, and they will start spending again, thereby reestablishing the circular flow of money, so it is held. Words: 542
Read More »Risk for the Economy is Deflation, NOT Inflation
Presently, the federal government is increasing spending that in the end may actually retard economic activity, and is also proposing tax increases that will further restrain private sector growth. In other words, fiscal policy is executing a program that is 180 degrees opposite from what it should be to stimulate the economy. How is it possible to get an inflationary cocktail out of deflationary ingredients? Words: 1461
Read More »Sovereign Debt Defaults Now Possible/Likely? (+2K Views)
Governments the world over have spent the past year bailing out, backstopping, insuring, and stimulating their financial sectors and economies throwing around trillions of dollars, euros, yen, and pounds like Halloween candy. Officials have assured us there’s little risk to that strategy but I believe that the opposite is true - that if you borrow and spend too much, all you’re going to do is transform a Wall Street debt crisis into a Washington debt crisis. Words: 882
Read More »Will the Fed Engineer a Stock Market Crash to Flood the Bond Market With Much Needed Demand? (+2K Views)
Could the Fed be preparing another stock crash to flood the bond market with demand? Who knows but it would make plenty of sense to me. Words: 789
Read More »