I think there is a 70% probability that it will do so within the next five years and the probability that China will suffer either a hard landing OR a long period of Japanese-style stagnation...is over 95%.
Read More »Blame China For Continued Low Commodity Prices – Here’s Why (+6K Views)
The role that China plays in commodity prices is so big that the future of metal prices is totally dependent on China. In this article we analyze some key Chinese indicators all of which give us no reason to expect higher metal prices in 2016.
Read More »If China won’t eat at KFC – or at Pizza Hut – the world has a problem! Here’s why
KFC and Pizza Hut may not be standard economic indicators, but they're flashing a warning sign about the state of the Chinese economy right now and, if China won't eat at KFC, or at Pizza Hut, the world has a problem! Let me explain.
Read More »The End Is Near: China’s Economic Bubble Is About to Burst (+2K Views)
China's model (and economy) will fail drastically, proving once and for all that government-planned economies do not work as well as free market capitalism balanced by democracy. This article identifies seven signs showing that the end is near.
Read More »Richard Duncan: China Headed Into a Serious Crisis
China’s miracle is driven by one thing and one thing only: its trade surplus with the U.S., which went from zero in 1990 up to now more than $300 billion a year [but] since the darkest hours of the 2008 global economic meltdown, China has made little progress in shifting its reliance away from exports, and, as a result, the Chinese economy is dangerously exposed to a renewed downturn in global trade. Words: 500
Read More »These Signs Suggest Global Economy at a 'Tipping Point'!
[As a reult of] slowing economic growth around the world, stock markets are at the “tipping point” of a correction. Here are 15 global signs that supports that thesis. Words: 678
Read More »U.S. and China Veer Ominously Toward Mounting Trade Frictions and Protectionism (+2K Views)
China bashing is on the rise once again in Washington. In an era of acute labor market distress, the United States could well up the ante and resort to outright trade sanctions. Beijing would undoubtedly retaliate, setting in motion a dangerous chain of events that could quickly imperil the post-crisis world. Words: 1090
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