Stock Indices

The NASDAQ-100 is a selection of the top valued companies within the NASDAQ, ranked by market capitalization...and is heavily weighted towards the tech sector

The DAX is a German blue-chip stock index made up of the 30 largest German companies making it, essentially, the German equivalent of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

This index is one of the most frequently followed equity indicators as many traders consider it the best depiction of the U.S. stock market. 

Below is an updated look at the total return performance of the 10 Dogs of the Dow for 2019 versus the 20 non-Dogs. #munKNEE/Money! …As shown above, the 10 Dogs are up 16.34% so far this year, which is 150 basis points less than the gain of 17.8% for the non-Dogs. Below is a look at total return performance for Dow …

Founded in 1984, the Russell 2000 is a small-cap index representing about 8% of the total market profit of the Russell 3000 index and is weighted according to market capitalization. The index is broken down as follows:

As investors, we can form expectations of the future based on a number of factors and adjust our risk and investment thesis as we learn more and as the analyses below show, IF mean reversion occurs in price and valuations, then our expectations should be for losses over the coming 10 years. The analyses below offer substantial clues.

If there is a recession in the next one to two years, there is also likely to be another bear market for stocks...[and this article] shows why the base case for a new bear market could be a two year inflation-adjusted loss of 36%, which would exceed anything experienced in the 1960s, 1980s or 1990s.

As can be seen from the above analysis the DJIA moves opposite to the direction of the GOR so it is imperative to watch the GOR as it provides a very reliable indicator of the direction the DJIA is about to embark on.

The Q Ratio, the total price of the market divided by the replacement cost of all its companies, is a popular method of estimating the fair value of the stock market and it illustrates the secular trend toward higher valuations.

A devastating crash looks imminent and full defensive mode is the order of the day.