Saturday , 11 July 2020


Stock Indices

Is the "Halloween Indicator" a Good Way to Time the Market?

Seasonality tells us that statistically the months from the end of October through the end of April are in fact the best months of the year for investing while the six months from May through October (the “sell in May and go away” strategy), are the worst but is there any validity to what’s sometimes known as “the Halloween indicator?” [Let's take a look.] Words: 460

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Now's the Time to be Contrarian and Invest in the Stock Market – Here's Why

Can markets find the road back to positive territory? [There are] three reasons investors should consider [before deciding whether to] remain in equities or...sit on the sidelines, [namely that:] investor sentiment is signaling the market is over-extended to the downside, stocks are trading well below historical valuation trends and the S&P 500 dividend yields are higher than the 10-year Treasury yield. [Let's take a look at each of the three to help you come to a decision. Words: 960

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S&P 500 "Death Cross" Now in Place! What are the Implications?

We have ongoing debt crisis talks in Europe, weak housing data in the U.S., tepid growth in Germany, and higher than expected inflation in the U.K. [and, in addition to] all this "cheerful" news, the recent "death cross" that [has occurred] on the S&P 500 Index. While a “death cross” is concerning and should be respected it does not mean the end of civilization as we know it, however. [Below are the results of a long-term study that clearly defines what the short and mid-term implications are, in fact, for the market.] Words: 700

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Relax! World's Stock Markets in Panic Mode but Its Not the End of the World – Yet

The plunge in global markets this week qualifies as a genuine panic according to the VIX index of implied equity volatility divided by the yield on 10-year Treasuries which measures how pessimistic the market is, and how much actual deterioration in the fundamentals there has been... [So,] are we finally on the cusp of "the end of the world as we know it"? Words: 437

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Dow Theory Signals New Bear Market is Imminent

In a first since the bear market bottom of March 9, 2009 and the Dow Theory bull market indication on July 24, 2009, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Dow Jones Transportation Average have signaled the beginning of a bear market. [Let us explain.] Words: 824

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This Pattern Forecast the Crash

Given that the financial system is now even more leveraged than it was during the tech bubble… and that we’ve added TRILLIONS in debt to the U.S.’s balance sheet...another systemic collapse [was to be expected and, in fact, was predicted by]... a stock market pattern that has occurred multiple times in the last century - and everytime it did, things got UGLY [- just like it is doing this time. Let's take a look.] Words: 422

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Don't Buy Yet – Wait Until a Renewed Uptrend is Confirmed!

[To say that the market has capitulated] implies that the market has bottomed and that now is a good time to buy stocks. In my opinion, that is completely wrong. The market is building momentum to the downside...[and] the odds are that the inevitable reactionary bounce is a short reprieve on the way further down. If the capitulation results in a new and meaningful uptrend (and that is a big “if”), we will see that in the charts. Words: 552

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