Tag Archives: $5000 gold

The future price of gold is very much dependent upon the reactions of governments and central banks regarding the current deflationary forces. $3,000 - $5,000 per ounce is quite possible at some time in 2020 – 2022, if not sooner.

More and more analysts are projecting that gold will be going at least as high as $3,000/ozt over the next few years. One analyst even claims that gold will spike at $87,500/ozt.! Below is a revised list of their names and stated rationale for each of their forecasts.

...A collapse of the U.S. dollar is inevitable. The U.S. Dollar Index has been bouncing off of four-year lows for the past several weeks but this cannot last much longer with a global trade war and U.S. equity correction looming....The U.S. dollar and fiat currencies are in trouble, hinting that gold and silver prices could again go screaming higher...[as] the two still generally trade inverse to each other and, while gold is perhaps the safest way to hedge against a falling dollar, the most profitable option is silver.

I conclude that to re-establish a new gold exchange standard probably would require a gold price of about $5,000 and that begs the question: "What would re-establishing a $5,000 gold standard mean for inflation?"

One of the most controversial topics in investing is the price of gold with many goldbugs saying that gold will soon break $2,000, then $5,000 and then $10,000 a troy ounce but, frankly, how can anyone reasonably calculate what the price of gold should be when they don't understand the factors that drive gold? So let me explain.

A meme is now circulating that gold is the investment equivalent of a pet rock, and that the smart investor should sell gold, and buy stocks. That’s a ridiculous notion. In fact, if you believe in buying low and selling high, this is the time to buy gold, and sell stocks.

While governments have consistently damaged their economies ever further, the house of cards, however shaky, is still standing. If and when the markets crash and currencies collapse, however, there will be a dramatic rise in the price of gold. Here's why.

A central bank’s worst nightmare is when they want inflation and can’t get it. The Fed’s tricks have all failed. Is there another rabbit in the hat? Actually, there is. The Fed could announce that effective immediately the price of gold was $5,000 per troy ounce which would cause massive inflation within 15 minutes.

A few years back I published an article that itemized what 148 supposed experts of the day were predicting for the future price of gold and as it turns out none of them – not one – knew what they were talking about. By trying to do so they were all playing a fool’s game, a game reserved for the brave but foolhardy.

As a rule of thumb when the ratio is below 9, oil is relatively expensive (and gold is relatively inexpensive) and when the ratio is above 20, oil is relatively inexpensive (and gold is relatively expensive).