Tag Archives: GDP growth

If the dollar keeps rising - which I don't believe it will, or can - U.S. exports will fall and imports will rise, negatively affecting GDP and the trade deficit. Things are going to get choppy.

With volatility returning to domestic equities, it might be time for investors to consider increasing their exposure to foreign markets, specifically emerging Europe...With that in mind, I’d like to share with you the top six fastest growing countries in emerging Europe, based on their just-released manufacturing PMIs for the month of March.

This week’s US gross domestic product (GDP) data paints a less gloomy first-quarter decline than first published and a bright picture for the second quarter [which,] as impressive as the rebound looks on the surface, we think is actually understated. Here's why.

I use three approaches to shape my world view and then combine them to get a much clearer picture of what likely lies ahead. My goal today is to share with you how I come up with a view of the Big Picture and to share my outlook for 2013. Words: 873

The 15 countries that we project to grow the slowest over 2013-14 include, not surprisingly, dysfunctional countries with weak leadership and debt-laden countries with limited financial flexibility, but also developed countries that are just too big to grow quickly. [Here they are hyperlinked to a page of information on each country.]

Decisive policies must be urgently put in place to stop the euro area sovereign debt crisis from spreading and to put weakening global activity back on track. [If not we can expect to see a] massive escalation in economic disruption, an increase in the risk of a credit crunch [and] the global economy tipping into a recession. Words: 834

Many people missed the market’s enormous appreciation during the latest equity bull market because they were late to the game or chose to sit on the sidelines. If you’re one of those people on the sidelines who has been debating whether to get your feet wet in today’s market—now could be your chance. Citigroup says there’s roughly a 90% chance markets could move higher over the next six months—and a 97% chance over the next year—according to historical data. On average, the market bounces 8.9% the following six months and 17.3% the following year. Words: 1292

Many investors believe the market will rise if the economy is growing and sink if it's shrinking but that is the wrong way to think about it. Instead, the real focus should be on whether the economy is growing at a slow pace or a moderate pace. Indeed, with 2% growth, the stock market could steadily fall. Yet with 3% Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth, the market could surge. The difference between 2% and 3% may not seem like much, but it is. [Let me explain.] Words: 730

In the past 20 years, the US economy has grown nearly 60 percent. This huge increase in productivity is partly due to automation, the internet, and other improvements in efficiency but it's also the result of Americans working harder—often without a big boost to their bottom lines. Oh, and meanwhile, corporate profits are up 20 percent. [Let me show you exactly what I mean.] Words: 550

Robert Precther recently published a list of market myths for his subscribers which I'm sure he won't mind if I review the lessons he voices in his article with you, borrowing from his excellent research to help make the arguments. Recognizing these market myths are critical to your success as an investor. Words: 1266