Gluskin Sheff Chief Economist David Rosenberg is bucking the bearish trend on Wall Street and running with the bulls instead, touting positive jobs and wages data as a sign that inflation—the current gold standard for economic recovery—may be right around the corner...
Read More »Ratio of Household Liquid Assets-to-Liabilities at 10-Yr. High BUT…
The U.S. economy grew just 1.9 percent in the first quarter and is expected to show little improvement but...the ratio of household liquid assets to liabilities is now the highest since Q1 2002. [That's great, but exactly what does that really mean?] Words: 225
Read More »Roubini, Schiff, Rosenberg and Whitney Agree: Another Recession Is At Hand! Here’s Why (+2K Views)
Michael Spence, professor at New York University’s Stern School of Business and winner of the 2001 Nobel Prize in economics, believes there's "probably a 50%" chance of the global economy slipping into recession. Nouriel Roubini disagrees and says flatly that a recession is coming and that it is a mission impossible now to stop it. The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank places the odds at 85% of a recession. David Rosenberg, another very savvy economist, says that by 2012, the chance of a second recession is 99%. Peter Schiff, who with Roubini, correctly and accurately predicted the collapse on Wall Street and ensuing recession, thinks one is 100% certain. [Let's take a look at why they hold such views.] Words: 829
Read More »These 10 Signs Point to Another Recession
The following 10 reasons give a foundation for why I believe we may be approaching another recession. Words: 903
Read More »Are We On the Verge of a Second Recession? (+2K Views)
Is a second recession in so short of a time in the offing? It certainly seems that way. The hope for a continued recovery has grown dim lately as many of the economic indexes are moving towards contractionary territory... There are several concerns pressing the U.S. economy and, in the words of David Rosenberg, chief economist at Gluskin Sheff, "one small shock" could send us into a second recession. [We, for our part, believe that even] another round of Quantitative Easing by the Fed...may not be enough to offset the real problems facing the U.S. economy. [Let's take a closer look.] Words: 1295
Read More »Gold Going to Parabolic Top of $10,000 by 2012 – For Good Reasons (+7K Views)
No wishful thinking here! As I see it gold is going to a parabolic top of $10,000 by 2012 for very good reasons - sovereign debt defaults, bankruptcies of “too big to fail” banks and other financial entities, currency inflation and devaluations - which will all contribute to rampant price inflation. Words: 1111
Read More »10 Reasons Gold Could Go to $10,000 In the Next 12 Months!
We may reach levels for gold previously thought of as crazy - $5,000 an ounce or even $10,000 - with plenty of volatility and pullbacks along the way... and in my opinion there are 10 reasons it could happen within the next 12 months and, if not by then, then soon after. Why? Because, in short, there is way too much fiat currency chasing way too little gold. Words: 951
Read More »As Global System Unravels Deflation Seen As a Distinct Likelihood
It is not inflation that is worrying big investors - though inflation may be the default response before this is all over - but deflation. Words: 638
Read More »Mauldin: Large Tax Increases in 2011 Will Tip Us Into Recession
The uber-Keynesians that are in control of our economic policy clearly do not think that large tax increases matter, or if they do think so they are not speaking out about them. They are conducting an experiment on our economic body without benefit of anesthesia. Here's a prediction about which I can feel confident: if we do slip back into recession, they will blame some factor other than the tax increase and call for massive stimulus. In fact, they will probably say that the lack of stimulus was the problem in the first place. Paul Krugman will be the head cheerleader. Words: 841
Read More »Silver’s Historical Correlation with Gold Suggests A Parabolic Top As High As $714 per Ounce! (+6K Views)
Almost 80 respected economists, academics, gold analysts and market commentators (see list below) are of the firm opinion that gold is going to go to at least $2,500 if not as high as $10,000 per ounce (or more) before the parabolic top is reached. As such, just imagine what is in store for silver given its historical price relationship with gold. We’re looking at an extreme case scenario of a future parabolic top of perhaps as much as $714 per ounce for silver, the ‘poor man’s gold’. Words: 1694
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