Wednesday , 17 April 2024

Other Commodities

The Implications of Coming "Peak Copper" for America – and the World! (+3K Views)

About two years ago, I looked through a BHP Billiton presentation which listed the number of years remaining for particular commodities. It was not an analysis of “peak” commodities as such, just a report on when various commodities would be completely, 100% depleted based on current usage rates and reserve assumptions. Copper in that report was determined to be scarcer than oil! [What does that mean for the future well-being of the U.S. - and the world?] Words: 1380

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How to Play the Lowest Natural Gas/Crude Oil Ratio on Record

One of the things we look for in the markets is anomalies or disconnects from historical tendencies that signal some element of a traditional relationship between two things is changing or has changed. Often, the relationship is eventually returned to “normal”, meaning money can be made if an investor is on the right side of the trade. Other times, the relationship has been fundamentally altered in some way, so understanding the reasons behind the shift can become a source of opportunity, since it can either provide understanding about relevant long-term trends or signal a shift in an existing one. [Such being the case let's take a look at] the ratio between natural gas and crude oil [and determine how best to play this investment opportunity.] Words: 1069

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Peak Oil: What a Farce! (2K Views)

It wasn't supposed to be this way. By now, Peak Oil was supposed to be a fact of daily life. People were supposed to be lined up at gas stations, struggling to buy US$10-a-gallon gas. Solar and wind companies were supposed to occupy prominent places on the Big Board instead of going out of business right and left. People were supposed to have diminished expectations – resigned to shivering in the dark. Free markets, a flawed system of commerce, were to be exposed as a misleading theoretical construct, incapable of providing for people's needs...The world was running out of resources...Now, suddenly, there is a different tale to tell and the New York Times is up to the task. Up and down the Americas, we learn, there is an Oil Boom. Suddenly, we have gone from enforced austerity to an unheralded plenty. Middle East, watch out! [But all is not as it seems. Let me explain.] Words: 1440

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Peak Oil Is Still With Us – Here’s Why (+2K Views)

In a recent article called There Will Be Oil in the WSJ, Daniel Yergin once again attempts to debunk the concept of peak oil and sees global production capacity growing to 110 mmbpd by 2030, followed by slow decline. In this short report I take a quick look at his key arguments in an effort to bring further convergence between the peak oil and business-as-usual camps. [Unfortunately, I failed to do so concluding that Peak Oil is still very much with us. Let me explain.] Words: 2032

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Jim Rogers: Stop Buying Gold! These Other Commodities are a Better Buy!

Jim Rogers is one of the most successful investors of all-time...and he buys value. Back in 1999, he predicted that a "supercycle" commodity bull market would see raw material prices advancing for longer than in any previous uptrend led by gold and silver. Gold was trading near its low at $252 and silver at $4 at the time but with gold up 650% from its lows and silver with an even greater gain - obviously Rogers was right. Rogers has now stopped buying gold moving, [instead,] towards a greater commodity opportunity that he thinks offers the same kind of values that gold and silver did a decade ago. Words: 909

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