Tag Archives: asset bubbles

What phase are we in today? We are in the middle to late stages of Phase IV and Phase V — monetary reform to inflate away mountains of debt — is right around the corner! Words: 1864

Anyone who is not prepared to take a contrarian view today, risks to be a real victim in the next 5-7 years.

This coming autumn we are likely to experience the beginning of the end to the biggest speculative bubble in world history. All bubble assets will implode and the financial system will come under massive pressure

Nouriel Roubini, who has been dubbed "Dr. Doom" for his dark predictions, has joined a growing number of observers who warn that a "liquidity time bomb" could eventually "trigger a bust and a collapse."

These days anything with a sustained gain is called a bubble that’s just about to burst so what’s an investor to do?

In their infinite wisdom the Fed thinks they have rescued the economy by inflating asset prices and creating a so called "wealth affect". In reality they have created the conditions for the next Great Depression and now it's just a matter of time...[until] the forces of regression collapse this parabolic structure. When they do it will drag the global economy into the next depression. Let me explain further.

The benefits of being able to detect a bubble, when you are in its midst, rather than after it bursts, is that you may be able to protect yourself from its consequences. [Below are possible] mechanisms to detect bubbles, how well they work and what to do when you think a particular asset is in one.

...For US stocks — and by implication most other equity markets — the danger signals are piling up to the point where a case can be made that the end is, at last, near. Take a look at these examples of indicators that should scare the hell out of anyone with a big stock portfolio.

As those familiar with the basics of Austrian economics can attest, an increase in the supply of money and credit [often leads to] asset bubbles in whatever sector(s) the new money and credit find their way into. With the U.S. economy so robust it will not go down easily and, as such, there is still the possibility that the Fed's radical inflationary policies will not break the dollar, but just kick the can down the road one more time, and unleash one more bubble before the bill for 40+ years of monetary madness is finally due. What sectors are most likely to be the recipient of a bubble? [Let's look at the possibilities.] Words: 1212

The book's crucial assumption is that “the market” does have a central value and that the world of stock markets is a “mean reverting” world. As a consequence, the market can be over-valued or under-valued but will, over time, return to its central value. Words: 1317