Saturday , 11 July 2020


Economy

The U.S. Trade Imbalance – A 'Deficit Without Tears'?

There is a definite connection between fiat currencies and trade deficits. Critics of the Federal Reserve are right to blame it for distorting trade flows and setting the U.S. economy up for an inflationary crash. However, a trade deficit per se is not a sign of a bad economy. Indeed the trade deficit might blossom if the U.S. ever returned to the gold standard, though it would be due to a productive net inflow of producer goods. Words: 1667

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Volcker: Tax Hikes Likely Needed to Tame Deficit

The United States should consider raising taxes to help bring deficits under control and may need to consider a European-style value-added tax and a carbon or other energy-related tax may become necessary says White House adviser Paul Volcker. Words: 758

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"The Pinch: How Baby-Boomers Took Their Children's Future and Why They Should Give it Back" – A Book by David Willetts

Oh the shame of being a baby boomer. What a bunch of shysters we seem to be. We are the most selfish, greedy, job- hogging, pension-grabbing bunch of egomaniacs history has ever seen. Here we are, cackling to ourselves in our overpriced homes and exploiting our political power to shaft the younger generation. We use our demographic throw-weight to skew the welfare system in our favour and above all we are squandering the natural resources of the planet. You know that Goya picture of the giant eating a naked human being? That's us, all right – Saturn devouring his children. Or at least, that is the portrait presented by David Willetts in his new book, "The Pinch-How Baby-Boomers Took Their Children's Future and Why They Should Give it Back". Words: 759

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Here's the Best Way to Protect Against both Inflation AND Deflation

There are very compelling arguments for both inflation and deflation. The answer will eventually depend on decisions made in Washington and how people react to those decisions. For now, let’s stop fooling ourselves and admit that we don’t know. It is a problem that has to be dealt with and there is no easy medicine. Either path will be painful, but that’s what we get for our two and a half decade debt binge. Words: 1142

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These Three Indicators Indicate Recession Receding

Three key indicators have suddenly broken trend over the last few weeks/quarter. It appears that the economic landscape has shifted. One major change is interesting. Two could be a coincidence. When three points like this connect, it's worth paying attention. Words; 324

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Why Interest Rates Will Explode Higher Starting Later in 2010

Financial pundits have been cheering the declining U.S. trade deficit, but they should be careful what they wish for. Once the U.S. is no longer running a huge trade deficit, then all those exporter nations will no longer have hundreds of billions of dollars floating around, looking for a home in Treasury bonds. Interest rates are about to start rising, and will continue rising for a generation Words: 782

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Return OF Capital vs. Return ON Capital – What's in Store for 2010?

When Bernanke announced back in 2009 that he saw "green shoots" in the U.S. economy, it was a green light for global investors to start dipping their toes back in the water. Gradually investors started feeling better about the world and as they felt better, they started taking on more risk. It was a shift in focus, away from the mandate of "return OF capital" back toward one of "return ON capital." So, what's in store for 2010? Will it be risk-aversion or risk-taking? Words: 794

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Why a Multi-year Bull Market is Ahead for the U.S. Dollar

Given the ongoing crisis surrounding the euro, the vulnerability of the British pound from a continued spread of sovereign debt concerns AND the catalyst for a weakening yen, I’m expecting the dollar to continue its upward path against major currencies both in the short-term and longer-term. Words: 738

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Buffett, Russell and Hoisington: Deflation or Inflation?

“Unchecked greenback emissions will certainly cause the purchasing power of currency to melt.” says Warren Buffett. Words: 982 In the following edited excerpts from the original article* Cam Hui (www.questfunds.com) puts forth the case for both inflation and deflation by the likes of Richard Russell, Warren Buffett and Van Hoisington: The Case for Deflation 1. De-leveraging There are many analysts …

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Quinn: Gold Going to $1500, Silver to $20 and Oil to $100 This Year

Here are [6 of my 11] my prognostications in the areas of the economy, domestic politics, global geopolitics, and the investment markets: The US Dollar will fall to record low; house prices will fall a further 10%; interest rates will rise; unemployment rate will rise to 11%; oil prices will exceed $100; the stock market will drop 30%. Let’s hope I’m wrong! Words: 681

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