Gold

...Our gold price prediction for the coming years is directionally bullish. Some periods of weakness with gold price pullbacks may be expected... Our gold price targets are as follows:

The World Gold Council published its monthly Gold Market Commentary for August this week. Gold surged by 3.6% in August, reaching $2,513 per ounce, driven by a weaker U.S. dollar and lower Treasury yields. Investors are positioning for potential rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve and the uncertainties surrounding the U.S. election. Demand also saw a boost from a reduction in gold import duties in India, contributing to strong buying interest. Meanwhile, gold-backed ETFs extended their four-month inflow streak. As traders brace for a volatile second half of 2024, gold remains a key hedge against risk, with global economic uncertainties and U.S. political developments fueling the demand.

The best time to invest is often when sentiment is at its lowest, and sentiment around gold and silver equities is pretty low right now. History, however, tells us that this could be the perfect time to buy.

Since the start of the year, gold prices have surged over 21%, reaching US$2,508 per ounce. Key drivers include increased central bank purchases, geopolitical tensions, expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts, and persistent inflation. These factors have created a favourable environment for gold, benefiting mining companies with substantial gold resources. This article examines the leading gold producers—Newmont, Barrick, AngloGold Ashanti, Agnico Eagle, Gold Fields, and Kinross Gold—highlighting their key assets and strategic positioning in this bullish market.

..Many investors are unaware of the magnitude of the upleg that has begun in physical gold so the purpose of this update is to make it crystal clear why it is destined to be massive, for both fundamental and technical reasons.

Central banks like gold because the metal is expected to hold its value through turbulent times and, unlike currencies and bonds, it does not rely on any issuer or government. It also enables central banks to diversify away from assets like US Treasuries and the dollar.

Over the past five years, gold and gold-related ETFs have experienced significant fluctuations due to economic events, changing interest rates, and shifting market sentiment. This article reviews the performance of gold, the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD), VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX), and VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ). Gold rose by over 60%, while GLD closely mirrored this increase. In contrast, GDX and GDXJ significantly underperformed, with GDX up only 30% and GDXJ up just 12%. This analysis highlights the varying risks and returns associated with different gold-related investments.

According to the New York Times, "When the Eiffel Tower underwent renovations in the 20th century, they preserved pieces of the original iron and kept them in storage. Those chunks make up the hexagon figure in the middle of the Olympic gold medal."

Is the current U.S. stock market, and global economy, approaching a Minsky Moment? If so, how would precious metals such as gold and silver react in the aftermath of such a collapse?

When trouble really hits the fan, everything slides together and, most times, that includes gold but....