disinflation Archives - munKNEE.com
Sunday , 29 November 2020

Tag Archives: disinflation

Probability of Deflation Is 60%, Inflation Is 25% and Muddling Through Is 15% – Here’s Why

At the end of last year virtually every every single economist expected interest rates to rise this year as the Fed tapered their purchases and the economy improved but, in fact, interest rates on the 10 year U.S. Treasury have been going down year to date (from 3% to 2.5% after rising from about 1.6% to 3% last year). The masses, going along with this crowd, got fooled but we have been calling for a decline in interest rates for some time now due to world-wide deflation and it couldn’t be clearer to us that this is the most likely scenario for the United States. Let us explain.

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Inflation: What Do the Non-CPI Inflation Gauges Say It Is?

Whenever the BLS posts their monthly CPI there's always the same response from critics that the index is flawed. That's fine. I think a healthy dose of skepticism regarding government data is perfectly good. So let's take a look at some independent gauges to see where prices are.

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