Wednesday , 11 December 2019


Stock Indices

Stock Markets Have Major UPSIDE Potential

The U.S. stock market finished the month of September with its best performance in 71 years, i.e. since September 1939. The Dow Jones Wilshire 5000 index, as a benchmark of the total equity market, has gone up 10% since September 1 and all my analyses indicate that the market could see continued strength until at least sometime after the November elections. Words: 614

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Gold Will Go To $5,000 and the Dow To Above 27,000 by 2015 (+6K Views)

Warning! The forecasts you're about to read are controversial, and many will say I have lost my mind. No problem. Many have said the same about me numerous times in the past but the forecasts I speak of today are based entirely upon my proprietary trading models that... have successfully guided me and the investors that have followed me through every twist and turn in the economy and markets... since I developed them in 1982. Words: 895

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Dreaded "Hindenburg Omen" Indicator Suggests 77% Likelihood of Imminent Major Market Decline

The probability of a move greater than 5% to the downside after a confirmed Hindenburg Omen was 77% [conversely, 23% of the time no significant market downturn occurred] and usually took place within the next forty-days. The probability of a panic sellout was 41% and the probability of a major stock market crash was 24%. The Omen was activated on the New York Stock Exchange on August 11 so the probability is that we will see a steep market decline sometime in September. Words: 871

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Siegel vs. Shiller + Bogle vs. Gross – On the Future of the S&P 500

The market is currently slightly over-valued now which is reasonable since stocks offer a much more attractive return than bonds due to low interest rates. Eventually, however, interest rates will get to levels of at least 4% (which is the minimum normal rate on interest rates) and that would justify a P/E closer to 15. I am no prophet but if I had to guess, I would think future returns will be somewhere between Bogle's and Shiller’s estimates, i.e. between 8% and 10%.

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